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Cisco: Most companies don't know what they're doing with AI

(2025/10/15)


Contrary to popular belief, you can't succeed in business (or AI) without really trying. Many orgs are jumping on the AI bandwagon without the infrastructure they need to make it work or track results, Cisco says. Most haven't even defined what they want their AI agents to do.

The networking hardware manufacturer found in its 2025 [1]AI Readiness Index that most companies are planning to deploy additional AI agents in the next few years, and 86 percent expect it to improve employee productivity within three years, but those expectations don't necessarily match the reality of what it takes for such an initiative to succeed.

According to Cisco, part of that reality is the need to invest in new hardware, particularly networking gear. Per the company, 54 percent of respondents said their infrastructure can't scale for rising workloads driven by AI adoption, and just 15 percent said that their networks were "flexible or adaptable" in a way that would facilitate the new AI era of business.

[2]

That's not all, though, and Cisco tells The Register that infrastructure is "only one part of the AI readiness index equation." The rest, a spokesperson explained in an email, includes strategy, data, governance, human talent and company culture.

[3]

[4]

Take agentic AI, for example. 83 percent of those surveyed said that their companies intend to develop or deploy AI agents, and 40 percent expect AI agents to be working alongside humans within a year. Putting aside the fact that AI agents are still [5]getting stuff wrong most of the time , very few businesses seem prepared to bring agentic AI into the enterprise fold.

Per the report, only 31 percent of companies say that they're prepared to control and secure agentic AI systems, while only 32 percent have identified which human tasks they want agents to supplement or take over.

[6]

"A wave of technology can leave behind a trail of shortcuts, compromises, and underinvestment that later become bottlenecks," Cisco noted, and it has a name for that phenomenon: AI infrastructure debt, a new iteration of the old-fashioned concept of [7]technical debt . Instead of shaky code and poorly written software leading to a business bottleneck, AI infrastructure debt is all about not having the necessary things in place to actually make AI investments more than window dressing.

"As history with technical debt shows, what looks like an acceptable compromise in the early phases can snowball into systemic drag," Cisco said in the report. "Organizations know their infrastructure isn't ready for the surging workloads, they acknowledge that their security measures are still fragile, and their workforce plans are out of sync with the technology."

Shaky foundations mean that AI value is hard to determine too, says Cisco. Only 32 percent of firms have a process in place to measure the success or failure of their AI investments, meaning that the much-reported [8]lack of AI ROI could be skewed as well.

[9]

Nonetheless, companies are pushing ahead, says Cisco.

Follow the leaders

Cisco's study splits its cohort of respondents into two pools: Companies that are making responsible decisions when integrating AI into their operations, and everyone else. That former category only makes up between 10 and 15 percent of companies, and those are the ones that Cisco says other firms should look to when thinking about how their own AI initiatives should look from the ground up.

Unlike most respondents, which still lag in IT infrastructure, data preparedness, and governance, those are all strong points for what Cisco calls its "Pacesetter" companies. Among these firms setting the pace for AI adoption, 74 percent report high or full readiness in IT infrastructure, 93 percent in data management, and 84 percent in governance - well above the averages for everyone else.

Identifying use cases and figuring out how to measure the effectiveness of AI investments is also a consideration for most pace-setting companies. The result, Cisco said, is far more confidence in the effectiveness of AI for those companies.

[10]Shiny object syndrome spells doom for many AI projects, warns EPA CIO

[11]AI hype train may jump the tracks over $2T infrastructure bill, warns Bain

[12]Some signs of AI model collapse begin to reveal themselves

[13]AI coding tools make developers slower but they think they're faster, study finds

But who are the pacesetters? If they're giant companies able to eat losses on bad AI bets, then this isn't so much a measure of ambition or planning as it is a measure of resources. Cisco told us that's not the case - pacesetters are found in a cross section of companies.

"Pacesetters make up 10–15 percent of companies across every size bracket, and even the largest firms have as many laggards as leaders," Cisco told us. "What really seems to distinguish Pacesetters is discipline and execution: they plan, fund, and measure AI systematically, and get more consistent results."

In other words, planning AI initiatives is just like planning any other major business transformation initiative: Build those castles on sand and they're not going to stay upright.

