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How Google profits even as its AI summaries reduce website ad link clicks

(2025/07/29)


Opinion Alphabet, Google's parent company, is making money hand over fist. In its latest quarterly report, [1]Google's revenue grew 14 percent year-over-year to $96.4 billion . While Google's cloud revenue, $13.6 billion, with 31 percent year-over-year growth, is growing fast, the bulk of its cash, $54.2 billion worth, still comes from advertising.

What I wonder, though, is whether, even as its quarterly ad revenue hit a new all-time high, this can possibly continue?

You see, Google's move to place AI-generated summaries, aka "AI Overviews," at the top of search results is wreaking havoc on websites. How bad is it? Bad.

[2]

According to a new [3]Pew Research Center study of 900 US Google users , when they saw an AI Overview, they were very unlikely to click on the links to other websites. Only a mere 1 percent of them clicked on the link to the page Google was summarizing.

[4]

[5]

But, wait, it gets worse! The 404 Media website [6]reported that Google searchers did not arrive to an earlier story on the site about how [7]Spotify is releasing AI-derived music from dead artists when they searched for it. It found the reason for this was that the AI Overview told readers about its contents without even linking to its story. Instead, what little link traffic there was went to AI-driven link aggregator sites. In short, "AI Overview just ensures people will never click the link where the information they are looking for originates."

The good news? Well, if you hate search engine optimization (SEO), you can kiss it goodbye. As a recent study of AI Overview and SEO showed, " [8]AI Overview in the search results correlated with a 34.5 percent lower average clickthrough rate (CTR) for the top-ranking page."

[9]

If you're a website owner, you can forget about the importance of being for a subset of users on Google's first search page. Even if your link is in the coveted first spot on the user's first page, people are far less likely to click on it.

Google, for now, is still laughing its way to the bank. The search giant is putting advertisers' ads within or directly above and below AI Overviews themselves. As Google CEO Sundar Pichai said in an interview [10]last year , "If you put content and links within AI Overviews, they get higher clickthrough rates than if you put it outside of AI Overviews." Organic links are pushed down.

Even in 2024, market research company SparkToro's study of searchers found " [11]almost 30 percent of all clicks go to platforms Google owns. " For every 1,000 Google searches in the United States, 360 clicks go to a non-Google-owned, non-Google-ad-paying property. With the rise of AI Overview, Google's share can only have grown, while everyone else's has shrunk.

[12]

Of course, Google reports that [13]ad revenue per search has remained the same for AI Overviews as for traditional search result pages. In other words, website owners are losing money, but Google's doing just fine.

For now.

I see several major problems with Google's AI approach. First, thanks to the [14]growing problem of AI model collapse , Google might find AI answers will increasingly be wrong. For example, the 404 Media story noted that the AI Overview answer was based on an AI-generated summary, which, in turn, was derived from another AI-generated summary. With every step away from the primary source, the odds increase that errors will be introduced.

In addition to this growing pyramid of AI-automated mediocracy, with all the money going to Google rather than publishers, there will be fewer and fewer high-quality sources. Without any guardrails to the quality of information taken in, you end up with [15]xAI's Grok MechnaHitler episode.

Google isn't likely to end up that deeply entrenched in the right-wing mire, but this columnist predicts its answers' quality will decline. It's not just Google. Even my [16]favorite AI chatbot, Perplexity , is giving me more and more results based on AI slop sites. Model decline is a universal AI problem.

[17]Guide for the perplexed – Google is no longer the best search engine

[18]Some signs of AI model collapse begin to reveal themselves

[19]Europe plots escape hatch from enshittification of search

[20]xAI's Grok lurches into right-wing insanity, offers tips on assaulting man

At the same time, ever so slowly, Google is starting to see competition from AI-powered [21]search engines, such as Perplexity . Its rivals will quickly catch up, though. Mohammad Rasoolinejad, Bank of America's VP of Compliance Risk and Regulatory Reporting, believes that Google's enormous CapEx spending, $14 billion on servers in 91 days, isn't so much because of demand, but because " [22]Google is forced to pour billions into infrastructure just to keep pace " and is experiencing "desperation to remain relevant in a market where no one commands loyalty, only efficiency."

