Idea of downloading memories far-fetched say experts after Musk claim resurfaces in latest Neuralink development
- Reference: 1643621465
- News link: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2022/01/31/neuralink_job_ad/
- Source link:
An [2]online ad (screenshots [3]here and [4]here ) was looking for someone to "lead and help build the team responsible for enabling Neuralink's clinical research activities and developing the regulatory interactions that come with a fast-paced and ever-evolving environment."
The Musk-backed startup claims to be building the "future of brain interfaces… that will help people with paralysis and inventing new technologies that will expand our abilities, our community, and our world."
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The technology is based around a "neural implant that will let you control a computer or mobile device anywhere you go."
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Fitted into the skull, the implant will connect "micron-scale threads [that] are inserted into areas of the brain that control movement" and can be charged wirelessly.
Neuralink achievements [8]include a demo that appears to show a monkey playing the video game Pong with its mind.
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Publicity surrounding the development of clinical trials of the technology saw the resurfacing of a Neuralink presentation from August 2020 in which Musk, the world's richest person with [10]a personal fortune of something like $242bn , made some outlandish claims about probably long-term capabilities of Neuralink.
Responding to a question from a Twitter user, [11]Musk ad-libbed : "I think in the future you will be able to save and replay memories. This is obviously sounding increasingly like a Black Mirror episode. But well, I guess they're pretty good at predicting."
He said that with the interface active across the brain "everything that's encoded in memory, you could upload you could basically store your memories as a backup and restore the memories. And ultimately, you could potentially download them into a new body or into a robot body. The future is going to be weird."
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The weirdness of the future (or the present for that matter) aside, the reporting of Musk's comments has sparked some criticism in the scientific community. Anyone familiar with the South African's relationship with reality will not be surprised to learn their conclusion was that his predictions are unlikely to come to pass.
The interesting point is why, and what it reveals about how the tech elite might fundamentally misunderstand the brain.
Tim Verstynen, associate professor of cognitive neuroscience at Carnegie Mellon University, took to Twitter to post a "back of the envelope calculation" to explain why exactly Musk's claims were so far-fetched.
Keen readers can look at the calculation [13]here , but briefly, it points out there are approximately 10 15 synapses in the human brain.
"If we binarize each synapse [neural connections] to a bit (they are not bits), then that's a *lower bound* of 10 15 bits of information in the average human brain," he said.
But modelling a brain would need the location of each synapse requiring a similar amount of information, putting the amount of data in the brain at around 20 15 bits, about a petabyte of data for each moment.
That's an absolute minimum and doesn't account for the fact there is an "incredibly complex molecular system within a neuron" and doesn't account for glia, another class of neural system cells known to process information. The estimate does not account for the fact that the brain is dynamic, and memories contain several moments in time.
Even extrapolating additional complexity out of the human brain and simply accounting for synapses, you're looking at an estimate of exabytes of information every second, he later told The Register .
"The area that I'm in is known as cognitive computational neuroscience. We've been thinking a lot in the field, about information capacities of neural systems, what patterns are representations of the world? What are memories? These are all kinds of big topics we discuss a lot.
"From the outside looking in, it's very easy to underestimate the scope of the problem of understanding the brain or parts of the brain in general. In this case, Musk's comment about uploading and downloading memories, it sounds trivial and simple in a lot of ways, but it's vastly complex," Verstynen said.
Even though the work on a brain interface had progressed, such that some experiments showed [14]people able to control prosthetic arms via such a device , downloading memories is still difficult to imagine.
The problem is, thinking of the brain as a computer at all is kind of barking up the wrong tree.
"The more I learned about the brain more I also realized how little we know," Verstynen said. "I think the computer metaphor has probably served its purpose already and is no longer a properly fitting metaphor for the brain.
"We kind of think about the brain as this modular thing where there's a part that processes digital information, another part that makes decisions about objects and so on and we put it together as if we're jerry-rigging computer programs like we use to build artificial intelligence programs."
[15]Facebook pulls plug on mind-reading neural interface that restored a user's speech
[16]As we stand on the precipice of science fiction into science fact, people say: Hell yeah, I want to augment my eyesight!
[17]You Musk be joking: A mind-reading Neuralink chip in a pig's brain? Downloadable memories? Telepathy? Watch and judge for yourself
[18]Desktop bust and custom iPhone 13 Pro made from melted-down Tesla car for the Elon Musk dork in your life
"I've been doing research in the brain for about 23 years now and over that time it's become very clear that that's not a perfect description of what's actually happening," he said.