"As we move into an always-on, agentic era, the companies we surveyed expect the strain on networks, compute, and security to rise," Cisco said in an email conversation. "The evidence suggests that readiness – built on a secure, scalable foundation – might play a big role in helping organizations keep pace."

Now, if only the AI companies themselves could build systems [14]that [15]don't [16]suck , we'll be on our way to a worthwhile new era of business. ®

Get our [17]Tech Resources



[1] https://www.cisco.com/c/m/en_us/solutions/ai/readiness-index/realizing-the-value-of-ai.html

[2] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2aPAZdfI6YXjCHBB7pfRarAAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aPAZdfI6YXjCHBB7pfRarAAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aPAZdfI6YXjCHBB7pfRarAAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://www.theregister.com/2025/06/29/ai_agents_fail_a_lot/

[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aPAZdfI6YXjCHBB7pfRarAAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2018/02/23/dealing_with_technical_debt/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2024/10/22/genai_roi_appen/

[9] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aPAZdfI6YXjCHBB7pfRarAAAAEo&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2025/07/09/ai_projects_need_planning/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2025/09/24/bain_ai_costs/

[12] https://www.theregister.com/2025/05/27/opinion_column_ai_model_collapse/

[13] https://www.theregister.com/2025/07/11/ai_code_tools_slow_down/

[14] https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/08/more_researchers_use_ai_few_confident/

[15] https://www.theregister.com/2025/08/18/generative_ai_zero_return_95_percent/

[16] https://www.theregister.com/2025/07/16/if_you_want_a_picture/

[17] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



The Truth is floating to the surface ... despite efforts to the contrary !!!

Anonymous Coward

"Cisco: Most companies don't know what they're doing with AI"

Correction:

Cisco: Most companies don't know what they're doing !!! This particularly applies to 'AI' in all the 'fumbling implementations' to date.

:)

Re: The Truth is floating to the surface ... despite efforts to the contrary !!!

Roland6

>” Cisco: Most companies don't know what they're doing with AI"

Given how broad “AI” is, this isn’t surprising. I suspect Cisco’s “AI” offering is only applicable to a narrow range of “AI” deployments.

You first

Random as if !

Yeah we intend to use AI , but you first as we think it may be snake oil

munnoch

So after the fabulously successful AI-enabled PC's apparently we now need AI-enabled network devices. Says vendor of network devices...

elsergiovolador

I for one am waiting for AI-enabled USB cable that could slither and find things to connect to on its own.

Anonymous Coward

Be careful what you wish for. The C suite are listening.

fig rolls

The USB-C suite?

Progress

AdamWill

Aha, we have reached the "you're holding it wrong" stage of the hype cycle, apparently.

Don't let them baffle you with bullshit. All the people and organizations now saying "AI can maybe help you out but it's not a silver bullet and you need skills to be able to use it effectively, lower your expectations!" are *THE SAME PEOPLE AND ORGANIZATIONS* who, just a year or two ago, were blootling on about how it was a magic revolutionary technology that would change the world and put everybody out of work instantly.

The spiel goes something like this: You have two options.

Tron

You can do loads of things with bigly data using AI that tell you nothing of real value and may be wrong.

Or, you can get AI to do an employee's job and then get your employee to spend their day checking it and correcting it.

For this you will need to buy all new PCs, all new laptops, all new networking gear, triple the cost of your SaaS packages and your cloud storage.

Oh and the cost of AI will be going up 3x in the next year to about 15 times what it is now. Someone has to pay for those data centres, and that someone is you.

So your ROI will have a minus sign in front of it.

But don't worry. It absolutely is not a scam to make us rich. We are selling this to you for your benefit, to make you wonderfuller, because we love you, and because we are patriots, beating those rascally communists to a glorious AI future!

Grift

elsergiovolador

When I read “AI Readiness Index”, I said out loud, “F*ck me.” Then I laughed. Grifters gonna grift.

Cisco’s “AI Readiness Index” is the kind of phrase that perfectly captures this era’s corporate delusion - as if AI is some kind of natural resource we all need to be “ready” for, like electricity or oxygen. It’s not readiness we lack; it’s a use case.

