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  ARM Give a man a fire and he's warm for a day, but set fire to him and he's warm for the rest of his life (Terry Pratchett, Jingo)

Cory Doctorow has a plan to wipe away the enshittification of tech

(2024/01/30)


Opinion An apocryphal tale regarding the late, great footballer George Best being interviewed by a reporter just after getting suspended from Manchester United offers an apt description of today’s tech industry right now.

Best was the finest footballer (or soccer in Freedom Language) of his generation during the Swinging Sixties and was one of the first big-money athletes to transcend sport and achieve celebrity. He was handsome, ferociously talented on the pitch, and famously debauched off it. He was once quoted as saying "I spent a lot of money on booze, birds and fast cars – the rest I just squandered."

According to the tale, the journalist was ushered into his hotel suite – strewn with empty champagne bottles after a wild party. A former Miss United Kingdom was freshening up in the shower and George sat in an armchair with a cigar and a huge glass of Scotch in his fist. The journalist’s first question was: "So Bestie, where did it all go wrong?"

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The same question can be asked of today’s tech industry which, like Best, experienced initial greatness but has arguably wasted the spoils with loutish behavior and cashing in on past achievements. The Cambrian explosion of business ideas that the invention of internet produced a generation ago have ossified into rent seeking, buying out the competition, and funneling huge amounts of cash to shareholders.

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Facebook – once a great way to keep in contact with old acquaintances – has turned into a spam-ridden hole. Google won its place as the search champion on merit, but these days users must scroll past endless sponsored ads or SEO articles – something AI will likely [4]make worse .

Meanwhile streaming services are jacking up their prices, having locked in their viewers. Uber and Lyft are cracking down on drivers and pricing after having "disrupted" the taxi industry. Food delivery services are also increasing prices and adding mysterious fees after having seduced an audience unwilling or unable to leave their homes to seek sustenance.

It's not just you

Attracting customers and then exploiting them is a phenomenon that's as old as capitalism, but it's become endemic in the tech industry where it has earned a new name: "enshittification."

The coiner of the term, author and activist Cory Doctorow, described it [5]thus .

Here is how platforms die: first, they are good to their users; then they abuse their users to make things better for their business customers; finally, they abuse those business customers to claw back all the value for themselves. Then, they die.

Doctorow gave a [6]speech on the topic at last year's DEF CON infosec conference, and his analysis is gaining traction on all sides of the political and technological spectrum. With a few small portals dominating the technology landscape and either buying out or crushing the competition, it's looking like entrenched interests are ceasing to innovate themselves, and settling into just generating value for shareholders – customers and suppliers be damned. You can see the whole talk below.

[7]Youtube Video

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In an interview with The Register , Doctorow explained that the reasons for enshittification are complex, and not necessarily directly malicious – but a product of the current business environment and the state of regulation.

He thinks the way to flush enshittification is enforcing effective competition.

"We need to have prohibition and regulation that prohibits the capital markets from funding predatory pricing," he explained.

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"It's very hard to enter the market when people are selling things below cost. We need to prohibit predatory acquisitions. Look at Facebook: buying Instagram, and Mark Zuckerberg sending an email saying we're buying Instagram because people don't like Facebook and they're moving to Instagram, and we just don't want them to have anywhere else to go."

The frustrating part of this is that the laws needed to break up the big tech monopolies that allow enshittification, and encourage competition, are already on the books.

Doctorow lamented those laws haven't been enforced. In the US, the Clayton Act, the Federal Trade Act, and the Sherman Act are all valid, but have either not been enforced or are being questioned in the courts.

However, in the last few years that appears to be changing.

Recent actions by increasingly muscular regulatory agencies like the FTC and FCC are starting to move against the big tech monopolies, as well as in other industry sectors. What's more, Doctorow pointed out, these are not just springing from the Democratic administration but are being actively supported by an increasing number of Republicans. He cited Lina Khan, appointed as chair of the FTC in part thanks to the support of Republican politicians seeking change (although the GOP now regularly criticizes her positions).

The sheer size of the largest tech companies certainly gives them an advantage in cases like these, Doctorow opined, noting that we've seen this in action more than 20 years ago.

