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SpaceX shows off progress on its lunar Starship

(2025/10/31)


SpaceX has published an update on its lunar Starship progress, and it still has a long way to go before the impressive-looking renders are translated into reality.

Yesterday's [1]briefing followed an announcement earlier this month by acting NASA Administrator Sean Duffy who said SpaceX was behind schedule, and the contract to land astronauts on the Moon for the Artemis III mission was being [2]reopened .

SpaceX has now responded with a lengthy update that is big on promises but somewhat light on actual progress. SpaceX said it had completed 49 milestones "tied to developing the subsystems, infrastructure, and operations needed to land astronauts on the Moon, the vast majority of which have been achieved on time or ahead of schedule."

[3]

However, performing a software architecture review and qualifying a docking adaptor based on the existing Dragon 2 docking system remains quite some way from demonstrating long-duration flight and in-space propellant transfer. SpaceX said, "Both of these tests are targeted to take place in 2026."

[4]

[5]

Although it presented renders showing the vast space available within the Starship HLS, the corporation did not give a timescale for when a lunar landing might take place. It said: "we've shared and are formally assessing a simplified mission architecture and concept of operations that we believe will result in a faster return to the Moon while simultaneously improving crew safety."

The Register asked SpaceX for more details on this "simplified mission architecture," but it has yet to respond. The current plan calls for up to 100 tons to be carried directly to the lunar surface by Starship. If this were reduced, fewer in-space refueling flights will be needed. In addition, if a shortened variant of Starship were produced purely for the lunar landing, other concerns (such as the rocket tipping over) would also go away.

[6]

The Starship architecture raises questions about stability on uneven terrain. SpaceX completed a "landing leg drop test of a full-scale article at flight energies onto simulated lunar regolith," yet details remain scarce.

The uncomfortable truth is that SpaceX is likely NASA's only option for landing astronauts on the Moon before President Donald Trump's current term ends in January 2029 — far less time than it took Grumman to go from contract award (April 1962) to Armstrong's first steps (July 1969).

Duffy's intervention forced SpaceX to publish a progress update, yet that update has only served to highlight how work remains to be done. The company, for example, hasn't even fabricated a flight-capable lander cabin for demonstration and training.

[7]

SpaceX claims it "shares the goal of returning to the Moon as expeditiously as possible, approaching the mission with the same alacrity and commitment that returned human spaceflight capability to America under NASA's Commercial Crew program."

[8]Canonical CEO says no to IPO in current volatile market

[9]Give Europe some space! 3 companies join forces to reach for the stars

[10]SpaceX is behind schedule, so NASA will open Artemis III contract to competition

[11]SpaceX's Starship: Two down, Mons Huygens to climb

When SpaceX was [12]awarded a Commercial Crew Transportation Capability contract in 2014, NASA aimed to end its reliance on Russia by 2017. The first crewed mission by the company didn't happen [13]until 2020 .

While there were a number of reasons for the delay, including SpaceX [14]exploding a Crew Dragon during testing, it is a curious definition for "alacrity." ®

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[1] https://www.spacex.com/updates#moon-and-beyond

[2] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/21/spacex_is_behind_schedule_so/

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2aQTrJv-r-wH-ONwjRnUxJAAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aQTrJv-r-wH-ONwjRnUxJAAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aQTrJv-r-wH-ONwjRnUxJAAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aQTrJv-r-wH-ONwjRnUxJAAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[7] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aQTrJv-r-wH-ONwjRnUxJAAAAAk&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/30/canonical_ceo_mark_shuttleworth_ipo/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/23/euro_trio_space/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/21/spacex_is_behind_schedule_so/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/16/spacexs_starship_two_down_a/

[12] https://www.theregister.com/2014/09/16/screw_you_russia_nasa_appoints_boeing_and_spacex_as_space_station_ferrymen/

[13] https://www.theregister.com/2020/05/30/nasa_spacex_manned_launch/

[14] https://www.theregister.com/2019/07/16/spacex_crew_dragon_investigation/

[15] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Time for a song

Vikingforties

"Vonce ze rockets go up, who cares where ze come down?

Und I'm learning Chinese, sings Wernher von Braun."

Seriously, all this faffing about and marketing renders these days makes me seriously impressed with what was put together by quite a few nations back in the early space days.

improving crew safety

disillusioned fanboi

> simplified mission architecture and concept of operations that we believe will result in a faster return to the Moon while simultaneously improving crew safety

I read this as "give [more of] the job to someone else"...

before President Donald Trump's current term ends

John Brown (no body)

The most obvious answer is to extend the mission deadlines by another year or four. Trumps "mission", that is :-)

Note icon ------------------->

Re: before President Donald Trump's current term ends

Anonymous Coward

Or to abandon the idea of doing it in Trump's term. Ideally by abandoning Trump's term.

Re: before President Donald Trump's current term ends

Anonymous Coward

Just dump Trump the chump

49 milestones

Anonymous Coward

Milestones? MILEstones?

I thought the "1m" markings meant we were supposed to put one every meter* and report on passing those.

Give me a minute, that's 49 meterstones converted to miles is, um,

* We are all very Space Age around here.

These PRESERVES should be FORCE-FED to PENTAGON OFFICIALS!!