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Trump derails Chinese H20 GPU sales, forcing Nvidia to eat $5.5B this quarter

(2025/04/16)


World War Fee The Trump administration's latest salvo in the US-China trade war has forced Nvidia to take a $5.5 billion charge, the GPU goliath revealed in a Tuesday regulatory filing that sent its stock tumbling in after-hours trading.

Details so far are light, but it is clear it's tied to newly implemented export controls essentially barring the sale of Nvidia's H20 AI accelerators into China, Hong Kong, and other nations of concern. Uncle Sam has the option of granting special licenses allowing at least some orders to flow into the Middle Kingdom; so far, Nvidia won't be able to shift its precious silicon quite as expected.

Nvidia learned of the clampdown on its processors on April 9 and was later informed the licensing requirement would remain "in effect for the indefinite future."

[1]

According to its [2]regulatory filing [PDF] to America's financial watchdog, the SEC, the controls aim to prevent the chips from finding their way into Chinese supercomputers.

[3]

[4]

"First quarter results are expected to include up to approximately $5.5 billion of charges associated with H20 products for inventory, purchase commitments, and related reserves," the SEC filing reads. Nvidia's first quarter of its fiscal year is the three calendar months to the end of April.

In layman's terms, Nvidia most likely has a bunch of H20s it thought it was going to be able to sell to the Chinese but now are taking up space in warehouses while it waits for the Trump administration to decide whether its [5]scheme to build half a trillion bucks worth of AI servers in the US is a big enough bargaining chip to grant the necessary export licenses to free those particular GPUs.

[6]

This likely wasn't the outcome CEO Jensen Huang was looking for when he [7]attended a $1 million-a-head dinner at the US President's Mar-a-Lago resort home in Florida earlier this month.

Following the dinner, the Trump administration reportedly paused plans to move forward with export controls on Nvidia's H20 accelerators. Now, it seems, it's clamping down anyway to some degree or other.

Considering the scale of Nvidia's commitment yesterday to vastly expand its US manufacturing footprint alongside TSMC, Wistron, Foxconn, and others, it's possible the Trump White House may eventually green light at least some of Nv's H20 shipments to China. If that's the case, those lost revenues could end up being recouped in later quarters.

[8]Pentagon needs China's rare earths, Beijing just put them behind a permit wall. Oops

[9]Team Trump readies national security card to justify taxing Americans for foreign chips

[10]China ups tariffs on US goods to 125%, calls Trump's war a 'joke'

[11]TSMC blew whistle on suspected verboten exports to Huawei – that may cost it $1B+

This wouldn't be the first time the US has cracked down on the export of Nvidia accelerators to China. Starting in late 2022, the Biden administration [12]enacted progressively more restrictive performance caps on AI accelerators sold into the Middle Kingdom. Each time, Nvidia retooled its designs, cutting down interconnect bandwidth or fusing off parts of the chip to kneecap their performance.

That limbo bar has now been lowered to include Nvidia's "H20 integrated circuits and any other circuits achieving the H20's memory bandwidth, interconnect bandwidth, or combination thereof," the SEC filing said.

[13]

Nvidia, which recorded [14]a $73 billion profit in its past financial year, declined to comment. Its stock was down more than six percent in after-hours trading on the news. ®

Get our [15]Tech Resources



[1] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2Z_8raEBn7zjH6q00VzEZggAAA4o&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[2] https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001045810/9e6e2d94-83a7-465c-8a94-982d82e3e9e7.pdf

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Z_8raEBn7zjH6q00VzEZggAAA4o&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[4] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33Z_8raEBn7zjH6q00VzEZggAAA4o&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[5] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/15/nvidia_made_in_america/

[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Z_8raEBn7zjH6q00VzEZggAAA4o&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[7] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/09/nvidia_us_export_ban_change/

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/15/china_rare_earth_elements_restrictions/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/15/commerce_dept_chips_tariffs/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/11/china_tariffs_latest/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/08/tsmc_blew_whistle_on_chinese/

[12] https://www.theregister.com/2023/10/19/china_biden_ai/

[13] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/systems&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33Z_8raEBn7zjH6q00VzEZggAAA4o&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[14] https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/27/nvidia_q4_revs/

[15] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Ouch

ecofeco

See title

Re: Ouch

HuBo

My thoughts exactly! Like, hey, so you're gonna waive 'em [1]125% import tariffs on H₂0s cuz they're manufactured in Taiwan (or so) ... Well then, let us Two-Stooges counter-slap you with an export ban!

The slapstick is hilarious, but a bit dated (compared to self-deprecation) ...

[1] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/11/china_tariffs_latest/

Re: Ouch

theblackhand

I don't believe this is a tariff issue - the parts are produced in Taiwan and likely assembled somewhere in Asia so likely miss the tariffs.

The issue is export restrictions - as nVidia is a US company and H20-based products are currently export restricted, they can't be sold to China.

At a minimum, export licenses are required - there was a rumour that nVidia would be exempted from this following the Mar A Lago dinner. Looks like $1m doesn't buy as much influence as you need to sell $5.5bn of AI chips...

Re: Ouch

HuBo

Yeah, the Nvidia $1m dinner mint story (linked under "attended" in TFA) is based on an [1]NPR report (linked there under "NPR") that states that " the White House reversed course on [...] planned American export controls on the H20 " according to " two sources with knowledge of the plan who were not authorized to speak publicly ". I imagine that it can be perceived as "rumour" (as you typed) rather than confirmed fact, depending on one's thresholds. But Reuters, The Hindu, Yahoo Finance and others reported it similarly to ElReg (as fact). My reading is that it was fact on April 9, and is now reversed-fact a week later (WTF!) ... can't wait to see what it'll be after another wild week of roller coaster mad ministration ...

[1] https://www.npr.org/2025/04/09/nx-s1-5356480/nvidia-china-ai-h20-chips-trump

Open note to all billionares and high-end millionares.

jake

Might want to ask Rudy Giuliani if Trump is trustworthy once he has used you for whatever he needs to use you for.

What good is a fool once you have separated him from his money (or whatever)?

Once upon a time there was a kingdom ruled by a great bear. The peasants
were not very rich, and one of the few ways to become at all wealthy was
to become a Royal Knight. This required an interview with the bear. If
the bear liked you, you were knighted on the spot. If not, the bear would
just as likely remove your head with one swat of a paw. However, the family
of these unfortunate would-be knights was compensated with a beautiful
sheepdog from the royal kennels, which was itself a fairly valuable
possession. And the moral of the story is:

The mourning after a terrible knight, nothing beats the dog of the bear that
hit you.