"It's more like a chaotic attractor system. It has very nonlinear properties. And whenever we try to use computational metaphors to understand the brain, those metaphors kind of constrain the way we understand the system. These tech leaders are trying to get into the field of neuroscience by holding on to the computer metaphor of uploading or downloading memories, thinking that the idea that memory in my head is the same as a memory on my computer chip. That shows people are adopting the constraints of the metaphor, not the constraints of the brain," he said.
Other commentators were a little more blunt about Musk's claim that Neuralink would be able to download human memories. UK geneticist, UCL research associate and science writer Adam Rutherford also [19]took to Twitter to say: "Absolute balls. This is god-level cockwaffle, typical of the manballs beloved of these ignorant dorks."
We asked Neuralink to comment. ®
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[1] https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/jan/20/elon-musk-brain-chip-firm-neuralink-lines-up-clinical-trials-in-humans
[2] https://boards.greenhouse.io/neuralink/jobs/4723041003
[3] https://regmedia.co.uk/2022/01/27/jobad1.jpg
[4] https://regmedia.co.uk/2022/01/27/jobad2.jpg
[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2YffBXBgJ87nU4ZB@aGO8vwAAAM8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0
[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44YffBXBgJ87nU4ZB@aGO8vwAAAM8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[7] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33YffBXBgJ87nU4ZB@aGO8vwAAAM8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[8] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-56688812
[9] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44YffBXBgJ87nU4ZB@aGO8vwAAAM8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[10] https://www.forbes.com/profile/elon-musk/?sh=67eb89ba7999
[11] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CLUWDLKAF1M
[12] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33YffBXBgJ87nU4ZB@aGO8vwAAAM8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[13] https://twitter.com/tdverstynen/status/1485321117065695243
[14] https://www.theregister.com/2015/05/22/braincontrolled_robot_arm/
[15] https://www.theregister.com/2021/07/15/facebook_dumps_mindreading_neural_interface/
[16] https://www.theregister.com/2020/09/18/people_want_to_be_cyborgs_kaspersky/
[17] https://www.theregister.com/2020/08/29/neuralink_pig_brain_interface/
[18] https://www.theregister.com/2021/11/25/elon_musk_bust_iphone/
[19] https://twitter.com/AdamRutherford/status/1485335147612409863
[20] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/
Not to mention the telemetry those cars phone home with, I certainly wouldn't want that in my brain either.
Not gonna happen any time soon.
I put this in the same category as drone deliveries, except a billion times more complex.
Re: Not gonna happen any time soon.
Agreed, not gonna happen.
But it is such a fine and deep money pit. It is a great bubble of wishful thinking. You can burn and destroy billions and billions before anybody will pull the plug. Think of all the possibilities to redistribute wealth to the deserving rich.
I don't see a problem in his statement.
"I think in the future you will be able to save and replay memories..." Doesn't say Neuralink can do it, or even that they ever will.
The "I think" part tells us it's just Musk's musings.
"in the future" acknowledges we aren't there yet.
The rest is just the description of the problem.
Calculating the data required to hold the entire brain state seems like saying there's X number of photons in this scene so we can't possibly record a video of it. At present we just don't know how much data is required to hold a memory, or how to capture and replay it.
I can't imagine we'll have this technology soon, and maybe never, but wouldn't rule it out.
"Tim Verstynen, associate professor of cognitive neuroscience at Carnegie Mellon University, took to Twitter to post a "back of the envelope calculation" to explain why exactly Musk's claims were so far-fetched."
Confucius he say; 'Man who say task is impossible, should not get in way of man doing it.' Good on Elon for refusing to settle for the status quo, and daring to try and make the future happen.
Why is it that Musk’s enterprises seem to have one of two aims? Tax dodge or government handout
I wonder which one this is?
I'm a cognitive neuropsychologist, but with a bit of a computational background (spent a summer at the Santa Fe Institute, refereed things about physics of computation, that sort of thing). Dr. Verstynen is right to draw an analogy with chaotic dynamics, but the brain situation is even worse. Typically, when one studies chaos the system is isolated - in brains new perturbations from the outside world keep bumping into it and the system never has the chance to settle into stable attractor dynamics - it is always on the way there - it never arrives (until we die). There are probably transient, sort of predictable, quasi-stable states induced by signals from outside world, but I don't think we have much of an idea at all about how these are formed and how they affect the rest of the brain. All a bit hand-wavy, but, at this stage that's probably all you're going to get. Elon is talking out of his hat.
Yrs truly, A Professor.
Would you go on record and say this will never happen?
Going by the downvote I'd say no, you won't go on record. In which case, you and Elon are saying essentially the same thing; we're not anywhere near yet, it's phenomenally difficult and unlikely to appear any time soon, but let's take the first steps and see what happens.
That quote!
"Absolute balls. This is god-level cockwaffle, typical of the manballs beloved of these ignorant dorks."
