Rapid Snow Melt-Off In American West Stuns Scientists (theguardian.com)
- Reference: 0181205544
- News link: https://news.slashdot.org/story/26/04/02/0329240/rapid-snow-melt-off-in-american-west-stuns-scientists
- Source link: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/apr/01/snowmelt-american-west
> [...] [2]The issue is extremely widespread . Data from a branch of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), which logs averages based on levels between 1991 and 2020, shows states across the south-west and intermountain west with eye-popping lows. The Great Basin had only 16% of average on Monday and the lower Colorado region, which includes most of Arizona and parts of Nevada, was at 10%. The Rio Grande, which covers parts of New Mexico, Texas and Colorado, was at 8%. "This year has the potential of being way worse than any of the years we have analogues for in the past," Schumacher said.
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> Even with near-normal precipitation across most of the west, every major river basin across the region was [3]grappling with snow drought when March began , according to federal analysts. Roughly 91% of stations reported below-median snow water equivalent, according to the last federal snow drought update compiled on March 8. Water managers and climate experts had been hopeful for a March miracle -- a strong cold storm that could set the region on the right track. Instead, a blistering heatwave unlike any recorded for this time of year baked the region and spurred a rapid melt-off. "March is often a big month for snowstorms," Schumacher said. "Instead of getting snow we would normally expect we got this unprecedented, way-off-the-scale warmth."
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> More than [4]1,500 monthly high temperature records were broken in March and hundreds more tied. The event was "likely among the most statistically anomalous extreme heat events ever observed in the American south-west," climate scientist Daniel Swain [5]said in an analysis posted this week. "Beyond the conspicuous 'weirdness' of it all," Swain added, "the most consequential impact of our record-shattering March heat will likely be the decimation of the water year 2025-26 snowpack across nearly all of the American west." Calling the toll left by the heat "nothing short of shocking," Swain noted that California was tied for its worst mountain snowpack value on record. While the highest elevations are still coated in white, "lower slopes are now completely bare nearly statewide."
[1] https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/apr/01/snowmelt-american-west
[2] https://nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov/imap/#version=2&elements=&networks=!&states=!&basins=!&hucs=&minElevation=&maxElevation=&elementSelectType=any&activeOnly=true&activeForecastPointsOnly=false&hucLabels=false&hucIdLabels=false&hucParameterLabels=true&stationLabels=&overlays=&hucOverlays=2&basinOpacity=75&basinNoDataOpacity=25&basemapOpacity=100&maskOpacity=0&mode=data&openSections=parameter,date,basin,options,elements,location,networks&controlsOpen=true&popup=&popupMulti=&popupBasin=&base=esriNgwm&displayType=basin&basinType=2&dataElement=WTEQ&depth=-2¶meter=PCTAVG&frequency=DAILY&duration=I&customDuration=&dayPart=E&monthPart=E&forecastPubDay=1&forecastExceedance=50&useMixedPast=true&seqColor=1&divColor=7&scaleType=D&scaleMin=&scaleMax=&referencePeriodType=POR&referenceBegin=1991&referenceEnd=2020&minimumYears=20&hucAssociations=true&relativeDate=-1&lat=40.659&lon=-104.366&zoom=4.5
[3] https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates/snow-drought-current-conditions-and-impacts-west-2026-03-12
[4] https://substack.com/home/post/p-192620205?source=queue&utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
[5] https://weatherwest.com/archives/43769
Indeed (Score:2)
For some reason it still seems to surprise a lot of people - even some scientists - that global warming is not a steady linear process but rather it goes in fits and starts and sometimes maybe slightly backwards in temp in some places for a short while. A sudden jump in heat one year - and hence record snow melt - should not come as a shock to anyone especially academics in the field.
Re: (Score:2)
Lets say you have a trendline for the expected impacts of the changing climate. It has error bars to cover the expected deviations caused by short term weather patterns and, since the variables become less certain the further you go into the future, those error bars get further and further from the central trend line as you go. Typical trend prediction graph for any number of fields, in otherwords.
Now, lets say your worst case error bars for 2026 allowed for a deviation of upto 5%, but when the data la
cue the idiots (Score:2)
Cue the people who keep insisting "there is lots of water".
They were expecting what exactly? (Score:5, Insightful)
Record heat + severe snow deficit resulting in record low snow cover is anything but surprising.
Gonna be fun when the natural cycle is already dipping into extreme drought, such that we are now erasing the one thing that can mitigate it.
Re: (Score:1)
must be Trumps fault.
Re: (Score:1)
Hardly exclusively, but at scale, he's probably pretty high in the hypothetical ranking of people through all of history who contributed the most to making it worse!