Asteroid 2024 YR4 Will Not Impact the Moon (esa.int)
(Saturday March 07, 2026 @05:00AM (BeauHD)
from the crisis-averted dept.)
- Reference: 0180921362
- News link: https://science.slashdot.org/story/26/03/07/0028222/asteroid-2024-yr4-will-not-impact-the-moon
- Source link: https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/Asteroid_2024_YR4_will_not_impact_the_Moon
Ancient Slashdot reader [1]alanw shares a report from the European Space Agency (ESA):
> Last year, an approximately 60 meter near-Earth object captured global attention. For a brief period, asteroid 2024 YR4 became the [2]most dangerous asteroid discovered in the last 20 years. While an Earth impact was soon [3]ruled out , the asteroid faded from view with a lingering [4]4% chance of striking the Moon on 22 December 2032. Now, that risk has been eliminated. Astronomers have confirmed that 2024 YR4 [5]will not impact the Moon using new observations made by the Near-Infrared Camera (NIRCam) on the NASA/ESA/CSA James Webb Space Telescope. Instead, it will safely pass the Moon at a distance of more than 20 000 km.
[1] https://slashdot.org/~alanw
[2] https://science.slashdot.org/story/25/01/30/0218237/astronomers-discover-196-foot-asteroid-with-1-in-83-chance-of-hitting-earth-in-2032
[3] https://science.slashdot.org/story/25/02/26/032251/earth-safe-from-city-killer-asteroid-2024-yr4
[4] https://science.slashdot.org/story/26/01/28/0522257/asteroid-2024-yr4-has-a-4-chance-of-hitting-the-moon
[5] https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/Asteroid_2024_YR4_will_not_impact_the_Moon
> Last year, an approximately 60 meter near-Earth object captured global attention. For a brief period, asteroid 2024 YR4 became the [2]most dangerous asteroid discovered in the last 20 years. While an Earth impact was soon [3]ruled out , the asteroid faded from view with a lingering [4]4% chance of striking the Moon on 22 December 2032. Now, that risk has been eliminated. Astronomers have confirmed that 2024 YR4 [5]will not impact the Moon using new observations made by the Near-Infrared Camera (NIRCam) on the NASA/ESA/CSA James Webb Space Telescope. Instead, it will safely pass the Moon at a distance of more than 20 000 km.
[1] https://slashdot.org/~alanw
[2] https://science.slashdot.org/story/25/01/30/0218237/astronomers-discover-196-foot-asteroid-with-1-in-83-chance-of-hitting-earth-in-2032
[3] https://science.slashdot.org/story/25/02/26/032251/earth-safe-from-city-killer-asteroid-2024-yr4
[4] https://science.slashdot.org/story/26/01/28/0522257/asteroid-2024-yr4-has-a-4-chance-of-hitting-the-moon
[5] https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/Asteroid_2024_YR4_will_not_impact_the_Moon
Scientists with a margin of error headline! (Score:2)
by will4 ( 7250692 )
We need more science articles which quote the margin of error or estimated percentage chance of event X!
It is kind of odd how the once in a bias towards classifying and derisking estimates to a 1000 year flood estimate is preferred by home builders, city property taxing agencies, politicians, insurance companies, etc. when derisking as a bias is not favored in climate research estimates, hurricane path estimates, and other news/money donation/attention grabbing areas.
apophis solution (Score:1)
however, on 13 april 2029 ...
Re: (Score:1)
elon musk will not interact with this because he cant
Re: (Score:2)
MacGyver will. You just wait and see.