Finally, let's not forget that the Department of Justice (DoJ) still sees Google as a monopoly and is demanding that [23]Google divest itself of its Chrome web browser . Google's latest AI and ad moves are only going to put more fuel on that fire. Ironically, Google AI/advertising wins may hurt it the most in the months to come. ®

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[1] https://www.theregister.com/2025/07/24/alphabet_q2_2025/

[2] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2aIjwHFKwEP6FaQtMSQSczgAAAIE&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[3] https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/07/22/google-users-are-less-likely-to-click-on-links-when-an-ai-summary-appears-in-the-results/

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aIjwHFKwEP6FaQtMSQSczgAAAIE&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aIjwHFKwEP6FaQtMSQSczgAAAIE&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[6] https://www.404media.co/googles-ai-is-destroying-search-the-internet-and-your-brain/

[7] https://www.404media.co/spotify-publishes-ai-generated-songs-from-dead-artists-without-permission/

[8] https://ahrefs.com/blog/ai-overviews-reduce-clicks/

[9] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aIjwHFKwEP6FaQtMSQSczgAAAIE&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[10] https://www.theverge.com/24158374/google-ceo-sundar-pichai-ai-search-gemini-future-of-the-internet-web-openai-decoder-interview

[11] https://sparktoro.com/blog/2024-zero-click-search-study-for-every-1000-us-google-searches-only-374-clicks-go-to-the-open-web-in-the-eu-its-360/

[12] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offprem/front&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aIjwHFKwEP6FaQtMSQSczgAAAIE&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[13] https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1kp10x1/google_ai_overview_search_results_earns_the_same/

[14] https://www.theregister.com/2025/05/27/opinion_column_ai_model_collapse/

[15] https://www.theregister.com/2025/07/14/musk_opinion_piece/

[16] https://www.zdnet.com/article/5-reasons-why-i-still-prefer-perplexity-over-every-other-ai-chatbot/

[17] https://www.theregister.com/2024/12/16/opinion_column_perplexity_vs_google/

[18] https://www.theregister.com/2025/05/27/opinion_column_ai_model_collapse/

[19] https://www.theregister.com/2025/05/14/openwebsearch_eu/

[20] https://www.theregister.com/2025/07/14/musk_opinion_piece/

[21] https://www.theregister.com/2024/12/16/opinion_column_perplexity_vs_google/

[22] https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-ai-turned-googles-strength-its-weakness-rasoolinejad-phd-h69sc/

[23] https://www.theregister.com/2025/05/09/opinion_column_google_chrome_potential_divestiture/

[24] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



I use Perplexity for more search

msknight

I also use Perplexity for search where the query lends itself to it. When the search is basic I use DuckDuckGo, only reverting to Google as a last choice... knowingly scrolling past the AI overview, because I don't trust it.

There is an issue about to come up because my employer is moving to ban all AI except CoPilot, because they believe Microsoft are the most secure of the bunch in terms of query data storage location... but it seems that the question over data sovereignty has taken priority over quality and accuracy of results. (some of which can be accounted for by tailoring the question to account for it)

We are in for interesting times.

Irongut

I generally scroll past AI overviews without reading them to get to the links I searched for. Yesterday I read the overview for something I searched on, it was completely wrong on both DDG and Google.

Don't forget you can disable Google's AI overviews

Matt Collins

See https://www.theregister.com/2025/05/14/openwebsearch_eu/ for details. I've been using it and it's a breath of fresh air

Re: Don't forget you can disable Google's AI overviews

nematoad

You can also do it with DDG. [1]Just use

[1] https://noai.duckduckgo.com/

Geese and Golden eggs?

Anonymous Coward

LLMs depend upon content created by humans, human creators depend upon clicks ...

I see port 1043 is free. How about we start a new Web?

TotallyInfo

Haven't used Google for search for quite a few years now. Since I noticed that their response accuracy took a nose-dive long before the influx of AI slop.

Currently using mostly Brave search and finding that it's Leo AI overview is actually mostly quite good. Though for anything important, I always want to check the sources anyway. It seems to be a decent balance though. And Brave are (or claim to be anyway) privacy-oriented.

MOH

At this point website owners may as well start blocking Google crawlers.

There's no benefit to appearing in SERPs, they're just scraping your content

AI Overviews?

Anonymous Coward

They're shit.

Now I lay me down to sleep
I hear the sirens in the street
All my dreams are made of chrome
I have no way to get back home
-- Tom Waits