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Return to office mandates had senior employees jumping ship

(2024/05/14)


A study has found that return to office mandates resulted in a noteworthy number of senior employees leaving jobs at Microsoft, Apple, and SpaceX.

Penned by researchers from the University of Michigan and University of Chicago, the [1]study [PDF] analyzed resume data via People Data Labs from a variety of tech companies to measure what effect return to office mandates had on workforce demographics. They took particular interest in Microsoft, Apple, and SpaceX since these were some of the first employers to demand a shift back to working on-site.

These return to office mandates also predated [2]the massive tech industry layoffs that began in 2022, helping to isolate the impact from the remote working rules.

[3]

Microsoft, which issued its return to office order in April 2022, required employees to spend at least half the week in the office. By contrast, Apple only asked for a single day, while SpaceX abolished remote work altogether.

[4]

[5]

Even with a somewhat middle-of-the-road policy, Microsoft's data shows over a four percent increase in the share of positions held by sub-senior employees immediately after implementing its return to office mandate.

It was a similar story at Apple, which saw a near 4 percent rise in sub-senior positions vacating. However, SpaceX experienced an even larger loss of top talent as its sub-senior worker share rose by 15 percent. The data implies that return to office mandates could convince senior employees to leave, and the stricter the mandates are, the more likely they are to jump ship.

[6]

"One thing we would like to emphasize is that these estimates are 'causal' in the sense that we account for what would have happened at Microsoft in the absence of an RTO [return to office mandate]," said co-author David Van Dijcke to The Register . "So we are not just reporting a before and after comparison, and it is unlikely that these effects are driven by factors unrelated to the RTO."

Essentially, the figures show what would have happened at the three tech giants had they not issued their office mandates.

[7]Dell to color-code staff based on how hybrid they really are in RTO push

[8]Return to Office mandates boost company profits? Nope

[9]As TikTok surveils staff's office hours, research indicates WFH is good for planet

[10]Amazon's latest directive: Report to the office 'cos we're watching you

Overall, the general experience level of Microsoft employees declined. Staff with less than two years of tenure at the tech firm increased, while the amount of employees with tenure above two years saw visible shrinkage, especially among those who had racked up between two and six years at Microsoft.

Additionally, the study finds that the mandate eroded the average experience level among the longest tenured employees by a month or two, a further indication of the number and quality of departing workers.

Leaving to get away from mandates if at all possible

The study also investigated where the employees eventually landed. Prior to the mandate, ex-Microsoft workers left for firms like GitHub, Twitch, and tech startups; in other words, they weren't going to competitors.

But after Microsoft issued its order to work half the week in the office, outgoing employees suddenly started finding new stints at Intel, Amazon, Dell, and especially Meta, businesses that didn't yet have a return to office mandate in place.

These movers weren't accepting demotions, different roles, or going into unemployment, and the study notes it's likely that "the senior employees leaving Microsoft have good outside options." However, as more employers have since implemented their own mandates, "we can expect the value of employees' outside options to shrink as more companies implement RTOs."

[11]

As long as employees can find places that allow remote work, the study says "return to office mandates can imply significant human capital costs in terms of output, productivity, innovation, and competitiveness for the companies that implement them."

Microsoft took issue with the study's findings, noting their own stats do not necessarily correspond.

"Our internal data does not align with these findings, especially around attrition. It is also inaccurate to say we have a return to office mandate. We have a hybrid workplace that revolves around flexibility and a mix of workstyles across worksite, work location and work hours," Amy Coleman, Corporate Vice President, Human Resources & Corporate Functions at Microsoft told The Register .

We've also reached out to Apple, and SpaceX for comment on the study. They haven't responded as of yet, but we'll update if they do. ®

Get our [12]Tech Resources



[1] https://harris.uchicago.edu/sites/default/files/wright-return-to-office.pdf

[2] https://www.theregister.com/2022/08/16/ninefold_increase_in_startup_layoffs/

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2ZkPe@xcu22yZfvU05E1JwQAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZkPe@xcu22yZfvU05E1JwQAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZkPe@xcu22yZfvU05E1JwQAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZkPe@xcu22yZfvU05E1JwQAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2024/05/08/dell_return_office/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2024/02/02/return_to_office_mandates_do_not_boost_profits/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2023/09/20/is_wfh_good_for_planet_ask_tik_tok/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2023/08/11/amazon_memo/

[11] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZkPe@xcu22yZfvU05E1JwQAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[12] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Why?

simonlb

Remote working is a thing now and makes complete sense if it suits your business. So, unless there is a definite, specific need for someone to physically be at a company premises to do their job, is there any logical reason to mandate other workers to be on-site for a number of days each week/month if it serves no purpose? It wastes their time and costs them money to travel in and provides zero benefit.

Ok, I can possibly accept large team meeting might benefit (somehow) by everyone being present in person, but unless there's a definite business need it's just a crazy requirement and I'm not surprised in the slightest that staff have jumped ship.

Pascal Monett

A lagre team meeting is, IMO, the definition of a waste of time. Many people bored to death listening to one or two twats monopolizing airtime for no definitive result.

A good manager would discuss matters with heads of teams, then ask them to discuss with their team, then come back with the results. When all teams have given their say, a new meeting between manager and heads of teams to discuss results and consequences. Then a mail to everyone to officialize the result.

You waste a lot less time, people are more engaged and more ideas might come out.

But hey, what do I know ? I don't have a fancy MBA.

Lager team meeting…

parrot

… is a great reason to work from home. Just blow on the mug before you drink from it so everyone thinks it’s coffee.

Re: Why?

abend0c4

You appear to be labouring under the misapprehension that there is some economic logic to business decisions.

To the extent that there is research (and there's not enough), business decision making is often/usually contrary to the economic interests of the enterprise - and the bigger the decision, the worse the outcome (M&A is an area particularly poor in value for shareholders, though often makes a fortune for directors).

The reality is that many significant business decisions are made by people who have personal stakes in the outcome which are unrelated to the interests of the business or are taken by those whose influence and status is unrelated to their actual performance, but determined by their strength of personality.

It's an uncomfortable reflection on humankind, but shareholders seem to prefer cartoon posturing to actual economic returns - with the consequence that cartoon posturing raises share prices even in the absence of any underlying economic justification. Until it doesn't.

However, our entire capitalist society is based on the notion that the market is somehow beyond human control, so don't expect those who've worked out how to control it to 'fess up.

Not surprised!

Jou (Mxyzptlk)

With experience there are things you don't have to put up with. IT is among those where old people are considered as experienced and valuable. And that trend is getting stronger and stronger. The ability to see the actual big picture, not just what the marketing is trying to sell as big picture, is valuable. On top those have been there when the IP protocol started to take on, so there is so much accumulated knowledge... As long as they are not a prick character and able to listen, including to those less than half of my their age since they do know things I they don't, plays an important role too.

And the wheel continues to spin..

Anonymous Coward

"... outgoing employees suddenly started finding new stints at Intel, Amazon, Dell, and especially Meta, businesses that didn't yet have a return to office mandate in place."

And now those businesses do have RTO mandates, and the "new hires" are once again unhappy.

Corporate stupidity at its finest. One of the aforementioned companies basically said "Oh, you don't _have_ to return to the office. You won't get promoted, your salary will freeze, and you'll migrate to the top of the layoff list, but we wouldn't DREAM of either forcing you back or discriminating against you based on your taking the proffered option. Heavens, no."

Makes you understand why people are leaving this industry in droves.

Facts are the enemy of truth.
-- Don Quixote