"Think back to the Napster era, and compare tech and entertainment. Entertainment was very concentrated into about seven big firms and they had total unity and message discipline," Doctorow recalled.

"Tech was a couple of hundred firms, and they were much larger – like an order of magnitude larger in aggregate than entertainment. But their messages were all over the place, and they were contradicting each other. And so they just lost, and they lost very badly."

The curse of bigness

Doctorow suggested enshittification of services happens due to the kind of management that such mega-companies demand.

Traditionally, CEOs progress in a large company by taking a new idea and growing it into a valuable business unit. It worked for Microsoft's Satya Nadella in developing cloud platforms for Redmond, and Andy Jassy followed a similar route to success with Amazon after pioneering AWS. Meanwhile, Sundar Pichai oversaw the growth of ChromeOS before taking leadership at Alphabet.

Doctorow thinks that the same process might also harm innovation. Uneasy lies the head that bears the crown, and CEOs might be unwilling to promote major new innovations – he cited the failure of social network Google+ as a classic example.

Further down the chain there's a problem with getting too big and dominant: you run out of customers. Google has a 90 percent market share in search, and all the advertising in the world probably isn't going to convince the rest to shift platforms. Growth has to come from other efforts.

"Nobody sat down and said, 'Let's make Google worse,'" Doctorow suggested.

"You often hear people at Google being very sincere and saying, like, 'we're not deliberately making Google worse'. And they're not setting out to make Google worse. They're just only finding growth from raising costs, reducing value, and cutting back on internal structures."

[10]Google sends Titan broadband drones to the unicorns' graveyard

[11]Alphabet, Bharti Airtel to bridge India's digital divide with frickin' laser beams

[12]Google Cloud makes its first profit, 15 years after launching

[13]Google cut contractors off from online 'Share My Salary' spreadsheet, union claims

While this is bad for customers, it can also be bad for security. As more changes are made by different departments, they can open loopholes in other areas where product shifts leave vulnerabilities.

These kinds of policies also have a knock-on effect on workers – another key area for wiping away enshittification. Tech workers, like most people, care about the jobs they are doing – it's demoralizing when they are forced to make cuts they know will be bad for end users.

In the past it was possible to put these to one side, Doctorow suggested, because the sector has very good pay and perks. But the endless need for more profit has changed in the last few years.

"Remember when tech workers dreamed of working for a big company before striking out on their own to put that big company out of business? Then that dream shrank to working for a few years, quitting and doing a fake startup to get hired back by your old boss in the world's most inefficient way to get a raise," he told the Def Con crowd last August.

"Next it shrank even further. You're working for a tech giant your whole life but you get free kombucha and massages. And now that dream is over and all that's left is work with a tech giant until they fire your ass – like those [14]12,000 Googlers who got fired six months after a stock buyback that would have paid their salaries for the next 27 years. We deserve better than this."

Ultimately, enshittification will be hard to flush away, but if events over the past few years have shown anything, it's that this change can come with surprising speed. And Bog Zech really needs to change – because at the moment things are going from bad to worse and the folks at the top have little incentive to change.

There is power in a union

All of that [15]cost cutting – it's estimated that around 400,000 tech workers have been let go in the last few years – might backfire.

For a start there are a lot of smart techies trying to decide what to do with themselves, and – despite some belt tightening – there are still plenty of venture capital firms keen to support what could be the next big thing.

More importantly, the past few years have seen a growing movement towards labor organizing in the tech industry – across not only coders and designers, but also blue collar workers like Amazon's warehouse staff. Collaboration among very different sorts of workers on this issue has reached unprecedented levels.

"We're so much closer to tech unionization than we were just a few years ago. Yeah, it's still nascent, and yes, it's easy to double small numbers, but the strength is doubling very quickly and in a very heartening way," Doctorow told The Reg .

"We're really at a turning point. And some of it is coming from the kind of solidarity like you see with warehouse workers and tech workers."

A cynic might say that it's only when your own job is at risk that you show solidarity with others – and there's an element of truth to that. But there's more to it, thanks to two factors: education and whistleblowers.

