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OECD finds 27% of jobs are under threat from AI

(2023/07/12)


An international policy think-tank has found 27 percent of jobs are in occupations under threat from AI and other forms of automation.

Initial findings in [1]research from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development showed that while adoption of AI is still relatively low, rapid progress in the technology, falling costs and the increasing availability of workers with AI skills suggest economies might be “on the brink of an AI revolution.”

OECD secretary-general Mathias Cormann said: “Labor markets have shown remarkable resilience over the past year and remain tight, though high inflation and the rising cost of living has eroded real incomes.”

[2]

However, he said the recent acceleration of generative AI-related developments and tools marks a technological watershed with material implications in many workplaces.

[3]

[4]

“There is a real need to consider longer-term policy frameworks on the use of AI in the workplace and to continue to foster international cooperation to maximise the benefits while appropriately managing the downside risks,” Cormann said.

The report reckons high-skill occupations, despite being more exposed to recent progress in AI, were still at least risk of automation, while low and middle-skilled jobs are most at risk.

[5]

There was also an upside, though. The report found that AI can help reduce tedious and dangerous tasks, leading to greater worker engagement and physical safety.

[6]No, GPT-4 cannot get a computer science degree at MIT

[7]We just don't get enough time, contractor tasked with fact-checking Google Bard tells us

[8]AI is going to eat itself: Experiment shows people training bots are using bots

[9]Betting on AI leads to more educated juniors, fewer mid-level bosses – study

But three in five workers is worried about losing their job entirely to AI in the next 10 years, and a similar share thought wages in their sector would decrease because of AI. Three in four workers say that AI has increased work pace and more than half are concerned about privacy, the survey found.

“Progress in AI has been such that, in some areas, its output has become indistinguishable from that of humans. While there are many potential benefits from AI, there are also significant risks that need to be urgently addressed. Policies and social dialogue can play a key role in mitigating these risks while not stifling the benefits,” author Stijn Broecke said.

The OECD called for international cooperation to ensure a common approach supports inclusive labour markets as AI continues to be introduced in economies around the world. ®

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[1] https://www.oecd.org/employment-outlook/2023/

[2] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2ZK55w0bFYr6@9hZkNELwoAAAA08&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZK55w0bFYr6@9hZkNELwoAAAA08&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZK55w0bFYr6@9hZkNELwoAAAA08&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZK55w0bFYr6@9hZkNELwoAAAA08&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[6] https://www.theregister.com/2023/07/03/ai_in_brief/

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2023/06/21/google_bard_trainers/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2023/06/16/crowd_workers_bots_ai_training/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2023/06/12/ai_recruitment/

[10] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Opportunities

b0llchit

So, the call centres will de drones, the helldesk will be drones and the typing drones will become recursive drones. When we get this far, I'll get my drones to read your stuff, call your centres and hell the desk with good advice. Everything is then fed into a shredder and the mash-up will be my new billion dollar company.

What could possibly go wrong?

More bullshit AI.

IGotOut

So AI will do all those jobs on the high st? Hairdressing, nails, bar work, waitering / waitressing, bar work, cleaning, serving behind the till.

What about industry? 99% of the people I work with theirs jobs can't be done by AI.

Re: More bullshit AI.

b0llchit

Please refrain from being a realist an stay with the program. We have received good money to write our story and are very sceptical of people who question our narrative.

AI or automatization?

OhForF'

An international policy think-tank has found 27 percent of jobs are in occupations under threat from AI and other forms of automation.

Do they see AI as a more efficient way of automation?

In some cases this may work but especially for dangerous tasks and/or those that have an impact to physical safety it is probably better to use a more conservative approach where ways to design it to fail safe are better understood.

argh

Vometia has insomnia. Again.

Stop the hype train, I want to get off.

Alea iacta est.
[The die is cast]
-- Gaius Julius Caesar