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China chip material export controls just the tip of the iceberg, warns official

(2023/07/05)


China's move to restrict exports of two elements used in semiconductors has sparked concerns ahead of a visit to Beijing by the US Treasury Secretary, with one Chinese official warning that this is "just the beginning."

Chinese authorities [1]announced on Monday that they were introducing export controls on gallium and germanium and some key compounds of both, such that anyone wishing to ship those materials abroad will first have to apply for a permit with the country's Ministry of Commerce.

This is most concerning because China is a major source of these materials, causing some to worry it could foreshadow a clampdown on other elements for which China controls much of the supply.

[2]

In Brussels, the European Commission said it was assessing the potential impact on global supply chains and called on China to only employ export restrictions where there are clear security considerations, which is in line with World Trade Organization (WTO) rules, [3]Reuters reported.

[4]

[5]

"The Commission is concerned that these export restrictions are unrelated to the need to protect global peace and also stability and the implementation of China's non-proliferation obligations arising from international treaties," a spokesperson said.

According to the [6]Financial Times , South Korea's commerce ministry held an emergency meeting to discuss the latest move by Beijing, with the deputy commerce minister saying the possibility of restrictions being expanded to other goods could not be ruled out.

[7]

Officials in Tokyo were also said to be examining the impact of these latest export controls, with hints that Japan may take up the matter with the WTO, while Taiwan's deputy foreign minister said the new rules would likely serve as a spur for other nations to reduce their dependence on China for supplies of critical materials.

The US has yet to officially respond to the restrictions announced by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce on Monday, but Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is due in Beijing on Thursday for talks that are aimed at thawing relations between the world's two largest economies.

[8]Washington plans to block Chinese access to AI cloud services

[9]China admits local semiconductor industry can't match world class reliability

[10]China chokes exports of semiconductor secret sauces gallium and germanium

[11]US authorities warn on China's new counter-espionage law

Treasury officials have said they are expecting Secretary Yellen to have "candid" discussions with her Chinese counterparts regarding export restrictions on both sides, but no major breakthroughs are expected this week.

Although Beijing gave national security interests as the reason for its new export rules, the consensus elsewhere is that this is China's response to restrictions that have been imposed against it by the US and other countries.

There are also concerns that China could choose to widen its export measures to other materials in future to ratchet up pressure on Washington and its allies, and more raw materials used in electronics such as rare earth minerals could be on the shortlist.

[12]

These fears would appear to be justified by comments from China's former vice minister of commerce, Wei Jianguo, who told [13]China Daily the new measures are just the first steps Beijing could take.

"This is just the beginning of China's countermeasures, and China's tool box has many more types of measures available. If the high-tech restrictions on China become tougher in the future, China's countermeasures will also escalate," Wei is reported as saying.

Such rare earth minerals include neodymium, yttrium and lanthanum, and [14]China controls the largest reserves of many of these elements globally, although there have been concerted efforts over the past decade to develop alternative sources.

Proposing the European [15]Critical Raw Material Act last year, President Ursula von der Leyen said: "Lithium and rare earths will soon be more important than oil and gas… we must avoid becoming dependent again, as we did with oil and gas." ®

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[1] https://www.theregister.com/2023/07/03/china_semiconductor_export_restrictions/

[2] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2ZKXn-9PBNF@b4leqd6TM9gAAAZQ&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[3] https://www.reuters.com/technology/eu-concerned-over-china-export-controls-metals-used-chips-2023-07-04/

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZKXn-9PBNF@b4leqd6TM9gAAAZQ&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZKXn-9PBNF@b4leqd6TM9gAAAZQ&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[6] https://www.ft.com/content/2fa865a7-176f-4292-8842-38bb6470d732

[7] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZKXn-9PBNF@b4leqd6TM9gAAAZQ&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2023/07/05/washington_block_china_ai/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2023/07/05/china_manufacturing_reliability_improvement_failures/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2023/07/03/china_semiconductor_export_restrictions/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2023/07/03/china_espionage_law_update_warning/

[12] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZKXn-9PBNF@b4leqd6TM9gAAAZQ&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[13] https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202307/05/WS64a4ca73a310bf8a75d6d545.html

[14] https://www.theregister.com/2022/11/03/china_rare_earth_supply_chain/

[15] https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/STATEMENT_22_5523

[16] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Obvious or not?

steamnut

Did we really think the export and import controls that Biden and the EU have implemented would have no consequences? How smart are we now?

And all this started because the thought that Chinese CCTV and 3/4G equipment was regularity "phoning home" with intelligence. Our EV cars plans are well and truly scuppered if we are not careful.

Re: Obvious or not?

DS999

China doesn't have a monopoly on anything, all the materials we need are found all over the world. We let China dominate the supply because they were willing to supply it cheaper thanks to cheap labor and lax environmental standards. Just like the US is reopening rare earths mines, the same can be done for anything else in short supply (Australia probably being better for gallium, for instance)

Re: Obvious or not?

pdh

What you said. Don't confuse "Country A is currently the main supplier of X" with "Country A is the only possible volume supplier of X."

Re: Obvious or not?

Anonymous Coward

Gallium is a byproduct of other types of mining, mostly buaxite. Most other semiconductor related materials are the same. China's dominance in a lot of these materials is due to the West simply ceding the dirty business to them, rather than the West doesn't have the means to produce them. Big yawn here.

Re: Obvious or not?

CrackedNoggin

So our "EV car [and other green] plans" are to rape Myanmar for precious metals (see ‘The Sacrifice Zone': Myanmar bears cost of green energy , APNews), process them and manufacture in China using mostly (56%) coal powered energy (see China leans on coal amid energy security push , Reuters), all so that that $7,500 subsidy per vehicle will enable buying a bigger SUV, or a sporty Tesla that dose 0-60 mph (0~100 in international speed units) in 2 seconds?.

How much news here?

Claptrap314

Not criticizing running the article, but China has been on & off with mineral export restricting multiple times in the last decade or so. At this point, it would be a complete dereliction of duty not to wargame against this response to ANY irritation of Pooh & friends.

The difficulty, of course, is that the free market means at any preparation to respond looks a LOT like corruption, in that it more-or-less means tipping off people that the supplies of these materials is going to become restricted.

Which means...we need to slap enough of a tariff on any & all critical Chinese-sourced goods that it become competitive to source them elsewhere. The justification is their lax regulation creates an unfair market. But even doing that is likely to be a risky move. So...start with some public speeches to the effect that the US government foresees the future supply of these materials as unstable.

Uggh. This would have been SO much easier if we had taken the Chinese at their word in 1992...

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