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  ARM Give a man a fire and he's warm for a day, but set fire to him and he's warm for the rest of his life (Terry Pratchett, Jingo)

The real reason why Trump is killing the Mauna Loa observatory in Hawai'i

(2025/07/22)


Column When you don't like the message, what do you do? You shoot the messenger, of course.

That's the strategy being employed by U.S. President Donald Trump's administration as it works to avoid, ignore, or bury data that prove the reality of anthropogenic global warming and its evil twin climate change.

Case in point: The Trump administration recently released its draft [1]budget [PDF] for the country's premier analytical agency focused on Earth systems, the [2]National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration . Among the many cuts to NOAA research proposed in the draft was one that would represent a death blow to the Mauna Loa Observatory, the source of the data fueling the most iconic chart in all of climate research, the time-honored and justly venerated [3]Keeling Curve .

Radio geeks reveal how to access crucial hurricane data after US Department of Defense cut it off [4]READ MORE

This chart, begun by young researcher [5]Charles David Keeling way back in 1958, chronicles the seasonal rise and fall – and unrelenting upward spiral – of the most abundant and consequential [6]greenhouse gas heating our planet: carbon dioxide (CO 2 ).

[7]

The iconic Keeling Curve – the irrefutable bearer of hard-to-swallow facts for those who claim that carbon dioxide can't be exacerbating global warming.

Keeling measured greenhouse gases from near the peak of 13,678-foot (4,169 meter) Mauna Loa, Hawaii, because it is far from localized interference by our CO 2 -spewing civilization. His early measurements found the gas accounted for about 315 parts per million (PPM) in Earth’s atmosphere, significantly above the estimated 275 ppm preindustrial average. Thanks to its careful annual updating, the Keeling Curve chart now shows an inexorable CO 2 climb to just under 425 ppm. This year it slipped briefly above 430 ppm for the first time. The growing atmospheric saturation of carbon dioxide is unarguable.

So what? Well, so this: These data are closely correlated with the rise in global temperatures that NOAA, [8]NASA , the [9]UK Met Office , [10]Berkeley Earth , the [11]Japan Meteorological Agency , and others have meticulously recorded in the ensuing seven decades. During that time, Keeling's data have helped climate science to perfect its ability to provide support for the causation that would unarguably couple with that correlation.

[12]

This causative linkage is now abundantly clear – as equally clear are the current U.S. administration's anti-science "Drill, baby, drill!" efforts to suppress any contradictory data, no matter how reputable.

[13]

[14]

Perhaps a refreshing review of the science supporting global warming might here be useful. First, it must be emphatically stated that global warming per se is most definitely a good thing. In moderation, that is. The problem is, as with so many good things in life, indulging in too much of a good thing – think alcohol or Marmite – can lead to disaster. And so it is with greenhouse gasses.

Those gasses manage to keep us snuggly warm because their easily excited molecular structures that enable them to absorb and then re-radiate particular frequencies of the long-wave infrared heat energy sent skyward by the Earth when it's heated by the short-wave radiative heat energy of the Sun. Although some of that re-radiated energy escapes into space, a sizable portion of it hangs around to warm the troposphere – that's the part of the atmosphere in which we live. The amount that warms us is juuuuust the right amount to keep the Earth from being a freeze-your-ass-off planet like Atmosphere-Lite TM Mars or a beastly spherical hell like CO 2 -suffocated Venus. We're Goldilocks, with our troposphere standing in for her porridge.

[15]

If it weren't for that greenhouse-gas blanket, simple physics (the Stefan-Boltzmann black-body equations, for you fellow physics nerds) proves that the Earth's temperature would average about -15°C (5°F). However, thanks to CO 2 , [16]methane (CH 4 ), [17]nitrous oxide (N 2 O), and trace other gasses (plus water vapor), we average around 15°C (59°F) globally. But here's the rub: Thanks to our power-hungry addiction to adding gigatons of those gasses into our atmosphere, we are messing with that fine balance.

What's more, climate scientists have meticulously analyzed that balance to resolutely prove that other forcings such as volcanoes, solar activity, aerosols, and other climate-affecting niceties can't account for the universally observed global temperature increases. Can we blame competing candidates for global warming? Nope. It's not them. It's us.

But the current US administration's unrelenting intent to decapitate the Keeling Curve and to strangle other measurements of the many and varied factors exacerbating global warming won't merely weaken our understanding of climate phenomena.

[18]

Their effect will be worse because the data acquisition tools Washington wants to de-fund don't merely exist to tell us how badly we're mucking up our home planet. They also guide us to where to best focus our climate-change mitigation efforts, and more importantly help us track how well we're doing.

We need to both effectively target our efforts and to keep an eye on our progress.

Unfortunately, the current administration would prefer to blind us. For example, in addition to shutting down such climate-monitoring efforts as the Mauna Loa Observatory, the new management of the United States Environmental Protection Agency ( [19]EPA ) has [20]announced that it is "reconsidering" its "burdensome" Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program ( [21]GHGRP ), which requires major industrial sources of greenhouse gasses to report their emissions.

