News: 1654178414

  ARM Give a man a fire and he's warm for a day, but set fire to him and he's warm for the rest of his life (Terry Pratchett, Jingo)

Tech hiring freeze doesn't mean people won't leave

(2022/06/02)


Comment What goes up must come down - even in the tech industry.

In a period of a little more than a month, the biggest tech companies have dropped [1]trillions of dollars in valuation, setting off alarm bells across the industry. Recovering from this downturn will be different, though: Businesses will have to walk a fine line between meeting metrics and respecting a new work culture that has emerged since the pandemic.

Investors are [2]telling companies in their portfolios to cut staff, reduce budgets, raise prices, and prepare for a long, slow recovery – and even the most cash-flush tech giants are reevaluating their employee spends, from salaries to stocks to perks.

[3]

At Microsoft, for example, this has meant [4]pausing hiring except in manager-approved cases. At [5]Meta , hiring has been frozen and recruitment is being scaled back, with significant slowdowns at [6]Reality Labs , Meta's metaverse development team. Uber has told its employees to begin treating hiring as a privilege, [7]Apple has retracted offers and stopped filling Genius Bar jobs, Nvidia is paring down hiring, [8]Paypal – which went on a hiring spree after the pandemic kicked off – has trimmed some of its workforce, though staffing remains higher than before the pandemic.

[9]

[10]

Google's CFO has [11]described headcount as the company's "primary driver of expenses," and that sentiment isn't unique.

"The good big companies are overstaffed by 2x. The bad big companies are overstaffed by 4x or more," [12]said venture capitalist and Facebook board member Marc Andreessen, whose firm has contributed $400 million to Tesla CEO Elon Musk's takeover of Twitter.

What pre-pandemic economy?

COVID-19 brought an [13]end to US economic expansion, though tech was unfazed, even boosted, by it.

The causes for the tech world's latest headaches are an echo of what brought the windfalls when the coronavirus shut the world down in early 2020. [14]Mass layoffs were necessary to keep businesses afloat, but plenty of companies staffed up to support usage spikes caused by remote work and lockdowns. Consequently, earnings soared.

[15]

Now layoffs are hitting Microsoft's Windows, Office and Teams groups, each of which was recently expanded. Amazon's overstaffing has largely been a warehouse problem, but again, its issues stem from pandemic-related hiring, The same can be said for PayPal.

This should have been obvious, and [16]the signs were there for a while: think of Peloton as the proverbial canary in the coal mine. When unsustainable levels of pandemic growth inevitably began to decline the company nearly collapsed. The same goes for Netflix, which has also had to reassess its reach as subscription numbers drop with the waning of the coronavirus amid other controversies.

The tech industry is somewhat alone in its slump, too: as the world has begun returning to normal, job openings are at [17]an all-time high , with most of the openings in sectors that shrunk during the pandemic, such as hospitality and manufacturing. As the world opens up, tech has lost more than 15,000 jobs, yet hiring still isn't keeping pace with openings.

Work just isn't the same anymore

The "great resignation" that kicked off during the pandemic is still going strong, especially in the IT world, where only [18]29 percent of surveyed professionals have a high level of intent to stay in their current job. Much of the reason that people leave has to do with compensation, analyst house Gartner said.

Amazon, at least, appears to know this, faced as they are with the prospect of losing some of its top people, the company [19]doubled its max base salary to $350,000 early this year. Microsoft, Google and Apple have made similar moves to retain talent with bonuses, higher salary caps and other perks.

[20]

That's hardly been universal, though: plenty of companies continue to get pushback from employees [21]unhappy with their compensation, among other things. Apple, bonuses aside, has earned [22]employee ire through forced return-to-office plans, only to be met with rebellion and the company ceding ground to workers. Apple isn't alone, [23]either .

[24]Cloud security unicorn cuts 20% of staff after raising $1.3b

[25]Uber, Meta to reduce hiring as stocks slide

[26]IBM HR chief insists 'no systemic age discrimination'

[27]Tech Bro CEO lays off 900 people in Zoom call and makes himself the victim

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has taken the opposite tack, instead opting to tell leaders at the electric car maker that anyone not back in the office 40 hours a week will be fired. Other companies have acted with moderation in this attempt, instead cutting pay for those remaining remote.

Microsoft's Work Trend Index Report describes the current jobs climate as one that's radically different from before the pandemic, and one that leadership [28]hasn't adapted well to . While leadership tries to figure out what's wrong, employees are weighing how " [29]worth it " their jobs are when there's plenty of other firms willing to give them what they want.

In this case it's money and flexible work, and good people know they're able to get what they want as long as they look for it, even among hiring freezes and sagging valuations. Dan Ives, analyst at Wedbush Securities, [30]told the San Francisco Examiner that, while there are pain and layoffs coming in tech, "engineering talent will still have multiple choices of where to work."

That makes it hard to take Elon Musk's pronouncement of bringing everyone back to Tesla offices, like it or not. It's the same mentality that caused Apple to lose its director of machine learning to Google [31]over return-to-work policies it has since scrapped.

So, for companies worried about the bottom line as stocks crater, inflation rises and prices soar, there are two options: Spend a bit more now to retain good people, or force them to work on your terms with firing as the motivator.

