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Oh, great. By peering into twilight, boffins find 'planet killer' asteroids in our system

(2022/11/01)


Astronomers have spotted an asteroid of sufficient size and orbit to cause Earth-wide destruction – if it were to ever strike our planet. And that's a mighty big if.

2022 AP7 was discovered alongside two other large asteroids – 2021 LJ4 and 2021 PH27 – by a team of scientists looking for objects within the inner Solar System during observations at the Cerro Tololo Inter-American Observatory in Chile.

Over 30,000 near-Earth asteroids have been cataloged so far, and thousands of new entries are added each year. The latest trio of space rocks, however, are notable for their size and location.

[1]

At less than a kilometre in diameter, 2021 LJ4 is the smallest of the three.

[2]

[3]

2021 PH27 is over a kilometre wide, is the nearest known asteroid to the Sun, and offers the hellish prospect of surface temperatures hot enough to melt lead when it's closest to our star.

And 2022 AP7, also just over a kilometre wide and with a five-year orbit of the Sun, is the largest potentially hazardous asteroid to be found in our system in the past eight years, according to a paper [4]published lately in The Astrophysical Journal.

Currently, there are no dates that would have 2022 AP7 collide with Earth and it is highly unlikely it ever will

"Currently, 2022 AP7 crosses Earth orbit, which means it is a potentially hazardous asteroid as it could one day collide with Earth, if Earth happened to be in its orbit at the exact spot the asteroid crosses it," Scott Sheppard, an astronomer at the Earth and Planets Laboratory of the Carnegie Institution for Science and the lead author of the paper, told The Register on Monday.

"Currently there are no dates that would have 2022 AP7 collide with Earth and it is highly unlikely it ever will.

[5]

"If 2022 AP7 were to collide with Earth, it would be a mass extinction event as dust would be blown up into the Earth's atmosphere for years, blocking out the precious needed sunlight."

These inner-system asteroids are difficult to spot because observing them requires staring at the Sun – which is so bright its glare obscures small objects. The team only discovered the trio when they observed the night sky in short bursts during twilight hours when the Sun's glare was at its lowest.

"Our twilight survey is scouring the area within the orbits of Earth and Venus for asteroids," Sheppard [6]said in an earlier statement. "So far we have found two large near-Earth asteroids that are about one kilometer across – a size that we call planet killers."

[7]Signs of sediment-rich ocean lend direction to Mars life search

[8]Spooky Pillars of Creation snap reveals a dark side

[9]NASA uses space station dust sensor to map 50 methane 'super-emitters' on Earth

[10]Confirmed: Asteroid shoved by Earth crash probe DART

Astronomers only had two brief ten-minute windows to observe the space rocks using the observatory's Dark Energy Camera (DECam) mounted on the Víctor M. Blanco four-metre telescope, and even with that fine instrument at their disposal, the asteroid boffins don't have it easy.

"Large areas of sky are required because the inner asteroids are rare, and deep images are needed because asteroids are faint and you are fighting the bright twilight sky near the Sun as well as the distorting effect of Earth's atmosphere," said Sheppard. "DECam can cover large areas of sky to depths not achievable on smaller telescopes, allowing us to go deeper, cover more sky, and probe the inner solar system in ways never done before."

[11]

If you're wondering about 2021 LJ4 and 2021 PH7: they are not dangerous and will not trouble us Terrans as the rocks circle the Sun at distances within Venus' orbit. There is a 0.7 percent chance 2021 PH27 may collide with Earth's neighbor in the next million years, the researchers calculated.

The scientists believe there are a few more potentially hazardous undiscovered objects within the Solar System, and pledged that the search would go on.

"There are likely only a few near-Earth asteroids with similar sizes left to find, and these large undiscovered asteroids likely have orbits that keep them interior to the orbits of Earth and Venus most of the time. Only about 25 asteroids with orbits completely within Earth's orbit have been discovered to date because of the difficulty of observing near the glare of the Sun," Sheppard concluded. ®

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[4] https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-3881/ac8cff

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[6] https://noirlab.edu/public/news/noirlab2226/?lang

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2022/10/31/northern_mars_ocean/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2022/10/31/pillars_of_creation_nasa/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2022/10/30/nasa_methane_iss/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2022/10/12/dart_spacecraft_asteroid_deflection/

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[12] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Things that go bump in the night

Winkypop

Is it give way to the right, or give way to the left?

Re: Things that go bump in the night

Michael H.F. Wilkinson

That depends on the hemisphere you inhabit, I would say. All constellations looked upside-down to me when I travelled down-under. Maybe it is simpler if Earth can claim right-of-weight: Small rocks give way to large rocks, especially those with passengers.

A cure to global warming?

LenG

"If 2022 AP7 were to collide with Earth, it would be a mass extinction event as dust would be blown up into the Earth's atmosphere for years, blocking out the precious needed sunlight."

So we're dead if it does and dead if it doesn't?

Re: A cure to global warming?

RockBurner

We're all dead pretty soon (cosmically speaking) anyway, so why worry?

In the next million years?

Neil Barnes

Time to select a hat, then, so I can take it off when the asteroid passes too close.

Planet killers?

Anonymous Coward

I don't think they would bother the Earth much if they hit it.... Perhaps a better description would be "People killers", or "Civilization destroyers"?

Vogons

Will Godfrey

Douglas Adams was right!

Re: Vogons

Eclectic Man

Or maybe the Grebulons?

huh?

old_IT_guy

Clickbait?

"Currently there are no dates that would have 2022 AP7 collide with Earth and it is highly unlikely it ever will."

then...

"If 2022 AP7 were to collide with Earth, it would be a mass extinction event as dust would be blown up into the Earth's atmosphere for years, blocking out the precious needed sunlight."

What was the point of this article? What did it add to any discussion?

Answers on a NEO object of your choice please.

Venus re-engineered?

Eclectic Man

Were Venus to 'get lucky' and be hit by the asteroid, could it blow enough of the atmosphere away to remove the greenhouse effect and leave Venus itself (herself?) habitable (after a few thousand years to cool down)?

Of course there would be a lot of debris, some of which might reach earth orbit, but I bet the astronomers and planetary scientists would be delighted to witness such an event.

Brief History Of Linux (#11)
Birth of Gates and the Anti-Gates

October 28, 1955 saw the birth of William H. Gates, who would rise above
his humble beginnings as the son of Seattle's most powerful millionaire
lawyer and become the World's Richest Man(tm). A classic American
rags-to-riches story (with "rags" referring to the dollar bills that the
Gates family used for toilet paper), Bill Gates is now regarded as the
world's most respected businessman by millions of clueless people that
have obviously never touched a Windows machine.

Nature is all about balance. The birth of Gates in 1955 tipped the cosmic
scales toward evil, but the birth of Linus Torvalds in 1969 finally
balanced them out. Linus' destiny as the savior of Unix and the slayer of
money-breathing Redmond dragons was sealed when, just mere hours after his
birth, the Unix epoch began January 1st, 1970. While the baseline for Unix
timekeeping might be arbitrary, we here at Humorix like to thank the its
proximity of Linus' birth is no coincidence.