India Overtakes Japan As 4th-Largest Economy
- Reference: 0180488225
- News link: https://news.slashdot.org/story/25/12/30/2025244/india-overtakes-japan-as-4th-largest-economy
- Source link:
> India has [1]surpassed Japan to become the world's fourth-largest economy , according to calculations in the Indian government's [2]end-of-year economic review . On current trends, India is expected to overtake Germany to become the world's third-largest economy within the next three years, the review said.
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> The review said India's gross domestic product has already reached about $4.18 trillion, and is projected to reach $7.3 trillion by 2030. On current trends, it said, India would trail only the United States and China in economic heft. India's real GDP grew 8.2% in the second quarter of the 2025-26 financial year, up from 7.8% in the previous quarter and marking a six-quarter high.
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> Export performance has also strengthened, the review noted. Merchandise exports rose to $38.13 billion in November, up from $36.43 billion in January, supported by engineering goods, electronics, pharmaceuticals, and petroleum products. Official confirmation however depends on data due in 2026 when final annual GDP figures are released. The International Monetary Fund suggests India will surpass Japan next year. The Reserve Bank of India has revised its growth forecast for the 2025-26 financial year upward to 7.3%.
[1] https://www.dw.com/en/india-overtakes-japan-as-4th-largest-economy-report-says/a-75341063
[2] https://www.pib.gov.in/PressNoteDetails.aspx?NoteId=156770&ModuleId=3®=3&lang=1
Technically true, but ... (Score:4, Informative)
> India Overtakes Japan As 4th-Largest Economy
California actually ranks just before Japan, and (apparently) neither have released their final 2026 numbers. From Dec 30, 2025: [1]India Overtakes California As World’s Fourth Largest Economy—Data [newsweek.com]:
> India has become the fourth largest economy in the world, according to the Indian government's end-of-year economic review, potentially passing Japan and California.
> "With GDP valued at US$4.18 trillion, India has surpassed Japan to become the world’s fourth-largest economy, and is poised to displace Germany from the third rank in the next two-and-a-half to three years, with projected GDP of US$7.3 trillion by 2030."
> Japan and California are yet to release GDP estimates for the year. Official confirmation of figures will rely on the IMF's final annual GDP figures expected in the first half of 2026.
> In April this year, IMF's data showed California’s gross domestic product (GDP) reached $4.10trillion, surpassing Japan’s $4.01trillion.
Alternate source: [2]India is set to overtake Japan - and, yes, California - and become the world's fourth-largest economy [morningstar.com]
From May 2025: [3]Mapped: The World’s Largest Economies, Including U.S. States [visualcapitalist.com]:
> 1 U.S. - $29,184,900
> 2 China - $18,748,009
> 3 Germany - $4,658,526
> 4 California - $4,103,124
> 5 Japan - $4,026,211
> 6 India - $3,909,097
> 7 UK - $3,644,636
> 8 France - $3,162,023
> 9 Texas - $2,709,393
> 10 Italy - $2,372,059
>
[1] https://www.newsweek.com/india-overtakes-california-as-worlds-fourth-largest-economy-data-11283382
[2] https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2025123061/india-is-set-to-overtake-japan-and-yes-california-and-become-the-worlds-fourth-largest-economy
[3] https://www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-the-worlds-largest-economies-including-u-s-states/
GDP means nothing - it is not weighed relatively (Score:1)
GDP is not aligned per capita -- so, the bigger the population, your bigger GDP. Compare the average Indian's quality of life compared to the other 10 largest GDP countries in the world (). It's not even close (US, China, Germany, Japan, UK, FRance, Italy, Russia, Canada). India is rife with corruption underneath severe health, environmental and societal issues.
Re: GDP means nothing - it is not weighed relative (Score:2)
So this is all about moods created by numerology according to an agenda where countries are incentivized by "economic heft" to inflate their results, making effective margins of error on GDP so large you could tell any story and be supported by "the data"?
Re: (Score:1)
Yes.
Japan population (Score:2)
I think I would rather live in a country where the slices of the pie are not wafer thin, even if the overall pie is smaller.
Re: Japan population (Score:2)
Agreed Japan is just about a tenth their population. Working on a gdp per capita Japan is 39th and India 144th. Beauty of stats.
Re: (Score:2)
i would rather not live in a country vassal to the us, squeezed and commandeered into geopolitical conflict by the us in its own desperate empire saving rage (that's what "friends" are for, right?), with a debt 2.5 times their gdp, with an acute demographic crisis, a currency in precarious equilibrium and stagnating production numbers. and i actually like japan very much, but thanks but no thanks, they're rushing head on into a very rough ride. india? not really. you would be fine there.
mind, i'm in europe