On the education side, there have already been big changes in both the Teamsters Union and the United Auto Workers in the US. In the case of the Teamsters, a group of Harvard adjuncts – poorly paid teaching staff – started to unionize but received no support from complacent Teamsters Union management. So they studied the rules and forced changes at the top and are starting to see [16]major wins in pay and conditions, as the recent strike at transport company UPS demonstrated.

The same is possible in the tech industry, and we're already seeing some knowledge workers forming unions. Tellingly, this is occurring most quickly in some of the areas where staff have traditionally been massively overworked – the gaming industry is notorious for long hours.

As for whistleblowers, they are not always white knights, as Doctorow explained. While some will spill the beans based on genuinely offended morals, there are plenty of whistleblowers who do so after willingly participating in the system but who blow the whistle after a dispute or job loss. Both are very useful in showing how these corporations are operating.

In the end it should be possible to reverse the current trend and reintroduce a more competitive technology industry environment that can spur innovation, spread the wealth, and grow more efficient for users, employers, and investors. ®

Get our [17]Tech Resources



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[4] https://www.theregister.com/2022/12/06/internet_ai_gpt_ios/

[5] https://pluralistic.net/2023/01/21/potemkin-ai/#hey-guys

[6] https://www.theregister.com/2023/08/14/def_con_bomb_scare/

[7] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rimtaSgGz_4

[8] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZbjW1xFYancHB1hCMqrlKAAAAIU&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

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[10] https://www.theregister.com/2017/01/12/google_sends_titan_broadband_drones_to_the_unicorns_graveyard/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2023/06/27/alphabet_bharti_airtel_laser_beams/

[12] https://www.theregister.com/2023/04/26/alphabet_q1_2023/

[13] https://www.theregister.com/2022/11/04/google_nlrb_complaint/

[14] https://www.theregister.com/2023/01/20/google_to_chop_12000_employees/

[15] https://www.theregister.com/2023/11/10/amazon_google_snap_zillow_layoffs/

[16] https://www.insidehighered.com/opinion/career-advice/2023/08/22/tenured-faculty-must-act-solidarity-adjuncts-and-others-opinion

[17] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Deliberation

elsergiovolador

shareholder> Hey that server costs, where they come from?

cto> ad serving, search

shareholder> what brings money?

cto> ad serving

shareholder> can you make search to search less?

cto> yes but people are not going to like it

shareholder> where do they go?

cto> yes, boss. On it.

One cannot offer novel solutions if one doesn’t recognise systemic problems

amanfromMars 1

In the end it should be possible to reverse the current trend and reintroduce a more competitive technology industry environment that can spur innovation, spread the wealth, and grow more efficient for users, employers, and investors.

What/Who says it was ever impossible?

Whenever profit is always money for nothing making everything surprisingly quickly too expensive to employ and enjoy, will its systems implode and support groups be forced to seek protection from liquidation ‽ .

Stallman was right

Anonymous Coward

Again.

> With a few small portals dominating the technology landscape and either buying out or crushing the competition, it's looking like entrenched interests are ceasing to innovate themselves, and settling into just generating value for shareholders – customers and suppliers be damned.

This is exactly what he warned about.

As much as he may have, umm, a questionable persona; when it comes to tech the Big Bad Beard is on the money time and time again.

Bog Zech?????

Andy 73

Now that's either a famous Russian chip designer, or a great typo.

Not sure that unionisation will deliver better services and value for end users (remember the car industry of the 70's had effectively gone through a similar growth and stagnation process), but the diagnosis is accurate

The challenge here is scale, which is hard to fight. Whilst the big game studios hire and fire tens of thousands of overworked staff, the indie scene (which isn't paying CEO salaries of tens of millions of dollars) struggles to afford development costs.

Back to the car industry - the collapse in the 70s didn't deliver new car companies in the west, so much as open the door to competition from countries with lower wages and more committed workers.

Re: Bog Zech?????

elsergiovolador

Do you mean Bohdan "BogZech" Zechenko? That's Ukrainian.