AI, like blockchain before it, is an extraordinary solution still frantically searching for a problem. Most people use it as a broken Google replacement, a glorified autocomplete, or a way to summarise what they couldn’t be bothered to read. All the while, they quietly pile up tech debt and bad data they don’t even know about.

Yet investors who poured billions into this mirage are now sweating for ROI, so we get headlines like “AI will boost productivity by 86% within three years.” Sure it will - right after Web3 revolutionises grocery shopping. These “AI Readiness” surveys are just the aftershocks of investor desperation, dressed up as thought leadership.

Cisco’s take? The world isn’t ready for AI because we haven’t bought enough routers. How convenient. Their “AI infrastructure debt” is just a rebrand of “you need to spend more money.” The “Pacesetters” - those supposedly enlightened companies - are probably just the ones already hooked up to Cisco’s billing system.

In reality, most so-called “AI initiatives” amount to people duct-taping large language models to existing workflows and pretending it’s innovation. It’s theatre - expensive, overhyped, investor-pleasing theatre.

The truth is simple: AI isn’t ready for prime time. It’s powerful, yes, but brittle, opaque, and barely understood by those deploying it. What we’re seeing isn’t a revolution - it’s the afterglow of a tombac rush, with vendors and VCs desperately waving clipboards and shouting “Readiness!” to keep the illusion alive.

Decay

leaving aside the obvious sales ploy to encourage buying Cisco (or any hardware) AI enabled new stuff I thought the five tips slide was useful, albeit nothing new or original in the last 3 decades or more.

My comments in italic....

Five tips from the Pacesetters

Plan and act with clarity

Pacesetters have an AI strategy. And they act on it. Clear priorities mean less time stuck in pilots and more progress in real-world use cases.​

Ignore the AI component, companies with a clear strategy have clearer proprieties and have more progress.

.

Invest in infrastructure early

Instead of waiting for bottlenecks, they build capacity for scale from the start. That preparation means AI becomes an enabler, not a strain.

Any techie worth their salt builds infrastructure and capabilities not only for today but also for tomorrow wherever possible

.

Treat data as a discipline, not a hurdle

Their data is clean, centralized, and ready to integrate—so AI doesn’t get tripped up by silos or patchwork fixes.​

Takeout the AI bit and yeah very true "Treat data as a discipline, not a hurdle with clean data, centralized, and ready to integrate—so whatever you are building doesn’t get tripped up by silos or patchwork fixes.

.

Lead transformation, not just technology

Change management is built in, which brings people with them. Pacesetters recognize full support turns ambition into action and value.

Yep Change Management is a key component of any transformation or change :)

.

Balance innovation with guardrails

Pacesetters embrace agents, growth, and new use cases—but with governance, security, and monitoring in place. That balance is what keeps value scalable and responsible for them.

Basic 101 practice AI or no AI.

Personally before heading down the AI path at any great length I would be ensuring the following was also in play, but I guess it doesn't sell the hype.

1. Governance & Oversight

- Strategic Alignment

- Accountability Framework

- Policy Integration

- Third-Party Oversight

- Ethical Guardrails

2. Security & Resilience

- Access & Identity Controls

- Model / API Security

- Information Classification

- Cloud / Infrastructure Assurance

- Audit & Monitoring

3. Privacy & Personal Information

- Data Minimization

- Legal Basis & Consent

- Cross-Border Controls

- Privacy Impact Assessment (PIA)

- Retention & Deletion

4. Operational Readiness

- Employee Training

- Incident Response

- Performance Validation

- Change Control

5. Continuous Oversight & Reporting

- Governance Reporting

- Independent Assurance

- Sunset / Exit Planning

Inventor of the Marmite Laser

They don't NEED to know what they're going. The mantra is simple:

1) Get AI

2) Profit

Simple really.

Incorrect. Their "AI strategy" is simply, "No."

hx

We continue to evaluate this so-called AI and it just doesn't do what it says on the tin. It certainly *looks* like it's doing something, and perhaps it is useful in BS-centric enterprises, but it just doesn't really do anything useful. Based on what we've seen, it's getting worse, though it looks like it's better. Before long, it's going do extremely harmful things, like suggesting people use the deprecated WEBP file format.

Within a computer, natural language is unnatural.