News: 1715021111

  ARM Give a man a fire and he's warm for a day, but set fire to him and he's warm for the rest of his life (Terry Pratchett, Jingo)

Warren Buffett voices AI fears, likens tech to atom bomb

(2024/05/06)


Video You can add Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett to the list of folks worried about the implications of artificial intelligence on society.

During the firm's annual shareholder meeting on Saturday, Buffett compared the technology's potential to the Manhattan Project and the arms race that followed.

"I really don't know anything about AI," the super-investor admitted during the meeting, which you can watch below. "Used in a pro-social way, it's got terrific benefits to society. But, I don't know how you make sure that happens any more than I know how to be sure that when you use two atomic bombs in World War II that you'd know you hadn't created something that could destroy the world later."

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[2]Youtube Video

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Buffett also implied that just as with nuclear warfare capabilities, our hands are somewhat tied in the development of AI technologies in that if we don't adopt it, someone else will.

Since the debut of OpenAI's ChatGPT, which sparked a flurry of investment in generative AI technologies, large language models, and the infrastructure on which they're built, the technology has been championed as a way to do more with less.

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IBM CEO Arvind Krishna has been rather blunt about where this is headed at his business. Last spring, the exec [6]boasted that as many as 30 percent of IBM's back office jobs could be automated with AI.

Big Blue has since joined a [7]consortium of tech giants that aim to identify which IT jobs are likely to be eliminated by the technology first, with the stated goal of retraining staff to fill jobs that AI isn't ready for.

Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger, another member of the consortium, [8]opined last month that AI could one day see the formation of the single-person unicorn (a business with a valuation over a billion).

[9]Microsoft doesn't want cops using Azure AI for facial recognition

[10]Not a Genius move: Resurrecting war hero Alan Turing as your 'chief AI officer'

[11]Politicians call for ban on 'killer robots' and the curbing of AI weapons

[12]Tech titans assemble to decide which jobs AI should cut first

For Berkshire Hathaway's part, Greg Abel, who is slated to succeed Buffett as CEO, admitted that AI will displace labor, but hopefully there are other opportunities for those laid off. Whether those opportunities would afford the same benefits, he didn't say — there happens to be a shortage of janitors and truckers at the moment, so maybe that's what he means by "opportunities."

Unfortunately, Tesla, Figure, and an army of humanoid robotics startups seem keen to [13]claim those before long, so those opportunities may be short lived.

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For the moment, Abel says Berkshire Hathaway is largely investigating AI tools as a means to increase efficiency, effectiveness, and the safety of certain roles. However, he didn't clarify which tools the business was using nor where they were being deployed.

Buffett isn't the first to draw comparisons between AI's societal impact and the nuclear arms race and cold war that followed the bombing of Nagasaki and Hiroshima.

Last week, politicians from around the globe offered a [15]stark warning about the potential for AI to further dehumanize war and called for a ban on weaponized AI and killer robots.

In one of the more evocative comparisons, Austrian foreign minister Alexander Schallenberg described the issue as the "Oppenheimer moment of our generation," before impressing the need for regulation to limit the use of AI in military applications. ®

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[6] https://www.theregister.com/2023/05/02/ibm_ai_back_office_jobs/

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2024/04/04/ai_replacement_jobs/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2024/04/10/intel_ceo_ai_automation/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2024/05/04/microsoft_cloud_facial_recog/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2024/05/02/genius_group_alan_turing/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2024/04/30/kill_killer_robots_now/

[12] https://www.theregister.com/2024/04/04/ai_replacement_jobs/

[13] https://www.theregister.com/2024/02/29/figure_human_robot_funding/

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[15] https://www.theregister.com/2024/04/30/kill_killer_robots_now/

[16] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



If I could post an image...

may_i

but as I can't, you'll have to use your imagination.

old-man-yells-at-cloud.jpg

Dan 55

"I really don't know anything about AI... Used in a pro-social way, it's got terrific benefits to society."

I'm trying to think of a pro-social way of using "AI"... As far as I can tell it's just disruption² with all that entails.

There's a storm coming?

vtcodger

Thirty years ago most tech CEOs had some sort of grasp of technology. Back then, a committee of tech leaders asked about a new technology might actually have come up with something meaningful and maybe even useful. Today, the very clever geeks of the late 20th century have mostly been replaced by bean counters, marketeers (which is to say professional liars), and assorted scumbags.

I have no more idea than Mr Buffett what the impact, if any, of AI will be. I fear that the best we can realistically hope for might be that AI fails miserably at pretty much everything non-trivial that it attempts. That folks lose faith in it, move on to some new fantasy, and AI is allowed to develop slowly and quietly into something with some actual utility and hopefully minimal catastrophic potential.

Intel CPUs are not defective, they just act that way.
-- Henry Spencer