SpaceX plans next Starship flight just days from now
- Reference: 1730985588
- News link: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2024/11/07/spacex_plans_next_starship_flight/
- Source link:
The [1]sixth flight of Elon Musk's monster rocket has a lot to live up to. The [2]fifth flight test was an undeniably impressive spectacle as the Super Heavy Booster successfully returned to the launch site and was caught by the chopstick arms of the launch tower.
Musk later [3]shared audio recorded while someone played the video game Diablo, describing how close the landing came to being aborted. A commenter on the thread asked "Did you just share Starship data lmaooo?" to which Musk responded, "Yeah 😂."
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During the recording, a voice can be heard explaining that the SpaceX team was "one second" away from a sensor tripping that would have triggered an abort and sent the rocket crashing into the ground.
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While SpaceX did not address the comments made in the recording directly, the rocket planned for the sixth flight test will feature hardware changes that include additional redundancy for the booster propulsion systems and increased structural strength.
Software controls and commit criteria for the booster's launch and return have also been updated. The plan is to attempt another catch of the Super Heavy Booster. However, if conditions are not correct – the final decision lies with the flight director, who must send a manual command – the booster will default to a trajectory that will send it to a splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico.
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As with previous tests, the Starship will be sent on a sub-orbital trajectory and a planned controlled entry resulting in a targeted splashdown in the Indian Ocean. This time, however, a single Raptor engine will be ignited for an in-space burn to demonstrate that the system is capable of a de-orbit burn for orbital missions. SpaceX will test new secondary thermal protection materials this time around, and the plan is to fly Starship at a higher angle of attack in the final phase of descent, "purposefully stressing the limits of flap control."
[8]First time's the charm: SpaceX catches a descending Super Heavy Booster
[9]ESA spending €17M on spacecraft just to watch it go up in flames
[10]Musk dreams of launching five Starships to Mars in two years
[11]SpaceX faces $663K FAA fine for Musk's alleged launch impatience
The launch is currently set for 1600 Central Time (local Texas time), which is 2200 UTC, and has a 30-minute window. The later time will allow the Starship to reenter over the Indian Ocean in daylight, meaning visual observations will be easier as the spacecraft descends.
SpaceX has a license that permits this flight test but has bigger plans for subsequent flights as it marches to the twin goals of rapid launch cadence and full reuse of both the Super Heavy Booster and Ship portions of the Starship system. The company said the seventh flight would feature "significant upgrades including redesigned forward flaps, larger propellant tanks, and the latest generation tiles and secondary thermal protection layers." ®
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[1] https://www.spacex.com/launches/mission/?missionId=starship-flight-6
[2] https://www.theregister.com/2024/10/13/first_time_success_spacexs_mechazilla/
[3] https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1849914261482652113
[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2ZyzyNdFJjItPH3TcefCDAwAAAMs&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0
[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZyzyNdFJjItPH3TcefCDAwAAAMs&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZyzyNdFJjItPH3TcefCDAwAAAMs&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[7] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZyzyNdFJjItPH3TcefCDAwAAAMs&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[8] https://www.theregister.com/2024/10/13/first_time_success_spacexs_mechazilla/
[9] https://www.theregister.com/2024/09/25/esa_draco/
[10] https://www.theregister.com/2024/09/23/musk_expects_to_launch_five/
[11] https://www.theregister.com/2024/09/17/faa_spacex_fine_proposed/
[12] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
The FAA never considered such a rapid flight cadence for anything and need to change their methodologies to cope. They already appear almost out of their depth dealing with SpaceX but once Blue Origin start more than test flights, and perhaps one or two more small-fry begin rapid cadence development flights, the FAA will be desperately doggy-paddling in their own bureaucracy.
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
The FAA will have to move to a model like they use for aircraft when the rocket becomes reusable and the cadence is high. But still retaining the high levels of inspection for each flight for experimental rockets.
With the current SpaceX rockets, I believe it should be a mix - type certification for the reusable elements and higher levels of inspection for each of the major new parts.
The 'no go' zones for aircraft and ships will probably be the limiting factor on frequency of launches.