Root Cause

Headley_Grange

First deal with the stock markets that are short term and don't give a toss what they invest in other than to demand constantly increasing sales, profits and dividends. If a company misses its forecast by a couple of percentage points but still delivers $billions in profit and dividends, their share pirice gets hammered by the markets. The size of the consumer/customer market and how much money they've got isn't growing exponentiallly for established, mature services so the only method that companies have got to satisfy the demands of the shareholders is to invent a new market or buy another company. The consolidations are mostly driven by stock markets obsessed with constant growth.

How to fix it? Dunno. Maybe prohibitive taxes on short-term share dealings and dividends or on CEO bonuses that are dependent on share price?

Re: Root Cause

Greybearded old scrote

The stock market was created to fund expensive startups. (Originally vessels to sail east for tea and spice, or for the foul triangular trade.) Why do they still have power after that phase? Because they are rich enough that the law of, "Because I say so" applies.

As much as I wouldn't take it literally, there's a reason why Cory's website icon is a guillotine.

It's everywhere

0laf

You can see enshittification everywhere, not just tech. I just never had a word for it until now. In politics, in basic utility services (water/sewage in the England being a prime example), in cars, clothing everything. You can see the same trend, shittier service delivered by fewer more overworked underpaid staff for ever increasing prices. AI for many companies is just another way to push this further, a way to ditch underpaid staff completely, deliver even shittier levels of service and extract ever more money.

And it's all backed up by a government and right wring press that gaslights citizens to belive that they should only ever be paid less (real terms), should work harder and if they don't like it they are lazy bastards deserving of destitution.

Eternal Growth

Big_Boomer

The root problem is the idea of eternal growth. Shareholders expect the same or better dividend than last year, even if last years was a freak, and the CEOs have no choice but to try to deliver because they are the same in wanting more money, more, more, MORE!! ALL HAIL THE GREAT GOD OF GREED! Most people want more, but the big difference with shareholders is that they get to VOTE to give themselves more and they don't care if it ****s up the company they have shares in, as they can always sell those and buy something else.

Mint Sauce

"footballer (or soccer in Freedom Language)"

I see the enshittification of El Reg continues apace... :-/

abend0c4

Quite. It obviously should be "soccerer".

Well

Greybearded old scrote

That was slower than I expected.

Dan 55

I'm shocked the reference wasn't changed from Best to Babe Ruth.

Does old Cory know what he's talking about?

I ain't Spartacus

He's very good at making these wide, sweeping statements, as if they're somehow some kind of philosophical or ecomic laws. But what's he got to back them up? What research has he done on similar stages in other massive growth industries?

For example, he laments how the tech industry wasn't united but the evil record industry was, hence the death of Napster. But what's the rest of the tech industry got to do with it? Napster died because their business model was to steal other peoples' stuff and... Profit. I don't see how say Oracle or Facebook had skin in that game, they weren't interested in the music industry. Other than that Oracle would like to defend intellectual property, because they sell software, and Facebook generally like to steal a litte of it, given they need content to put adverts next to, and don't generate any themselves.

Partly we're looking at the results and chaos of another industrial revolution. Massive economic and social changes brought on by huge technological change have disrupted whole sectors of the economy and society. Would you not expect things to go wrong as well as right?

I do agree with him that regulators and politicians have failed to use exisiting laws to rein in the big tech firms though. Google's use of its search and advertising monopoly to fund a move into the mobile market (in order to defend those monopolies from competition), by giving away Android for free destroyed Blackberry and Microsoft - who were unwilling to invest their own monopoly profits into doing the same thing. That was obvious in advance, and might have been stopped. It's not like the old railway booms of the mid 19th Century - the legal structures exist now.

A prominent broadcaster, on a big-game safari in Africa, was taken to a
watering hole where the life of the jungle could be observed. As he
looked down from his tree platform and described the scene into his
tape recorder, he saw two gnus grazing peacefully. So preoccupied were
they that they failed to observe the approach of a pride of lions led
by two magnificent specimens, obviously the leaders. The lions charged,
killed the gnus, and dragged them into the bushes where their feasting
could not be seen. A little while later the two kings of the jungle
emerged and the radioman recorded on his tape: "Well, that's the end of
the gnus and here, once again, are the head lions."