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Astronomers back call for review of bonkers rule that means satellite swarms fly without environment checks

(2024/08/29)


Astronomy researchers from several US universities have joined a campaign coordinated by US Public Interest Research Group (US PIRG) to pause low Earth satellite launches and convince the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) to reconsider exempting swarms of small satellites from environmental review requirements.

Astronomers from Princeton University, University of California, Berkeley, and University of Arizona, among others, have added their names to [1]a public letter that will be presented at some point to FCC space bureau chief Julie Kearney.

The letter asks the FCC to follow prior recommendations from the Government Accountability Office (GAO), which in 2022 issued [2]a report calling for the telecom regulator to revisit its decision to exempt large constellations of satellites from environmental review.

[3]

The exemption was created way back in 1986, when far fewer satellites were being launched. The GAO, however, urged the FCC to review the exemption, citing the recent proliferation of satellites and the questions that have been raised about the sustainability of the exemption.

[4]

[5]

That recommendation was recently echoed by US PIRG, which earlier this month [6]made a similar request to the FCC.

US PIRG notes that the number of satellites in low Earth orbit has increased by a factor of 127 over the past five years, driven largely by the deployment of mega-constellations of communications satellites from SpaceX's Starlink subsidiary.

[7]Chinese broadband satellites may be Beijing's flying spying censors, think tank warns

[8]Japan abandons SLIM hopes its lunar lander will revive, ends Moon mission

[9]India delays planned space station and moon base by five years

[10]Japan's Astroscale wins contract for space junk harvesting robotic arm

Launching large numbers of small satellites presents potential pollution and safety risks, and [11]spoils stargazing . With 6,000 SpaceX satellites in orbit – a number planned to reach 40,000 in a few years – and a satellite lifespan of just five years, US PIRG expects [12]tons of satellite debris will be burned daily upon re-entering the Earth's atmosphere. That's in addition to the pollution caused by satellite launches, which US PIRG projects will be "equivalent to seven million diesel dump trucks circling the globe each year."

The advocacy group's lobbying has been endorsed by several astronomers, and US PIRG is also seeking support from the public.

[13]

"We don’t know the long-term effects of the huge number of proposed satellites on our ozone, climate, and environment," argued Samantha Lawler, associate professor of astronomy at University of Regina in Saskatchewan, Canada, in a statement. "What we do know is relying on a decades-old decision to exclude 50,000 satellites from environmental review defies common sense."

In addition to Lawler, signatories include: Minkwan Kim from University of Southampton (lead researcher on the first international study into the environmental impact of space debris disposal using atmospheric ablation); Joshua Reding, AAAS Science & Technology Policy Fellow at the National Science Foundation; and Roohi Dalal from the Outer Space Institute.

SpaceX, which oversees Starlink, did not immediately respond to a request for comment. ®

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[1] https://pirg.org/edfund/take-action/sign-our-expert-letter-calling-on-fcc-to-end-the-environmental-categorical-exclusion-of-satellites/

[2] https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-23-105005

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2ZtBGxOd2hNwme6BLhQTYJQAAANg&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZtBGxOd2hNwme6BLhQTYJQAAANg&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZtBGxOd2hNwme6BLhQTYJQAAANg&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[6] https://www.theregister.com/2024/08/12/starlink_spacex_environment_review/

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2024/08/28/aspi_china_satellite_broadband_risk/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2024/08/26/jaxa_ends_slim_moon_mission/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2024/08/23/india_space_timeline/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2024/08/19/japan_space_junk_retrieval/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2024/08/07/low_orbit_satellites_for_phone/

[12] https://pirg.org/articles/new-report-highlights-spacexs-skyrocketing-pollution-problem/

[13] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZtBGxOd2hNwme6BLhQTYJQAAANg&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[14] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Now just a cotton-picking minute, there

Pascal Monett

" relying on a decades-old decision to exclude 50,000 satellites from environmental review defies common sense "

I'm sure it made perfect sense for the lobbyists who made it happen. Not to mention the companies who paid the lobbyists.

Re: Now just a cotton-picking minute, there

Peter2

When the rule was made and you could practically count the number of satellites on your fingers because they were incredibly expensive both to build and launch then it probably made sense.

When somebody is tossing very cheap satellites in orbit by the tens of thousands with a lifetime only marginally longer than a politicians memory for inconvenient facts then that might need reviewing.

Re: Now just a cotton-picking minute, there

UCAP

...a lifetime only marginally longer than a politicians memory for inconvenient facts...

Satellites tend to last much longer than the Plank time (that being the ability of a politician to retain anything they don't want to know).

Re: Now just a cotton-picking minute, there

that one in the corner

> Plank time (that being the ability of a politician to retain anything they don't want to know)

The Planck Time is how long politicians retain unfortunate truths.