In a more-sweeping move, the EPA also [22]announced that it will "reconsider" (read, "emasculate") its fundamental 2009 Endangerment Finding, which for the past 16 years has guided and supported what the new administration's EPA now [23]condemns as an "overreaching climate agenda" that has "imposed trillions of dollars of costs on Americans."

When making that announcement, EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin promised that "The Trump Administration will not sacrifice national prosperity, energy security, and the freedom of our people for an agenda that throttles our industries, our mobility, and our consumer choice while benefiting adversaries overseas."

To clarify his anti-science goals for this "reconsideration" effort, Zeldin recruited to this effort the justly marginalized climate-science deniers [24]John Christy and [25]Roy Spencer .

The empirical data objectively charted in the Keeling Curve do not suit the current administration's agenda. To suit their short-term goals, the data collection of the Mauna Loa Observatory and all similar climate-related science must be "reconsidered". Reconsidered? How 'bout "silenced"? The administration has made its intentions clear.

[26]Bain launches datacenter biz for Euros worried about climate change and Trump

[27]Earth's atmosphere is shrinking and thinning, which is bad news for Starlink and other LEO Sats

[28]Here's the ugliest global-warming chart you'll ever need to see

[29]Humans brought the heat. Earth says we pay the price

There's an almost certainly apocryphal story that when Galileo Galilei was forced by religious authorities to abandon his evidence-based certainty that the Earth circled the Sun, he was heard to whisper to himself, " E pur si muove " – "And yet it moves." One can imagine the last remaining Mauna Loa Observatory lab tech, when shutting down the CO 2 -measuring equipment which acquired the data used to update the Keeling Curve, whispering to himself, " E pur si riscalda " – "And yet it warms." ®

Bootnote

Some of the links in this article are to pages on the EPA website that either describe current consensus science related to specific greenhouse gasses, or which detail currently existing EPA programs. Do not for a nanosecond be at all surprised if those links soon return [30]404 errors ...

Get our [31]Tech Resources



[1] https://www.commerce.gov/sites/default/files/2025-06/NOAA-FY2026-Congressional-Budget-Submission.pdf

[2] https://www.noaa.gov

[3] https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/

[4] https://www.theregister.com/2025/07/21/ssmis_satellite_decoder/

[5] https://daily.jstor.org/how-charles-keeling-measured-rise-carbon-dioxide/

[6] https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/overview-greenhouse-gases

[7] https://regmedia.co.uk/2025/07/21/keeling_curve.jpg

[8] https://science.nasa.gov/climate-change/

[9] https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/climate-change/what-is-climate-change

[10] https://berkeleyearth.org/data/

[11] https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/en/NMHS/indexe_ccmr.html

[12] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2aH-1kweCizwexkX1_sGNOgAAARM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[13] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aH-1kweCizwexkX1_sGNOgAAARM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[14] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aH-1kweCizwexkX1_sGNOgAAARM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[15] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44aH-1kweCizwexkX1_sGNOgAAARM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[16] https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/methane-emissions

[17] https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/nitrous-oxide-emissions

[18] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_offbeat/science&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33aH-1kweCizwexkX1_sGNOgAAARM&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[19] https://www.epa.gov

[20] https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/trump-epa-announces-reconsideration-burdensome-greenhouse-gas-reporting-program

[21] https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting

[22] https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/trump-epa-kicks-formal-reconsideration-endangerment-finding-agency-partners

[23] https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2025-03/final-pager-endangerment.pdf

[24] https://wbhm.org/2023/alabamas-john-christy-may-be-the-countrys-best-known-and-most-criticized-climate-change-skeptic/

[25] https://www.facingsouth.org/2011/09/climate-science-contrarian-roy-spencers-oil-industry-ties.html

[26] https://www.theregister.com/2025/05/22/bain_capital_hscale/

[27] https://www.theregister.com/2025/03/11/greenhouse_gases_reduce_satellite_capacity_paper/

[28] https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/23/ugliest_global_warming_chart/

[29] https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/02/heatwaves_future/

[30] https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Reference/Status/404

[31] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



beast666

Let's put a CO2 measuring station in close proximity to highly active volcanism.

That's a great idea!

Irongut

"I didn't read the article!"

Would be a more succinct way of saying that.

Jellied Eel

Let's put a CO2 measuring station in close proximity to highly active volcanism.

That's a great idea!

Actually it was, because that was the data Keeling was studying, ie the volcano. Then demonstrating why OCD can be a good characteristic in a scientist because he diligently took a lot of samples that gave the world the Keeling Curve, which demonstrates the natural biological responses to a warming world. Then people confuse cause and effect, and don't understand that the natural carbon cycle vastly dominates any human contribution. You can also see this in the way the data shows the seasonal variations in CO2 levels. If the increase was entirely due to anthropomorphic CO2 emissions, those would flatten out given the increased human emissions during winter.