I don't have Twitter, but I may have to sign up only to follow this gentleman! Bravo! Bravo, I say! Brought a tear of joy to my eye, it did.
When this works...
Will he also be able to analyse all sorts of diseases from a few drops of blood?
Fitted into the skull, the implant ... inserted into areas of the brain
For all the people who are going to cheer this sort of stuff on, because, like, Elon's a megarichtechgenius, I would first recommend reading some of J.G. Ballard's short story books. They are full of horrendous ideas like this, with the end result often being that the human guinea pigs they're tried on are left permanently screaming in terror at the irreversible hell they've ended up in.
Also, they're much less time consuming than spending an hour watching Black Mirror tediously labour its "bad tech use" point.
Let's start with the obvious
Modern research suggests strongly that he brain stores memories by making new synapse connections. These connections fade over time and eventually break. Whenever we recall something (perhaps only by dreaming about it), the strength of those connections is reinforced. So memory is a dynamic thing, wholly bound into the dynamic evolution of the brain.
To artificially recall a memory you would have to identify and artificially stimulate every synapse involved in that memory. This demands two particular technologies:
1. Wiring up every synapse in the brain, and updating that wiring dynamically in real-time.
2. Identifying each individual memorable event and the synapses associated with it, and storing that association.
So you need a database index as comparably vast as the raw brain configuration itself, as much hardware wiring stuffed into in the brain as there is wetware wiring, and a database technology sufficiently powerful to operate the whole shebang in real-time.
That data system will effectively be a brain in its own right. It is more likely to sever the connection and sign on to Facebook than it is to waste its life backing up Musk's distorted reality.
Idiocy comes in many forms. Not stopping to reality-check one's ideas is one of them. It has been said that genius is an infinite capacity for taking pains. Poor Elon risks becoming a classic example of what happens when you do not stop to do so.
The professor knows his field. However, he doesn't seem to grok Musk's usual MO - i.e state an improbably far off goal as a definition of a direction, then build a profitable business model that can does R&D in that direction.
The professor is right to take every opportunity to remind us of how inappropriate the computer analogy of the human brain is. It is an analogy that has been too often used in popular culture. Musk already knows this. Neuralink could a way of learning more about how the brain does process information.
Why? Because the short term market for devices that can treat range of medical conditions is large and clear. People have greater chance of getting neurological disorder in their lifetime now that we don't smoke ourselves into early heart attacks. Traumatic brain injuries, spinal injuries and amputations have risen due to military activities, and the medical techniques used to treat them have already been improved due to medics' greater experience. We already treat some Parkinsons patients by placing electrodes in their spine.
Saying that you're walking to the sun after lunch is just another way of saying you're walking West.
It should also be noted that Neuralink's demos have been to attract potential employees (who one assumes know their field and know that 'uploading memories' is decades away even if it ever is possible), not to attract funding (where one might be more careful of one's language because fund managers aren't usually technical specialists).
Remembering and learning how different our brains are from computers is actually a fun exercise (well, fun for the sort of folk who read the Reg, I hope!), and might give clues to how computers might be improved. An example might be the layers of processing that start at our eyes, with information being discarded at each stage. Our brain never receives a high def video recording (which would be the crude video camera computer analogy). Now we have Sony building patten recognition algorithms into the camera sensors so that some processing can be done without reduntantly shunting HD video around networks (waste of limited power and bandwidth).
It could be that in the future computers will become a more appropriate analogue of brains, because we will have created computers that are more like brains. Or rather bodies, since the human brain is lazy (er, efficient) and will outsource processing and memory to our nerves, our guts, our bodies, what we're holding in our hand at this moment, what room we're in, the colour temperature of ambient light etc
There's only one way to find out. And dissecting twitter comments ain't it.
Nice one Adam Rutherford
Similar misconceptions underpinned the 'beaming down' in Star Trek. Quite apart from the obvious defect of there being in many instances no receiving apparatus to do the re-assembly (as when they beam down onto a planetary surface in the open), the humungous amount of information transfer required to reconstitute a human plus all the extras (clothes, weapons &c.) and reconstitute them accurately precludes feasibility - if for no other reason than error rate.
It also falls down over the ambiguity of whether the process transfers the original matter or replicates it. There's an episode in series one ('The Enemy Within') that suggests the latter, as Kirk gets split in two - a 'good guy' and a 'bad guy'. They're both Kirk's original height after the split, so their combined matter volume is twice that of Kirk before the split. If beaming was matter transference and the split was 50/50, we'd expect to have two rather smaller Kirks, each about 80% shorter than his 5'9" (i.e. about 4'7" each).
The problem with the replication method is that once you've beamed down it's not really you any more.
If the quality of the software in his cars is anything to go by... don't think I'd be keen on putting one of his devices in my brain