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Toshiba's top investors signal strident opposition to planned two-way split

(2022/03/11)


Toshiba's plan to split itself into two companies has been opposed by two significant groups of investors.

The Japanese conglomerate first planned to split into three entities, but that plan was poorly received, so management went back to the drawing board and came up with a new strategy to split into two companies.

That plan has also earned investors' ire.

[1]

Effissimo Capital Management – a Singapore-based firm that is thought to hold almost ten per cent of Toshiba stock and has in the past agitated strongly for change at the Japanese company – has popped out a [2]press release stating it will vote against the split.

[3]

[4]

"The Separation may ultimately damage Toshiba's medium- to long-term corporate value," Effissimo's announcement argues, adding that it does not consider Toshiba's management up to the job of devising a strategy that will advance investors' interests. The release also argues that Toshiba's current CEO hasn't been put to the test of a vote of confidence, and that other leaders can't be held accountable if the split doesn't deliver.

3D Investment Partners –, another Singaporean entity that is Toshiba's second-largest shareholder with around 7.2 per cent of its scrip – has published a [5]presentation [PDF] that also opposes the conglomerate's plan.

[6]

That document asserts that Toshiba management's strategic review lacked transparency and objectivity, and suggests the company is "willing to disenfranchise its shareholder base."

To back that assertion, the presentation reveals that private equity firms have dangled offers for Toshiba that represent a premium on its current share price, but that the company has acted in ways that make it impossible for such firms even to present their plans.

[7]Toshiba CEO steps down as objections to re-org persist

[8]Toshiba reveals 30TB disk drive to arrive by 2024

[9]Toshiba decides Twoshiba's the best strategy, cans plan to create Threeshiba crowd

[10]Earthquake halts operations at two of Toshiba's chip factories

A third entity – influential corporate governance player Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. – has flagged its opposition to the proposed split.

In a research note published this week and obtained by The Register , ISS analysts share the following very unflattering opinion about Toshiba's prospects:

Years of corporate governance turmoil and attempted restructuring in the public eye, a split shareholder base, and an uninspiring management track record raise significant skepticism as to whether the current plan is superior to a privatization proposal.

The Register readers will doubtless have done their sums and noted that 3D and Effissimo's shareholdings collectively account for around 17 per cent of Toshiba stock – far from a majority.

Toshiba is therefore continuing with its plan to stage a March 24 Extraordinary General Meeting at which the two-way split will be put to a vote.

It is unclear which way that vote will go. But given Toshiba's years-long run of scandal and division, The Register feels certain the result won't put the matter to bed. ®

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[1] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2Yisr4avRNqq1BieNJ-CZ8AAAAIs&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[2] https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220309006094/en/Effissimo-Capital-Management-Our-Thinking-as-It-Relates-to-Proposal-No.-1-at-Toshiba-Corporation%E2%80%99s-Extraordinary-General-Meeting-of-Shareholders

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Yisr4avRNqq1BieNJ-CZ8AAAAIs&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33Yisr4avRNqq1BieNJ-CZ8AAAAIs&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://www.3dipartners.com/engagement/toshiba-presentation-on-shareholderproposal-en.pdf

[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Yisr4avRNqq1BieNJ-CZ8AAAAIs&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2022/03/01/toshiba_turmoil/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2022/02/09/30tb_toshiba_disk_drive/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2022/02/08/toshiba_revised_split_strategy/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2022/01/25/earthquake_in_japan_halts_operations/

[11] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



What would happen if...

ShadowSystems

All those investors that have essentially asked Toshiba not to do it, they all get out-voted to prevent it, and decide to pull their investments as a vote of no confidence?

Sure it's only ~17%, but having all that money suddenly ripped from their coffers can not be something easily smoothed over.

So what would happen if all the no-voters decide to pull out of the company, vote with their wallets, & reinvest somewhere else?

Re: What would happen if...

Pascal Monett

I don't think they can pull their investment. I think the only thing they can do is sell their shares.

But I may be wrong.

Re: What would happen if...

MJB7

Exactly as Pascal says: they can't withdraw their money from Toshiba, they can only sell their shares. If they do that all at once, the share price will fall. That will mean:

The board looks bad

If the board wants to raise more money by creating some more shares and selling them, it will be harder.

If the board wants to take over another company by issuing shares, they will have to issue more

However, from the point of view of the activist shareholders, the most important effect, and the reason it won't happen, is that they will lose a lot of money. Remember these investors don't care about truth, transparency, or justice - they just want to make money. (Tosh has a market cap of about $16B. 17% of that is ~ $3B, even a 1% fall in the share price is $30M !).

Footnote: Ye gods and little fishes but formatting a post with HTML is painful. When is El Reg going to get with the program and use markdown?

I had a feeling once about mathematics -- that I saw it all. Depth beyond
depth was revealed to me -- the Byss and the Abyss. I saw -- as one might
see the transit of Venus or even the Lord Mayor's Show -- a quantity passing
through infinity and changing its sign from plus to minus. I saw exactly
why it happened and why tergiversation was inevitable -- but it was after
dinner and I let it go.
-- Winston Churchill