The Plank Time is what we dream of applying to said politicians (one piece of wood, so many uses: dunking, nailing, swatting...)

Hans Neeson-Bumpsadese

There are all sorts of controls over what is allowed to happen and not happen in Antarctica, because of its environmental sensitivity. I don't understand why space isn't similarly controlled. You just couldn't imagine a commercial organisation saying "we've come up with a way to do something and it involves putting a load of kit into Antarctica", in the same way that SpaceX decided they wanted to get into the satellite broadband biz and started lofting thousands of satellites.

wolfetone

You won't win a world war in Antartica.

You will win it in SPAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACE

Martin Gregorie

First define 'winning'. If it means filling LEO with so much junk that nobody else can safely launch satellites or other spacecraft, then yes, its winnable but ultimately everybody looses.

The problem is that Musk, as usual, doesn't seem to care what damage his schemes do to others, and his chums (Bezos, etc) haven't even considered that adding another few tens of thousands of satellites to LEO space might just possibly cause collisions and so add so much junk to the LEO scrap heap that space becomes effectively inacessable.

Really, its about time that those needing high speed terrestrial comms realise that fibre is the best option, and that bulk data transfers should use fibre, if message transfer speed is the prime requirement, or geostationary satellite links where data volume rather than message flight time is the main issue, and that LEO space needs to be reserved for manned earth-orbital traffic and the arrival and departure of lunar and interplanetary space flights.

The point that seems to have been forgotten by those wanting to stuff LEO and NEO space with tens of thousands of (short life) satellites is that once they start to collide more often than they do at present, then spaceflight of almost every type will soon become almost impossible for rather a long time.

/\/\j17

"Really, its about time that those needing high speed terrestrial comms realise that fibre is the best option, and that bulk data transfers should use fibre...".

I do wonder if the math of these LEO clusters actually make sense. No matter how you slice it designing, testing, building, and launching rockets is an expensive business and yes, does give everyone on the face of the Earth theoretical access to a high speed Internet connection. But what if the same money had been spent laying fiber everywhere, especially if we consider the lifespan of a fiber cable around 40 years which with a 5 year life for LEO space junk means 7 full replacement cycles. I'd also guess you could be providing the resulting Internet access for less than £75/month...

Considering the FCC...

xyz

Just approved Starlink to do new stuff last week and as part of the deal, to reach a mutual accord with assorted telescope polishers, this bunch appears to be a bit late to the party.

Not going to happen ..

t245t

> Astronomy researchers .. have joined a campaign [to] convince the .. (FCC) to reconsider exempting .. small satellites from environmental review requirements ..

Not going to happen, they're too usefull.

Honest numbers please

Flocke Kroes

Astronomers definitely have a valid point but I would like them to make that point with honest numbers. Fuel load of a Falcon 9 is 123570kg. There will be about 100 Starlink launches this year. I used 14L/100km for the fuel efficiency of a dump truck. That number is old but for a smallish truck I can drive because I am the right age to have C1 on my ordinary license. Plenty of other numbers you could choose but astronomers are often content with an accuracy of multiply or divide 10. That puts the fuel required for an old small dump truck to drive around the world at about 5000kg. It would only take about 2500 trucks to match all the Starlink launches, not 7,000,000. While we are at it, driving around the world in a year is an average speed of 1.44km/h. A more honest picture would be 83 trucks each driving around the world thirty times per year (44km/h).

Re: Honest numbers please

Anonymous Coward

Do *your* "honest numbers" take into account the effects of *where* the pollutants are? How much of your ground-based emissions reach high altitude and how much of a difference does that make?

Your numbers may be more honest, or they may not, but not even mentioning such differences, not even to simply dismiss them as (in your mind) unimportant, leaves a hole in your argument big enough to fly a SpaceX constellation through.

Remember, fluorocarbons were all fine and dandy down here, but made a right mess up there.

Re: Honest numbers please

Charlie Clark

I don't think focussing on the fuel used is helpful. If necessary, this can be dealt with through some kind of carbon-pricing, though only if all launchers agree.

What isn't in doubt, is the problem of having many tens of thousands of satellites in orbit. This causes problems in and of itself, but also, of course, when they come to end of life. We don't know the long term consequences of letting them all burn up in reentry and, if our experience of terrestial pollution has shown us anything, it's that we shouldn't wait until we have a problem before we start dealing with it.

A liability and insurance based scheme that makes companies liable for the debris would be helpful, but this probably needs accompanying by some kind of fund to stop companies declaring bankruptcy as soon as they become liable.

However, given the history of US environmental regulation, the power of commercial lobbies and the recent SCOTUS decision on the ability of government agencies to regulate, I wouldn't expect anything to happen soon; probably not until there are civil claims that force changes.

Mr. Rockford? You don't know me, but I'd like to hire you. Could
you call me at... My name is... uh... Never mind, forget it!
-- "The Rockford Files"