Google parent company spending like a drunken sailor as capex triples over 2 years
- Reference: 1761850923
- News link: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2025/10/30/alphabet_capex/
- Source link:
On the back of results that revealed revenue for the third quarter was $102.34 billion, representing 16 percent year-on-year growth, Alphabet signaled a headlong charge into datacenter building to meet demand for AI services well into next year. Capex was [1]$32.25 billion in 2023 , and the estimate for 2025 [2]stood at $75 billion in February .
Anat Ashkenazi, Alphabet senior veep and CFO, told investors: "We're continuing to invest aggressively due to the demand we're experiencing from cloud customers as well as the growth opportunities we see across the company. We now expect capex to be in the range of $91 billion to $93 billion in 2025, up from our previous estimate of $85 billion... Looking out to 2026, we expect a significant increase in capex."
[3]
Not to be outdone, Microsoft is also ramping up capex in the face of the AI boom and expects it to accelerate through its financial year. The figure for the first quarter of its financial year 2026 stands at $34.9 billion, according to recent results, larger than investment analysts had expected, and up from $24 billion in the previous quarter.
[4]
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Amy Hood, executive veep and CFO, told investors this was largely driven by growing demand for the company's cloud and AI offerings. About half the spending was on "short-lived assets" such as GPUs and CPUs to support increasing Azure platform demand and first-party AI solutions, for example.
"We're increasing our spend on GPUs and CPUs. Therefore, total spend will increase sequentially, and we now expect the financial year 2026 growth rate to be higher than financial year 2025," she said.
[6]
Microsoft's capital expenditure in the quarter stood at $34.9 billion, compared with Visible Alpha estimates of $30.34 billion.
[7]AWS Stargate-smashing Rainier AI megacluster is up and running
[8]Nvidia pitches Omniverse DSX as model for gigawatt-scale AI factories
[9]OpenAI tells Trump to build more power plants or China wins the AI arms race
[10]Uncle Sam's new power plan will plug AI farms into the grid faster
However, investors were less than impressed. Shares of the company dropped by 3 percent in extended trading last night as the growth in capex worried investors who are are becoming increasingly concerned about an AI bubble, according to [11]reports .
Oracle is also planning a massive datacenter expansion to meet the demand it expects for AI and has increased its borrowing to fund the spree. It has already [12]launched an $18 billion bond sale and [13]reports suggest it plans another $38 billion debt offering. Estimates suggest it will need to borrow [14]$100 billion over four years to fulfill the demand of its $300 billion cloud compute contract with OpenAI.
[15]Other reports suggest investors were concerned about the speed at which AI datacenter spending could offer revenue and that the rush to capture market share might see the big players overshoot demand. ®
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[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000165204424000014/googexhibit991q42023.htm
[2] https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2024/01/30/alphabet-googl-q4-2023-earnings-call-transcript/
[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2aQPuEqnkjdKtgQOODnTBsQAAAU8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0
[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aQPuEqnkjdKtgQOODnTBsQAAAU8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aQPuEqnkjdKtgQOODnTBsQAAAU8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aQPuEqnkjdKtgQOODnTBsQAAAU8&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[7] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/29/aws_rainier_ai_megacluster/
[8] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/29/nvidia_omniverse_dsx/
[9] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/28/openai_100gw_power_demand/
[10] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/24/doe_datacenter_grid_connection/
[11] https://www.reuters.com/business/microsofts-cloud-surge-lifts-revenue-above-expectations-2025-10-29/
[12] https://www.theregister.com/2025/09/25/oracle_18_billion_debt/
[13] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-23/record-38-billion-debt-sale-nears-for-oracle-tied-data-centers
[14] https://www.theregister.com/2025/09/29/oracle_ai_debt/
[15] https://www.ft.com/content/86bb929f-e0ec-4e50-b429-e9259c3834e2
[16] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/
Re: Worrying about overshooting demand?
There is very little risk that these data centers will eventually not find a use, whether it is for external customers or internal workloads.
Re: Worrying about overshooting demand?
But to undertake what economically valuable task, or meet what social need?
Re: Worrying about overshooting demand?
"There is very little risk that these data centers will eventually not find a use, whether it is for external customers or internal workloads."
Incorrect. If they are built for AI, they are pretty much useless for other tasks. Sure, you can not use the incredibly power hungry GPUs, but that's going to be a huge waste of capex.
You know, when the bubble pops, it really is going to be quite spectacular, isn't it?
We can hope so. Apparently Nvidia's market cap hit $5 trillion recently, and CEO Huang has told everybody "there is no AI bubble".
To put $5 trillion in context, that's the estimated net wealth of Switzerland. Now, faced with the difficult choice of owning Switzerland, or owning Nvidia, I know which I'd choose.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/lewisnunn/2025/08/14/the-worlds-50-richest-countries-2025-according-to-financial-experts/
I did enjoy the little keyboard portrait that Forbes offered us of the Britain.
We will all be paying for this
- More adverts in general.
- More adverts which cost more with the costs factored in to whatever is being sold..
- More software products with the AI label slapped on it, and sold by subscription so pay month in month out whether you use it or not.
- More hardware with the AI label slapped on it. AI lightbulbs, with an AI app on your AI phone.
- AI firewalls to protect against AI-discovered security holes.
- AI dog collars, which detect if your dog wants to go out for a walk.
- AI fraud detection to prevent fraudsters using AI.
- AI products used by BIG COMPANY, with negligible benefits to us, but suddenly cost more.
- AI motor insurance, connected to the AI in your car, putting your premiums up as necessary (but never down).
- AI documentary evidence, of dubious provenance, being debated in court as to how reliable they are (or not).
- AI call handling which miraculously tell the truth: your call is not important to us, there's not more punters in the queue.
- AI predicted weather for tomorrow. For a small monthly fee.
Worrying about overshooting demand?
They already have. But hype train must keep rolling!