AI layoffs to backfire: Half quietly rehired at lower pay
- Reference: 1761744639
- News link: https://www.theregister.co.uk/2025/10/29/forrester_ai_rehiring/
- Source link:
According to Forrester's "Predictions 2026: The Future Of Work" analysis, half of AI-attributed layoffs are likely to be reversed.
Tech industry grad hiring crashes 46% as bots do junior work [1]READ MORE
"Many companies claim to be cutting jobs due to AI. Some of these efforts yield spectacular failures... Other times, AI isn't actually replacing human workers at all. Too often, the C-suite lays workers off for the future promise of AI," says the report.
Forrester's analysis found that using AI for financially driven layoffs can backfire: 55 percent of employers regret laying off workers because of AI. More people in charge of AI investment expect it to increase headcount (57 percent) than to decrease it (15 percent) over the next year.
"We predict that much of this work will be given to lower-wage human workers, offshore or at lower salary," the report adds. The impact may be most pronounced in HR, where teams are adopting a flood of AI tools.
[2]
Staffing in the HR function could be cut by half, even as it's expected to deliver the same level of service with the help of AI-driven talent and workforce planning systems. "Many will turn to vendors' AI-washed product offerings to give them at least the appearance of AI readiness, with only a few armed with the [ability] to discern legit tech from vaporware."
[3]AI bubble to deflate as enterprises defer spending to 2027
[4]Salesforce sacrifices 4,000 support jobs on the altar of AI
[5]KPMG wrote 100-page prompt to build agentic TaxBot
[6]Enterprise software giants weaponize AI to kill discounts and deepen lock-in
In June, rival research firm Gartner [7]predicted that more than 40 percent of agentic AI projects would be cancelled by the end of 2027 due to rising costs, unclear business value, or insufficient risk controls.
In the field of CRM, a benchmark developed by academics [8]showed that LLM-based AI agents perform below par on standard tests and fail to understand the need for customer confidentiality. The team led by Kung-Hsiang Huang, a Salesforce AI researcher, showed that using a new benchmark relying on synthetic data, LLM agents achieve around a 58 percent success rate on tasks that can be completed in a single step without needing follow-up actions or more information.
[9]
Some organizations, including [10]Klarna and [11]Duolingo have subsequently revisted their aggressive AI strategy.
Nonetheless, the tech industry has seen a steady march of job losses as its leadership brags about the dogfooding of AI products. In September, [12]Salesforce CEO and co-founder Marc Benioff said the company had slashed 4,000 customer support roles through the application of AI agents. The company said it no longer needed to backfill support engineer roles and was redeploying staff elsewhere in the business.
[13]
Earlier this week, [14]Amazon announced 14,000 corporate job cuts , citing the accelerating impact of artificial intelligence for changing how the company operates. ®
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[1] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/16/uk_tech_grad_jobs/
[2] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2aQJIKCQViTQoRAj5W4V_0AAAAFg&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0
[3] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/28/forrester_ai_spending/
[4] https://www.theregister.com/2025/09/02/salesforce_4000_jobs_ai/
[5] https://www.theregister.com/2025/08/20/kpmg_giant_prompt_tax_agent/
[6] https://www.theregister.com/2025/08/01/forrester_ai_enterprise_software/
[7] https://www.theregister.com/2025/06/29/ai_agents_fail_a_lot/
[8] https://www.theregister.com/2025/06/16/salesforce_llm_agents_benchmark/
[9] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aQJIKCQViTQoRAj5W4V_0AAAAFg&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[10] https://www.businessinsider.com/klarna-reassigns-workers-to-customer-support-after-ai-quality-concerns-2025-9
[11] https://techcrunch.com/2025/08/07/the-backlash-against-duolingo-going-ai-first-didnt-even-matter/
[12] https://www.theregister.com/2025/09/02/salesforce_4000_jobs_ai/
[13] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aQJIKCQViTQoRAj5W4V_0AAAAFg&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0
[14] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/28/amazon_14000_jobs_cut/
[15] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/
Re: The American (CEO's) Dream
It's really going to motivate you to do your best work if you're rehired to your old job with a smaller wage.
Re: The American (CEO's) Dream
If the employees are smart they'll cut their productivity by the same percentage they've had cut from their pay.
Plus a little bit more, the cost of their consideration.
Re: The American (CEO's) Dream
This isn't limited to the USA unfortunately.
Re: The American (CEO's) Dream
C-Suite are always in a win-win position, because all they usually get measured on is how much money they can make (regardless of *how* they make that money). The only people that get screwed are the employees and customers.
As soon as C-Suite get their payout, off they go to shit somewhere else....
"55% will regret those job cuts"
No they won't.
They'll be rehiring the same experience for half the cost.
Bonuses all around ! (for those who have a C in front of their title, of course)
Re: "55% will regret those job cuts"
or those who have a C in front of their title... and their character decriptions.
See You Next Tuesday?
Y'know, they might think the C is "Chief", but we all know what that C really means
Screw that. If I'd been laid off to give AI a role, I'd be demanding a fat salary increase to save their bacon after being treated like shit.
Have you seen the job market?
Classic uncontrolled capitalism.
Fire loads of people. Saturate job seekers market, offer job at lower wages. Profit and libe go up.
Customers getting a shitter experience. Who cares?
I love the idea of AI companies using their own crapware.
Couldn't happen to nicer people. Enjoy your demise.
Maybe we could have some legislation that forces companies and governments to do this. So politicians are banned from private healthcare and have to use the NHS. In the queue with the rest of us.
Hey kids....
when you get a job and half your compensation is shares, that vest in a couple of years, just remember that you'll get didly squatt if you're terminated before that
Work for a company that pays you cold hard cash.
Re: Hey kids....
Our company got taken over by VCs and we were given "shares" which will be paid out when the company is resold.
Since then 50% of people have been laid off or left.
Going the way the place is currently being run, look at close on a 75% turnover by the time it's likely to be sold.
Re: Hey kids....
Ooo... more shares for the C level for their golden parachute! /sarcasm
Unions
Technology workers have traditionally resisted unionizing because they saw themselves as immune to the sort of job pressures faced by lower skill or trade workers. Now's the time that having the power of strong unions would be helpful. Oh well, enjoy life in Galt's Gulch!
Re: Unions
Honestly?
The "skilled" IT workers are still living well, being retained through these layoffs, working hard like they used to, and being paid well for it.
Honestly, the ones who went into CS because it's a field that pays well, and because there weren't enough programmers at the time.... and who go home and drink beer and play sports-ball and leave their job at work - it's not their hobby -- those ones are finding the field isn't as good as it was before they joined it.
If unions come about, it's because the field is over-saturated with people who just want a high-paying job without the work or constant learning, and it'll hurt all the people who really, actually love the work that they do.
I've been doing it for 25 years. I go to work, I program/research/develop/learn, I come home, I program/research/develop/learn and play games on occasion. To each their own. I don't need your union.
Re: Unions
What you are describing is not work, it is more like vassalage.
I guess you can learn to love the chains; but maybe the odd walk in the woods could help balance it out?
So there is some truth in the joke comment that AI really stands for Actual Indians!
Yes look I’m getting it....
The American (CEO's) Dream
Everyone (in the C-suites across the land) taking the excuse to dump the staff at the same time, flooding the pool of unemployed but trained workers; let 'em stew for a month or two then rehire at a lower wage.
Didn't really matter if the AI did what it promised or not, CEOs were in a win/win position.