Then, express complete surprise when short-sighted strategies lead to another crisis next year. ®

Get our [32]Tech Resources



[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/09/tech-giants-lost-over-1-trillion-in-value-in-last-three-trading-days.html

[2] https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/silicon-valley-investors-give-startups-survival-advice-for-downturn-11653822000

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/bootnotes&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2YpjeoljWsppnS15-jaZwNAAAAEM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[4] https://www.theregister.com/2022/05/27/microsoft_hiring_paused/

[5] https://www.theregister.com/2022/05/10/uber_meta_employment_stocks/

[6] https://www.theregister.com/2022/05/10/uber_meta_employment_stocks/

[7] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-26/apple-slows-hiring-of-genius-employees-at-some-retail-stores

[8] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-26/paypal-begins-cutting-staff-as-push-to-reduce-costs-ramps-up

[9] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/bootnotes&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44YpjeoljWsppnS15-jaZwNAAAAEM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[10] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/bootnotes&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33YpjeoljWsppnS15-jaZwNAAAAEM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[11] https://fortune.com/2022/05/03/tech-hiring-trends-2022/

[12] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-05-13/tech-companies-coddled-their-employees-now-they-re-firing-them%5C

[13] https://www.cbpp.org/research/economy/tracking-the-post-great-recession-economy

[14] https://layoffs.fyi/

[15] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/bootnotes&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44YpjeoljWsppnS15-jaZwNAAAAEM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[16] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/11/tech-layoffs-hiring-slowdown-stand-out-in-red-hot-job-market.html

[17] https://www.cbpp.org/research/economy/tracking-the-post-great-recession-economy

[18] https://www.theregister.com/2022/03/09/gartner_only_29pc_of_it/

[19] https://fortune.com/2022/02/07/amazon-raises-max-base-salary-cap-talent-pay-labor-shortage/

[20] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/bootnotes&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33YpjeoljWsppnS15-jaZwNAAAAEM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[21] https://fortune.com/2022/05/09/tech-employee-pay-compensation-return-office-apple-amazon-google/?tpcc=nldatasheet

[22] https://www.theregister.com/2022/05/03/apple_return_to_the_office/

[23] https://www.theregister.com/2022/04/29/airbnb_work_from_anywhere/

[24] https://www.theregister.co.uk/2022/06/02/tech_layoff_hiring/"https://www.theregister.com/2022/05/27/lacework_cuts_jobs/"

[25] https://www.theregister.co.uk/2022/06/02/tech_layoff_hiring/"https://www.theregister.com/2022/05/10/uber_meta_employment_stocks/"

[26] https://www.theregister.co.uk/2022/06/02/tech_layoff_hiring/"https://www.theregister.com/2022/02/15/ibm_age_discrimination/"

[27] https://www.theregister.co.uk/2022/06/02/tech_layoff_hiring/"https://www.theregister.com/2021/12/07/better_com_ceo_fires_900_on_zoom/"

[28] https://www.theregister.com/2022/03/16/microsoft_work_trends_index/

[29] https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/worklab/what-people-want-in-a-job-right-now

[30] https://www.sfexaminer.com/the_fs/forum/tech-layoffs-need-context-not-alarmist-hot-takes/article_2bff3704-939c-5489-a25b-e0fffee221d7.html

[31] https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20220523-the-workers-quitting-over-return-to-office-policies

[32] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



MiguelC

Musk's problem with working from home is that remote workers don't need to purchase Teslas...

Spot On

Ashto5

You nailed it there

The only people demanding you back in the office are the ones who cannot sell you something unless you out of your home.

Re: Spot On

Doctor Syntax

Not entirely. They also include the frustrated micro-managers who can't stand not having people to bully.

Re: Spot On

Franco

They still micro-manage, only now it's "you were offline in Teams when you should have been online"

Does not matter

Ashto5

The ONLY issue for IT roles

If Rishi Sunak insists his father in laws Indian workers must be allowed UK visas

That will kill the market.

Re: Does not matter

iron

Here's your coat, the Daily Mail is that way -------->

The good big companies are overstaffed by 2x.

Warm Braw

Don't know if he actually said it as the linked page gives a 403 error.

However, simplistic platitudes, even if they potentially have a kernel of truth, are of no real help. Why do these companies have twice the staff they "need"? What is it they're doing that is "unnecessary"? Google has whole swathes of people doing stuff that's never significantly going to affect their top line (i.e. unnecessary) and they encourage them to take time out from the unnecessary stuff they're supposed to be working on to work on stuff that's even more unnecessary. Unless you have a magic solution to identifying the potential value a priori, there's not much point complaining about it.

It's rather like that old nostrum about advertising spend - half of it is wasted, but noone can figure out which half. I suspect a similar rule of thumb applies to speculative enterprise in general. I'm sure Andreessen can afford it, however much he might complain.

What is really driving the media scaremongering?

Shuki26

" the biggest tech companies have dropped trillions of dollars in valuation, setting off alarm bells across the industry."

Have sales dropped by trillions of dollars to warrant layoffs and general anxiety or is this a case of media hype and wishful thinking? Google, Facebook, and Amazon certainly caused a lot of disruption by offering gobs of money to attract recruits, but the underlying challenges of the industry remain - shortage of stem workers and universities are not close to supplying the demand.

On a morning from a Bogart movie, in a country where they turned back time,
You go strolling through the crowd like Peter Lorre contemplating a crime.
She comes out of the sun in a silk dress running like a watercolor in the rain.
Don't bother asking for explanations, she'll just tell you that she came
In the Year of the Cat.

She doesn't give you time for questions, as she locks up your arm in hers,
And you follow 'till your sense of which direction completely disappears.
By the blue-tiled walls near the market stall there's a hidden door she
leads you to.
These days, she say, I feel my life just like a river running through
The Year of the Cat.

Well, she looks at you so coolly,
And her eyes shine like the moon in the sea.
She comes in incense and patchouli,
So you take her to find what's waiting inside
The Year of the Cat.

Well, morning comes and you're still with her, but the bus and the tourists
are gone,
And you've thrown away your choice and lost your ticket, so you have to stay on.
But the drum-beat strains of the night remain in the rhythm of the new-born day.
You know some time you're bound to leave her, but for now you're going to stay
In the Year of the Cat.
-- Al Stewart, "Year of the Cat"