One third wiped off value of GitLab shares, Wall Street didn't like weaker outlook
- Reference: 1678799713
- News link: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2023/03/14/gitlab_q4_2023/
- Source link:
The source shack last night outlined profit and loss numbers for [1]Q4 of its fiscal 2023 ended 31 January , showing a 58 percent year-on-year hike in turnover to $122.9 million – higher than analyst forecasts.
This, however, was a slowdown on prior quarters. Revenue growth in Q3 was 69 percent, 74 percent in Q2, and 75 percent in Q1.
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Operating losses widened to $46.3 million compared to the $40.6 million recorded a year earlier. Operating expenses jumped to $155 million from $109 million.
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On an earnings call with analysts, CFO Brian Robbins noted a marked change in the tone of the tech industry in terms of "greater deal scrutiny on some deals, lower expansion rates than historical trends, and a slight uptick in contraction."
"We believe the uncertain macroeconomic environment affected us in two ways," he said. "First, we saw that some of our customers experienced changes in their businesses which led to either hiring slowdowns or a reduction in workforces. This impacted expansions, primarily in our Premium tier. It also led to an uptick in customer contractions and churns.
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"Second, we encountered greater deal scrutiny at the end of the calendar year, as companies reevaluated their overall spending plans heading into the new year. We also saw more people involved in approval processes, which led to longer sales cycles."
During the quarter, GitLab raised prices for the Premium version from $19 per user per month to $29. This, the company said, was to reflect enhancements to the platform in recent years.
Given the mood change in tech, GitLab was among the vendors to this year reduce overheads by [6]chopping 7 percent of its own workforce . This equated to around 110 jobs so was less dramatic than Microsoft, Meta or Google's actions.
[7]GitHub claims source code search engine is a game changer
[8]What happens when you host code and git clone turns into a DDoS? Let's ask SourceHut
[9]Open source community split over offer of 'corporate' welfare for critical dev tools
[10]No longer prepared to svn commit : WebKit migrates to GitHub
CEO Sid Sijbrandij, who is being treated for bone cancer, said customers are being "forced" to "figure out how to do more with less" and "innovate with fewer resources."
Despite these challenges, he said, GitLab is doing things that chime with developers that are consolidating their DevSecOps tools to save costs and boost productivity.
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"They can reduce or eliminate the amount spent on tool chain integrations. Their engineers become more productive by reducing time to deploy applications, and they can accelerate revenue by deploying their software faster."
In a pitch to developers using rival platforms, he said it was "open core," had 3,000 new capabilities added in the past year that came from wider community contributions, and is not financially motivated to sell cloud services.
"We are not incentivized to push customers to use any cloud provider, so our customers don't fear vendor lock-in."
For the year, GitLab reported revenue of $424.3 million, up 68 percent year-on-year, and an operating loss of $211 million versus $129 million.
As for its outlook that worried analysts monitoring the market?
Robbins said: "In light of the challenging macroeconomic headwinds, we have reassessed our near-term revenue growth outlook, assuming trends we saw in Q4 continue."
Fiscal 2024 revenue is estimated to come in at between $529 million and $533 million, or median growth of 25 percent. This was obviously a huge disappointment for analysts, wiping more than a third from GitLab's value. ®
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[1] https://ir.gitlab.com/news-releases/news-release-details/gitlab-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2023-financial
[2] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/devops&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2ZBCoMLEH3ug9hAF4ItDpSgAAABM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0
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[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/devops&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZBCoMLEH3ug9hAF4ItDpSgAAABM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/devops&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44ZBCoMLEH3ug9hAF4ItDpSgAAABM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[6] https://www.theregister.com/2023/02/10/tech_job_cuts_gitlab_microsoft/
[7] https://www.theregister.com/2023/02/07/github_code_search/
[8] https://www.theregister.com/2023/02/02/sourcehut_go_module_proxy_flood/
[9] https://www.theregister.com/2022/11/16/sourceware_open_source_openssf/
[10] https://www.theregister.com/2022/09/01/webkit_migrates/
[11] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/devops&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33ZBCoMLEH3ug9hAF4ItDpSgAAABM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[12] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/
"GitLab ... with developers that are consolidating their DevSecOps tools"
Rrrrright... because when you're doing serious security work, you really want a 3rd party to manage your work :-/. Hey, if you get a chance, check out this hot company called SolarWinds.
In some meeting somewhere...
Customer: Do you manage your own Git?
Security firm: No. We're just a computer security company so we're not responsible enough for that.
Customer: Sounds great, you're hired!!!
The fundamental problem with being publically traded
Once you sell your soul to Wall Street you're at the mercy of stock traders -- you're not a business making widgets, your raw material for the financial services industry. This distorts the operation of business, especially if the business is relying on financial engineering to maximize profitability rather than just being skilled widget makers.
Elon Musk was castigated -- and sued -- for remarking that he'd regretted taking Tesla public and wanted to take it private again. (The speculators rushed to cash in on the prospect but when it didn't materialize they sued him for their 'losses', a suit that fortunately got tossed.) The reason for this is obvious. During the entire gestation phase Tesla's business news wasn't dominated by mundane things like how development was going, long term plans and what have you, it was all about stock price speculation and the war short sellers were waging on the company. A totally parasitic exercise that wasn't interested in the technologies that were being developed and how they could be applied on a larger scale but was only interested in driving the stock price up or down with the sole intent of making a quick killing. This insanity might be the primary way to get rich these days (for those who have money to burn) but its killing industry. Ultimately the only reliable way to make enough money to satisfy these jackals is to do nothing and charge the earth for it (which is why commodity trading -- aka screwing everyone over the price of fuel -- is the big thing these days, especially as a lot of that trading is not only artificial but confidential so that the rubes can't call 'foul' on what's going on.
Numbers
So we can assume investors are disappointed that losses aren't yet a multiple of turnover like a proper unicorn? I think GitLab has probably got a chance in the niche, non-cloud market. Especially, since Atlassian fluffed things so magnificently. The main product benefits from clear focus and a decided lack of feature creep.