Broadcom says VMware is a better money-making machine than it hoped
- Reference: 1734066134
- News link: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2024/12/13/broadcom_q4_fy_2024_vmware/
- Source link:
Speaking on the giant conglomerate's Q4 2024 earnings call today, Broadcom CEO Hock Tan told investors VMware's quarterly costs have fallen from an average $2.4 billion to $1.2 billion in this quarter, and margins have gone from below 30 percent to 70 percent. He didn't break out Virtzilla's revenue, and said Broadcom won't do so again. But he did use two other metrics to describe VMware's progress: processor cores covered by new subscription sales and annual booking value (ABV).
The latter, which measures the value of future revenue from subscriptions, saw $2.7 billion worth of deals done in the quarter – up $200 million from Q3. Tan revealed VMware sold subs for 21 million processor cores in the quarter – up from 19 million in Q3.
[1]
The CEO also told investors that 17 million of those newly-sold cores will be used to run the flagship private cloud suite VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF), and that 4,500 of Broadcom's top 10,000 VMware customers have signed up for VCF since the acquisition.
[2]
[3]
Full-year revenue for Broadcom’s software division hit $21.5 billion, up from $7.6 billion for FY 2023 – an increase of $13.8 billion. VMware’s last full year of revenue as an independent company was $13.4 billion, and Broadcom did not own the virty giant for a few weeks of its FY 2024 and therefore can't count a few hundred million dollars of revenue. The Register also feels safe in assuming that the other parts of Broadcom’s software biz – CA and Symantec – are not growing fast, if at all.
It therefore looks a lot like VMware revenue is growing and Broadcom’s strategy is working.
[4]Apple reportedly building AI server processor with help from Broadcom
[5]No, Broadcom did not just end VMware's flagship VCDX certification program
[6]China’s tech giants deliver chips for Ethernet variant tuned to HPC and AI workloads
[7]OpenAI reportedly asks Broadcom for help with custom inferencing silicon
Tan's remarks about margin improvement suggest as much. He followed them with a prediction that Broadcom's planned [8]$8.5 billion EBITDA growth for VMware would be achieved in a tighter time frame than the three years initially forecast – and that further improvements are achievable.
With that kind of prediction on record during an earnings call – wherein execs are encouraged to be conservative in forward statements – VMware customers surely have a clear signal Broadcom won't need to change its plans, which bring increased costs to most customers.
Chipping away at hyperscalers
Tan offered investors two other forecasts for Broadcom's silicon business, which he noted now needs to be discussed in AI-adjacent and non-AI segments.
The CEO told investors Broadcom see huge growth ahead from hyperscale customers of its XPU accelerators and associated networking gear. Three existing hyperscale customers intend to use Broadcom kit to build million-XPU clusters – an addressable opportunity worth between $60 and $90 billion in 2027. Tan asserted that Broadcom is "very well positioned to achieve leading market share in this opportunity."
[9]
He also revealed Broadcom is talking to another pair of hyperscalers about custom accelerators that will use its IP – meaning more big opportunities lie ahead. The CEO celebrated hyperscalers' interest in Broadcom's wares as a sign that Ethernet is in favor – an important observation given Nvidia's fondness for InfiniBand.
Tan also pledged that Broadcom's next-generation XPUs, built on a 3nm process, will debut in the second half of 2025. Tan claimed they'll be the first products in the field built at 3nm.
AI silicon is powering growth for Broadcom's chip division, which earned $8.2 billion – up 12 percent year on year. AI-related sales grew 150 percent year on year to $3.7 billion, while other products were down 23 percent to $4.5 billion. Tan noted that non-AI chips have come out of a slump and will recover.
[10]
Which brings us to those two forecasts: Tan predicted non-AI silicon sales will slip by "mid-teens" in Q1 of 2025, while AI chips grow by 65 percent.
Broadcom remains in rude health. Quarterly revenue of $14 billion represented a 51 percent year-on-year leap, and annual revenue of $51.5 billion was up an impressive 44 percent. Net income for the full year was $5.9 billion – a drop of $8.2 billion – but free cashflow is strong, and Tan declared Broadcom will use it to pay down the debt it used to acquire VMware.
He also revealed that Broadcom is quietly looking for other software acquisitions, but has strict demands for target prey. He did not suggest any purchases are imminent.
Investors liked what they heard: Broadcom's share price jumped 15 percent in after hours trading. ®
Get our [11]Tech Resources
[1] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/virtualization&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2Z1wT1Reb0I4Tip_FruDS-QAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0
[2] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/virtualization&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Z1wT1Reb0I4Tip_FruDS-QAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/virtualization&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33Z1wT1Reb0I4Tip_FruDS-QAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[4] https://www.theregister.com/2024/12/12/apple_ai_chip_broadcom/
[5] https://www.theregister.com/2024/11/28/broadcom_vmware_vcdx_snafu/
[6] https://www.theregister.com/2024/11/26/global_scheduling_ethernet_china_uec/
[7] https://www.theregister.com/2024/10/30/openai_broadcom_tsmc_custom_silicon/
[8] https://www.theregister.com/2022/05/30/broadcom_strategy_vmware_customer_impact/
[9] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/virtualization&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Z1wT1Reb0I4Tip_FruDS-QAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[10] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/virtualization&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33Z1wT1Reb0I4Tip_FruDS-QAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[11] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/
well done Mr Tan, congrats
And how long...
Do they expect to keep this up before people leave for another platform ?
It's all about short-term profits...
Re: And how long...
It'll be just fine. Users will see the "70% margin" on their product, obviously decide that it's great value and buy more ...
Re: And how long...
I mean it's not like it's difficult to swap your hypervisor cross-org. If people didn't like these price increases they'd have bought something else. They certainly wouldn't be plotting a 12-18mth horizon in which they leveraged themselves off the platforms that had been chugging along for years by using these price increases to light a fire under a board and make it a priority activity in the short term meaning this action might collectively tank VMWare income from late 2025 and see it collapse wholesale from late 2026? No, definitely not. This is a sound business decision I'm sure.
Sales revenue up 7%, the cost to an individual customer up a *lot* more than that.
So, they have lost a lot of customers, and probably most of the remaining ones plan to migrate before the next contract renewal.
Mmmmmm.
"VMware renewal costs are in, boss. They've gone up by 200%."
"OK, renew it for this year, we have little choice, then start a migration project to get us off VMware by next year."
"Already on it..."
Short-term accounting will kill anything it touches, but especially IT products.
GJC
margin up by 70%
but support ability has been slashed, almost impossible to get hold of support now (published phone numbers not even working!) and they take weeks to respond to issues. If I had the choice I'd be dumping them asap.
Pending attrition......
Completely overlooking the fact that customers are currently pinned in because they can't get off the driverless bus towards a cliff in the short term.
Rest assured those same customers are probably all bringing migration away to the top of the to-do list.
When that time comes to pass, Broadcom will see VMWare revenue drop off the proverbial cliff with the bus, but the passengers will be safely off it.
As an ex-Broadccom employee...
And knowing quite a number of others who effectively have PTSD from working there, I'd heartily recommend having nothing to do with them, either as a purchaser or as a place to work.
You will likely NEVER come across an ex-Broadcom employee who isn't happier now they have left. Some of the stories I hear are frankly unbelievable and possibly even criminal.
Typo: possibke