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
Time to make those exclusion zones permanent for aircraft, but perhaps voluntary for ships/boats.
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
The FAA have really stepped up to deal with 100-150 Falcon 9 launches per year compared to the dozen or so launches old space used to do. Licensing a repeat Starlink does not require much effort. The difficulty starts when SpaceX wants to trim down procedures to make Falcon launches a little cheaper. This was never of any interest to old space but is something SpaceX does continously. Licensing a new rocket takes much more work. There are several new rockets coming into operation and each Starship is significantly different from the last making each of them effectively a new rocket.
On top of that, the FAA is tasked with drafting the laws that will regulate rocket launches in future so much of licensing will be based on generalised law rather than one-off examinations for each design / change / launch. This was put on hold for years because no-one knew what the laws should be and the deadline was extended a few more years because new space is still new.
The FAA got into trouble for letting Boeing self regulate and the resulting deaths. As a result they are stricter about following procedure. This makes them open to politicians gaming of the system. For example, SpaceX changed the expected noise levels shortly before the anticipated launch of IFT5. The FAA was required by regulations to ask the FWS to assess the impact of the changes and allow them 60 days to do it. This was followed by people screaming on the internet about government regulations strangling innovation. In the middle of the screaming a SpaceX lawyer published some drivel about SpaceX being fined for not conducting a T-60 minute go/no go poll*. It was clear that the FWS was going to come back with a FONSI (finding of no significant impact) within a few days. Step forward a politician to summon the FAA for a scolding. The politician than accepted credit for expediting the IFT5 license. If the population of the internet were any more gullible politicians would take credit for making the sun rise.
* SpaceX did not conduct the poll and were fined but according to the lawyer there was no regulation requiring such a poll. In fact there was - and it was cited on the notice for the fine. The regulation was written by experts in launching Falcon 9s: SpaceX. To be fair, SpaceX had put in a change request and the FAA would likely have approved it given a bit more time. Perhaps without Boeing's help this might have gone by unremarked. Perhaps if SpaceX had not launched SN8 while the FAA was on the phone to them telling them they did not have a license they might have got away with a mild scolding. Part of the fallout for SN8 was that SpaceX was required to appoint a licensing officer with the authority to stop a launch if the license was not valid - and to phone the FAA and ask if he wasn't sure.
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
each Starship is significantly different from the last making each of them effectively a new rocket.
It is possible to imagine a regime that just considered the impact of each change. if the previous launch was considered safe and nothing happened to question that decision then a change to improve the thermal protection of flaps and additional structural rigidity oughtn't to be too hard to consider.
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
No, they don't draft laws, only (federal) regulations.
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
The USA has a long delay between the election and presidential inauguration. The next inauguration will be 2025-01-20. The election threat was to put Musk in charge of stream lining government. Obvious first targets include the [1]NTSB and [2]FWS . [3]OSHA and [4]DOL also spring to mind. It gets even more interesting when Musk turns his mind to clearing out all the regulations preventing X from operating as a bank.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Transportation_Safety_Board
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Fish_and_Wildlife_Service
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occupational_Safety_and_Health_Administration
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Labor
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
Don't forget easing the regulations regarding self-driving cars. If they can't make the cars good enough to meet the regulations, bring the regulations down to meet the level of the car.
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
It used to be much longer, but back then, we had to coordinate elections across half a continent by snail mail and courier.
Re: FAA to be rejigged?
He'll be needing to start his own private army as well, let's call them the Elon Musketeers.
Name Change
I've been doing a lot of skim reading in these last few days, so maybe I'd missed something - has the Orange Shit-Gibbon-Elect been renamed "The Super Heavy". If so I can suggest a configuration for the chopsticks and a method of insertion.
FAA to be rejigged?
Presumably they will have a buoy (boy) as before, but we'll get much better views of the Starship landing. I'm expecting now Trump is in place Musk will be pestering him to get the FAA to speed up its licence approvals for subsequent flights. He wants to fly the next test flight as soon as possible, which seems to be a couple of months from the last one and to think that Starhopper, that 'small' thing they've moved to the side of the road by the launch pads, only flew in 2019. Just incredible.