Foldable smartphones crawl to one percent of global market share
- Reference: 1664866627
- News link: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2022/10/04/idc_folding_smartphones_market_share/
- Source link:
“The biggest question today is whether foldables will become mainstream anytime soon? Unfortunately, the answer is no," said Nabila Popal, research director with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker.
Popal’s remarks came after IDC projected 13.5 million folding smartphones will ship during 2022 – 1.1 percent of the total 1.352 billion smartphones expected the ship this year.
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That meagre market share has taken three years to accrue: Samsung launched its first foldable, the [2]Galaxy Fold in 2019.
[3]
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IDC predicts compound annual growth of 38.7 percent across all foldables between 2021 and 2026, but even that impressive number will mean just 2.8 percent market share in the latter year.
The news isn’t all bad, because foldables will vastly exceed overall market growth of one percent compound annual growth in the regular smartphone market.
[5]Lenovo’s folding portable ThinkPad grows to 16.3in, adds keyboard
[6]Canalys: Foldable shipments could 'exceed 30 million by 2024'
[7]Samsung releases pair of jeans that can't do anything except cover your legs and hold a Galaxy Z Flip 3
[8]Price of Microsoft's Surface Duo plummets to better represent middling hardware ... but only if you're in the US
Popal thinks foldables could do better if they fall to around $400 – the sweet spot for mainstream affordability. But he doesn’t want it to happen.
“I strongly believe that is not a good move – especially not at the expense of quality and user experience,” he stated.
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The analyst would prefer foldables to remain a niche and premium flagship device.
“Vendors should focus on improving user experience and building to increase confidence in the category and generate long-term growth,” he opined. “I believe foldables are the future of premium Android devices even if, as a whole, they are only expected to capture less than three percent of global volume by the end of our forecast period."
As premium handsets are the niche in which smartphone manufacturers can often make the fattest margins, Popal’s advice offers them a way to keep preserve profits by maintaining Samsung’s current positioning of foldables’ as a pricey status symbol.
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Which may be why the likes of Microsoft, Oppo, Xiaomi, and Huawei all offer foldable phones.
Apple, which dominates the premium handset market, has shown no sign of interest in foldables but is already astoundingly profitable with its usual rounded rectangles. ®
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[2] https://www.theregister.com/2019/09/05/hands_on_with_the_remade_samsung_galaxy_fold_5g/
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[5] https://www.theregister.com/2022/09/01/lenovo_thinkpad_x1_fold_portable/
[6] https://www.theregister.com/2022/02/14/foldable_shipments_canalys/
[7] https://www.theregister.com/2021/11/03/samsung_z_flip_pocket_denim/
[8] https://www.theregister.com/2021/06/23/surface_duo_discount/
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Re: The modern flip-phone
I have a dual-screen, foldable phone with dual sim, dual battery, dual everything.
.
.
I've just taped two ordinary smartphones together along one edge :-)
Re: The modern flip-phone
I noticed that you duct any shame by going AC!
Re: The modern flip-phone
I don't get the foldable thing, it's a solution looking for a problem. I like my devices toughned too, rubber armour, screen protector, oh and not a high price point in case the aforementioned don't save the device when once of my dogs sees a squirrel while I am holding it.
Re: The modern flip-phone
I've had the Galaxy Z Fold 3 for over a year now and it's one of the best phone I have used.
I haven't had any issues with the phone other than the battery not being as long lasting as I'd like. I would describe the phone more of a mini tablet that becomes a phone.
The funny thing is the phone looks and feels bulky at first but after a while you get use to it.
Also having the larger screen space to browse web and read is amazing. On that it is extremely comfortable for me to hold while in bed.
I do have one complaint, there are not a lot of decent accessory for the phone. Which is offset by Samsung actually giving you a free case, stylus and one of their fast chargers if you show proof of purchase.
But I think people should go with what is comfortable for them, I don't keep my phone in my pocket (had my favourite Note10 pick pocketed).
What do analysts know?
Fuck all apparently
Popal thinks foldables could do better if they fall to around $400 – the sweet spot for mainstream affordability. But he doesn’t want it to happen.
So, just like more memory, faster chips and high resolution screens: the technology goes mainstream once the relevant economies of scale drive prices down.
There are compelling reasons for and against foldable screens and problems still to resolve but at some point they may will probably become "normal".
As for why Apple doesn't have them yet, that's as much to do with constrained supply as anything else, because a foldable I-Pad mini sounds like a slam dunk to me. Think of how slow Apple was to adopt NFC or wireless charging…
Re: What do analysts know?
Why do you think a foldable ipad is desirable? I have a Lenovo tablet, and at no point using it, have I ever thought 'I wish I could fold this in half', so what benefit do you see?
Phonebling
Foldables are about as useful as a phone covered in Swarovski crystals. Shiny and sparkly, but they just add bling and cost a small fortune. If that's your thing, then good for you, but don't expect it to become mainstream at any price. I will never want a shiny, sparkly phone, not will I ever want a foldable, but then I am an olde codger who couldn't give a flying **** about what my phone (Poco X4) says about me. It does it's various jobs adequately.
I just don't see the point. The original flip phones made some sense because when open they were still easy to hold in one hand. But foldables seem to be just going from 'a bit combersome' to 'unpleasantly large'. I could see the value of a tablet that can fold small enough to fit in my pocket but a phone that unfolds enough to be awkward to hold but yet still has a small screen that makes me squint has no value.
Fan of foldable phone
There are two foldable phones form Samsung atm.
The Fold and Flip. The fold has a screen on the front you can use to access all of the functionalities of the phone without unfolding. It is a weird aspect ratio and other than websites displaying a bit weird majority of the apps I have tried work. You can also easily switch from using the front screen to tablet mode without any issues.
As for the flip however, there is a small touch screen on the front but to use the phone you need to open the phone up. My sister has the flip and really likes it.
Message from the future
Apple created foldables in 2024. This article is just plain wrong.
Motorola V3 series
The V3 series was one of the best flip-phones out there. Now I realise that things have moved on with touch screens and all that crap but at the end of the day it robust, usable and lasted forever. My wife had a pink one that was about 5 years old when she finally destroyed it (broke the hinge on one side).
With all the touch screen stuff foldable more of less works to make a smaller form factor with a big screen. A flip with two screens of heaven forbid a keyboard and a screen.,
All this is driven by this obsession that the only thing that matters is the size of the screen. With each increase in size & resolution the text gets ever smaller so old farts like me need to change glasses to use them.
The modern flip-phone
> whether foldables will become mainstream anytime soon? Unfortunately, the answer is no,
Why unfortunately? They are not a particularly good idea. I wouldn't buy one until someone can prove to me that the screen will be in the same state after ten thousand folds (in cold weather, with bits of grit wedged in the fold - as you'd get in your pocket) as it is when new.
Even then, what really is the point? It takes longer to access whatever you want to do and a screen that is twice the size is still pretty dam' small, yet with a greater area uses more power. And since it isn't as if the battery would fold, that will be constrained in size.