But the biggest problem with climate 'science' vs actual science is the way activists try to spin the data. So-

Among the many cuts to NOAA research proposed in the draft was one that would represent a death blow to the Mauna Loa Observatory

From the article, along with the misleading title. And from NOAAs budget requests introduction-

For Fiscal Year (FY) 2026, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) requests a budget of $4,515,302,000 in discretionary appropriations

So it's NOAA killing the MLO, not Trump. And although Rik and I have differences of opinion wrt climate science, I think this is bad. The 'science' says that CO2 is a 'well-mixed gas' so for Global Warming, it doesn't really matter where it's measured and the Keeling Curve will live on. It'll just be like a lot of climate 'science' and get new observations spliced on. Actual science though, ie instruments like OCO-2 that can measure CO2 concentrations from space show it's not that well-mixed and there are high spots, and low. Replacing Mauna Loa data with data taken from say, somewhere with higher natural or unnatural CO2 emissions could be used to manufacture another Hockey Stick.

But the reason why the Keeling Curve has been useful is its consistency. It's also a bit like how sunspots are measured. We have much better instruments for counting sunspots, but the official numbers are still based on Wolf numbers and observations taken with antique instruments so there's a consistent record going back a few centuries..

That also gets interesting wrt volcanos, and theories that solar activity can drive volcanic.. Which is interesting, but I have my doubts. Gases from volcanos are sampled directly however, hence there's little dispute about volcanic contribution to rising CO2 levels. There's just not enough CO2, even though there have been some occasional suprises, like discovering Mt Erebus in Antarctica emitted more CO2 than previously thought, and some fascinating cave ecology that's shown adaptation to very high CO2.

Unpopular?

Anonymous Coward

I've never seen anyone on here with quite so many downvotes for quite so many years. I really do hope you're okay

Re: Unpopular?

Anonymous Coward

he collects them as a measure of his stupidity

wierd hobby maybe he's related to eel and junky?

Rich 2

Idiot

Erm

codejunky

Is this the same NOAA removing the hurricane data from the public as per the other article? Maybe they could redirect their money to helping the amateur radio people decode the weather data!

Re: Erm

Anonymous Coward

Did they use a Sharpie to do that, hmm?

Re: Erm

Version 1.0

It's the current world, not much different from the past ... the story only makes me think of an old quote that I've always respected ...

" When I came back to Dublin I was court-martialed in my absence and sentenced to death in my absence, so I said they could shoot me in my absence. " - Brendan Behan

Terry Pratchett observation

Eclectic Man

In one of his 'Discworld' novels, Terry Pratchett mused on government pronouncements. To the oft stated Government response "there is no evidence" of whatever was at issue, his question was "have you looked?" It would seem that the Trump administration, having looked, does not like what it sees. If the observatory is forced to close and cease measuring CO 2 levels and collate those with mean global temperatures, I expect that in the future, the Trump administration will reply 'there is no evidence' to questions linking greenhouse gas emissions to global warming. This is not 'shoot the messenger', but 'bury your head in the sand'.

As that other great satirist, Tom Lehrer sang (See icon):

"We will all burn together when we burn"

But what I really do not understand is why they are so intent on 'killing the goose that lays the golden eggs'. I am currently reading 'The Ideological Brain' by Leor Zmigrod, which has interesting science about ideological people. I'm only half way, so I'm hoping there is advice on how to deal with them.

Re: Terry Pratchett observation

Henry Hallan

Does $38m of lobbying so far this year help with the explanation?

https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/industries/summary?id=E01

It's not about ideology. It's about the $$$

E pur si riscalda

Androgynous Cupboard

Well played, well played. That one deserves to be on a T-shirt.

Drill, baby, drill

Brave Coward

We were told, decades ago, by an another clown POTUS, that 'the American way of life is not negotiable'.

Which, in clear plain words, translates to :

'This is a message to the the rest of the planet : FUCK YOU'.

Point taken.

bigphil9009

Don't Look Up turns out to have been a documentary.

Our "throttled" future (an ad nauseam argument)

My other car WAS an IAV Stryker

EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin promised that "The Trump Administration will not sacrifice national prosperity, energy security, and the freedom of our people for an agenda that throttles our industries, our mobility, and our consumer choice while benefiting adversaries overseas." (emphasis added)

I'm not following everything fanatically, but to my recollection, the climate crisis will cause worse storms of all kinds [1] plus ocean rise and therefore lots (and LOTS) of flooding and wind damage, and conversely areas of severe drought (including "heat dome" effects) that raises wildfire risks (also "helped" by wind). I think that all these will "throttle" American -- if not global -- industries, mobility, and choices much more dramatically than trying to mitigate the problem even a little! [2]

1. American perspective: windstorms, summer thunderstorms including tornadoes (rain, wind, lightning), tropical storms (cyclones -- again rain, wind, lightning plus storm surge, and also spawning tornadoes), and winter snow/ice storms (often with wind and "polar vortex" cold that breaks things).

2. As in "too little, too late" but can we please continue to try things instead of going "head in the sand"? Because that doesn't work out when the predator sneaks up and kills the foolish bird.

Oh, dear

Missing Semicolon

The author nails his colours to the mast with " justly marginalized climate-science deniers John Christy and Roy Spencer.".

Do students of Zen Buddhism do Om-work?