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Experts scoff at UK Lords' suggestion that AI could one day make battlefield decisions

(2023/06/30)


Experts in technology law and software clashed with the UK House of Lords this week over whether it was technically possible to hand responsibility for battlefield decisions to AI-driven weapons.

During the AI in Weapon Systems Committee hearing on Thursday, the Lords struggled to draw the experts into the idea that it might be eventually possible, or introduced cautiously, apparently concerned about losing ground in the introduction of AI in warfare.

Lord Houghton of Richmond said the committee wanted to recommend how to progress in some kind of legal framework.

[1]

The former Chief of the Defence Staff of the British Armed Forces asked for comment on whether distinction and proportionality can eventually be discharged autonomously.

[2]

[3]

Professor Christian Enemark, professor of international relations, University of Southampton, responded: "Only humans can do discrimination, only humans can do proportionality, and the autonomous discharging by a nonhuman entity is a philosophical nonsense, arguably."

Lord Houghton replied: "Incrementally, it may be that advances in the technology will advance the envelope under which those sorts of delegations can be made."

[4]

AI ethics expert Laura Nolan, principal software engineer with reliability tooling vendor Stanza Systems, argued that battlefield decisions by AI could not assess the proportionality of a course of action.

"You need to know the anticipated strategic military value of the action and there's no way that a weapon can know that," she said. "A weapon is in the field, looking at perhaps some images, some sort of machine learning and perception stuff. It doesn't know anything. It's just doing some calculations, which don't really offer any relation to the military value."

Nolan added: "Only the commander can know the military value because the military value of a particular attack is not purely based on that conflict, local context on the ground. It's the broader strategic context. It's absolutely impossible to ask a weapon on the ground and make that determination."

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[8]BAE scores $699 million contract to support US Army supercomputers

Taniel Yusef, visiting researcher at Cambridge University's Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, said the simple algorithms for classifying data points which might identify targets could be shown to mistake a cat for a dog, for example.

"When this happens in the field, you will have people on the ground saying these civilians were killed and you'll have a report by the weapon that feeds back [that] looks at the maths," she said.

[9]

"The maths says it was a target... it was a military base because the math says so and we defer to maths a lot because maths is very specific and ... the maths will be right.

"There's a difference between correct and accurate. There's a difference between precise and accurate. The maths will be right because it was coded right, but it won't be right on the ground. And that terrifies me because without a legally binding instrument enshrining that kind of meaningful human control with oversight at the end that's what we'll be missing."

"It's not technically possible [to make judgements about proportionality] because you can't know the outcome of a system [until] it has achieved the goal that you've coded, and you don't know how it's got there."

Conservative peer Lord Sarfraz interjected: "The other day, I saw a dog which I thought was a cat."

"I assume you didn't shoot it," Yusef replied. ®

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Is it technically possible ?

Pascal Monett

Of course it is. We already have movement detectors and infrared detectors. All you need is to couple one or both with a machine gun, tell it where to point and fire.

I'm pretty sure that's technically feasible.

Is it the right thing to do is altogether a different question.

Re: Is it technically possible ?

katrinab

But if you have that instead of a human guard, you just need to wave some object at the sensor repeatedly until the machine gun exhausts its supply of bullets, then walk past it.

Re: Is it technically possible ?

Dabooka

Or hide under a box

Mmmmm let me think...

xyz

An AI or some bloke from Eton calling the shots... Choices choices.

Re: Mmmmm let me think...

katrinab

AI has an IQ of 0. The bloke from Eton might possibly have an IQ of > 0. So I would take my chances with the bloke from Eton.

Re: Mmmmm let me think...

Doctor Syntax

Perception is all. I momentarily misread Eton.

Spazturtle

The UK already operates weapons that use autonomous target selection such as the Brimstone missile.

None of these 'experts' seem to actually be defense experts.

Doctor Syntax

Wikipedia mentions avoiding collateral damage. Perhaps the experts have a point.

Look at Wagner troops

alain williams

Do they take care to distinguish right from wrong targets ?

Neither Putin nor Prigozhin care if the wrong people are killed. Do you think that they would not deploy battlefield AI just in case it made mistakes ?

Re: Look at Wagner troops

lglethal

The Wagner Troops do care that they distinguish the right target from the wrong.

It's just that for them, the wrong targets to shoot are other Wagner soldiers. Everything else (including civilians, other Russian soldiers, Russian planes, etc.) are the right things to shoot.

It all comes down to perspective...

lglethal

I think the whole point of this is who holds the can for failures. If you take out the Soldier at the bottom and replace it with an AI, then the Operator of the AI who gives permission to fire or not, is responsible.

If you take out the Operator, the Commander who tells the AI where to focus (even if the Commander no longer needs to give permission for firing) is responsible.

Take out the Commander, and let the AI decide where it needs to focus, and give it firing permission, and it will be the Politician who gave permission for the system to be utilised who will be responsible.

Make that the system of delegation, and I guarantee you there will always be an Operator, as Politicians and Commanders (who are effectively just politicians of a military stripe), will NEVER want to be held responsible for mistakes. They will always need someone under them to blame...

* shortc wants to get in one of knghtbrd's sigs one of these days.