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'There has never been a realistic plan' for UK's £11B Emergency Services Network

(2023/07/14)


UK politicians have slammed progress on the £11 billion Emergency Services Network (ESN) – the replacement blue-light mobile voice and data system – saying the government is far too optimistic about its progress and the challenges ahead.

Eight years into the delayed project – which has seen its budget swell by £6 billion – the Home Office risks repeating the mistakes it has already made, said Parliament's public spending watchdog, the Public Accounts Committee (PAC).

The ESN is set to replace Airwave, the mobile comms systems used by the fire, police and ambulance services in the UK. Although reliable, Airwave is old and lacks data bandwidth. The Home Office [1]started the program to deliver ESN in 2015, and hoped to begin using it in 2017 , allowing Airwave to be replaced in December 2019. Under current plans, the ESN will not go live until 2026, [2]and it may be as late as 2029.

[3]

According to a new PAC report, the Home Office still does not know when ESN will be ready and has little to show the taxpayer for its efforts despite having spent some £2 billion.

[4]

[5]

Dame Meg Hillier MP, PAC chair, said: "The ESN project is a classic case of optimism bias in Government. There has never been a realistic plan for ESN and no evidence that it will work as well as the current system. Assertions from the Home Office that it will simply 'crack on' with the project are disconnected from the reality, and emergency services cannot be left to pick up the tab for continued delays. With £2 billion already spent on ESN and little to show for it, the Home Office must not simply throw good money after bad."

Delays to ESN have meant additional costs for emergency services in keeping Airwave running and preparing to introduce the new network. Transitional costs for the ambulance service amount to £9.5 million, while the fire service said it had spent £6 million. The fire service also spent £2 million on early versions of ESN which now had to be replaced, the PAC report said.

[6]

Police forces estimate that Airwave devices have cost them £125 million since 2018, and expect to spend another £25 million by 2026. Forces will be hit by further costs because current hardware will be obsolete in 2028 and may need replacing again before ESN is ready, the report said.

[7]Comms watchdog to probe errors that left Brits unable to make emergency calls

[8]Excess profits on Motorola's Airwave estimated to be £1.3B

[9]Up to £895M up for grabs in UK Emergency Services procurement

[10]UK emergency services take DIY approach amid 12-year wait for comms upgrade

Additional risks were placed before the project when the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) began an [11]investigation into Motorola's role in the project as it held a vital contract for ESN and owns Airwave. In October last year the markets watchdog proposed a price cap on the US company. Earlier this year, the CMA's consultation process argued Motorola would make excess profits of £1.3 billion on Airwave over a decade.

To prevent the CMA from forcing it to sell Airwave, Motorola walked away from its £400 million ($498 million) contract for ESN in November 2021. The Home Office is currently going through procurement to replace Motorola on Lot 2 of the contract and expects to appoint a new supplier in 2024. The Home Office has yet to produce a new business case for the project.

Hillier said: "ESN raises wider issues on the approach to public procurement. The Home Office told our inquiry that it admits the commercial approach taken with ESN is suboptimal, but will be pursuing it regardless. New risks will be created if it now rushes procurement or delivery as it searches for a replacement main contractor. The risks of outsourcing services must be better managed, as the Government is still accountable for value for money when it does so."

The PAC recommended that the Home Office appoints an Independent Assurance Panel to oversee progress on ESN. The new business case should identify how money saved by the CMA charge control can help meet emergency service's transition costs. MPs gave the government department until the end of the year to produce an outline plan for the main building blocks of ESN so elements can be tested in the real world before it produces a new business case in the first quarter of 2024. ®

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[1] https://www.nao.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Progress-delivering-the-Emergency-Services-Network.pdf

[2] https://www.theregister.com/2023/04/06/emergency_services_network_2029/

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/networks&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2ZLEcydPBNF@b4leqd6TzWAAAAY0&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/networks&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZLEcydPBNF@b4leqd6TzWAAAAY0&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/networks&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZLEcydPBNF@b4leqd6TzWAAAAY0&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/networks&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZLEcydPBNF@b4leqd6TzWAAAAY0&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2023/06/28/ofcome_probing_bt_999_calls_disruption/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2023/05/22/excess_profits_motorola_airwave/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2023/05/18/home_office_launches_895_million/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2023/04/28/uk_esn_alternatives/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2022/10/17/cma_motorola_airwave/

[12] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Julian 8

Shows how much confidence Motorola have in ESN if they drop out at the cost fo £400m and and future payments to remain with Airwave - clearly they know it will be running for a lot longer and with more profits coming their way.

I wonder if our esteemed home office and looked elsewhere and seen what other countries have implemented and not thought - can we not implement that instead - assuming that other countries are using something more modern, reliable and future proof than airwave

"current hardware will be obsolete in 2028"

Pascal Monett

So, the project is eight years overdue and current hardware will be obsolete in five.

They forecasted a major emergency comms project to only work for less than fifteen years before requiring everything to be replaced ?

Golly, with planning like that, who needs catastrophes ?

Tell you what, guys, I'll do you a favor : give me £15 billion now and I'll have something working by next year, promise. I don't know what yet, but for £15 billion I'll wrack my brain and get it to work.

Re: "current hardware will be obsolete in 2028"

Anonymous Coward

I’ll do it for 12 billion. Fingers crossed I’ll have it done by 2028. Pinky swear it will be ready..

Jonathon Green

You know, I can’t help thinking that you could buy an awful lot of prepaid SIMs and ruggedised generic mobile terminals for $11Bn and probably still have money left over when you’ve bunged the network operators a bit of cash to bring the not-spot level down to something manageable….

Not as simple as that

Flak

The whole idea of the ESN is that it continues to operate if the mobile network infrastructure we mere mortals use becomes unavailable/unreliable or overloaded.

You cannot achieve that with a standard SIM contract on standard networks.

Just try using a mobile network (data) service in a busy environment like a packed football stadium or airport.

Now imagine everyone trying to use their phone at the same time...

What a surprise

Anonymous Coward

ESN should always have started life as a data add-on, potentially limited to vehicles in the very first phase.

Doctor Syntax

"We budgeted £11B. How dare you say that's not a realistic plan?"

Hmm

codejunky

Tax money wisely invested in the infrastructure of the future for the benefit of the population. And yes I was laughing as I wrote that

An heir and a spare (or two)

Flak

When will the UK government learn that single supplier arrangements for contracts of this size are never good.

Game theory and good old common sense would tell you as much. You need one supplier to keep the other(s) honest.

Contracts are sizeable enough to make that possible and risk spreading benefits will far outweigh any potential loss of scale economies.

The motivation for multiple vendors and suppliers is then FOMO rather than complacency. FOMO is very powerful...

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