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SpaceX scores $5.9B lion's share of Space Force launch contracts

(2025/04/07)


The US will spend $5.9 billion on Elon Musk's SpaceX in the name of national security. United Launch Alliance (ULA) follows with $5.4 billion, and Blue Origin is set to receive $2.4 billion.

US Space Systems Command [1]awarded the National Security Space Launch Phase 3 Lane 2 contracts on April 4. SpaceX is expected to be awarded 28 missions, or approximately 60 percent. ULA is expected to get 19 missions, or around 40 percent, and Blue Origin is projected to be awarded two missions.

The awards will happen from FY25 to FY29, with launches expected from FY27 to FY32. Apropos of nothing, Musk is a [2]close adviser to US President Donald Trump.

[3]

SpaceX [4]noted that its share of the missions would be launched on a combination of Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets. ULA president and CEO Tony Bruno [5]said : "We are proud that we have launched 100 national security space missions and honored to continue serving the nation with our new Vulcan rocket."

[6]

[7]

The Phase 3 mission manifest is almost double that of Phase 2. It has also been split into two lanes: Lane 1, with approximately 30 missions, is closer to commercial launches and therefore not subject to the reliability demands of Lane 2, which will comprise around 54 missions.

The Phase 3 Lane 1 program includes the likes of Rocket Lab and its yet-to-fly reusable Neutron rocket, which will be [8]eligible to compete for orders after its first launch.

[9]Amazon's Project Kuiper satellites now boarding the rocket to relevance

[10]FAA closes investigations into Blue Origin landing fail, Starship Flight 7 explosion

[11]ISS resupply and trash pickup craft postponed indefinitely after Cygnus container crunch

[12]NASA rewrites Moon mission goals in quiet DEI retreat

The figures are a turnaround from the expectations of the Phase 2 launch service contracts [13]announced in 2020. Then, ULA was expected to receive 60 percent of launch service orders, while SpaceX would receive 40 percent. As it turned out, delays at ULA – the Vulcan eventually made its maiden flight years behind schedule – meant that SpaceX was better able to demonstrate its prowess at deploying sensitive security payloads to orbit.

Blue Origin's selection as the third-place vendor, despite not being certified for national security missions, will raise an eyebrow. It is, however, an indicator of the confidence officials have in certification by the time Bezos' rocket company gets assigned a mission.

[14]

Mission assignments are expected to be announced annually, with the first one due before the end of this year and then in October of each subsequent year.

Maj. Gen. Stephen Purdy, Acting Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Space Acquisition and Integration, said: "America leads the world in space launch, and through these NSSL Phase 3 Lane 2 contracts, we will ensure continued access to this vital domain.

"These awards bolster our ability to launch critical defense satellites while strengthening our industrial base and enhancing operational readiness." ®

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[1] https://www.spaceforce.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/4146459/space-systems-command-awards-national-security-space-launch-phase-3-lane-2-cont/

[2] https://www.theregister.com/2025/03/19/va_contract_cancellation_doge/

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/publicsector&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2Z_RLA7VhSZ2ySD3sB9OhAwAAA0M&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[4] https://x.com/SpaceX/status/1908271799361483178

[5] https://newsroom.ulalaunch.com/releases/united-launch-alliance-wins-competitive-space-force-contract-award-for-continued-critical-national-security-space-launches

[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/publicsector&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Z_RLA7VhSZ2ySD3sB9OhAwAAA0M&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[7] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/publicsector&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33Z_RLA7VhSZ2ySD3sB9OhAwAAA0M&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[8] https://www.rocketlabusa.com/updates/rocket-labs-neutron-rocket-on-ramped-to-u-s-space-forces-5-6b-national-security-space-launch-nssl-program/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/03/project_kuiper_launch/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2025/04/01/faa_closes_blue_origin_and/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2025/03/27/cygnus_freighter_damaged/

[12] https://www.theregister.com/2025/03/24/nasa_dei_artemis/

[13] https://www.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/2305576/space-force-awards-national-security-space-launch-phase-2-launch-service-contra/

[14] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_onprem/publicsector&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Z_RLA7VhSZ2ySD3sB9OhAwAAA0M&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[15] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



Funny that

Anonymous Coward

You would have thought that SpaceX would not be allowed to bid on government contracts while Elon Musk is a US government bureaucrat.

Re: Funny that

Eclectic Man

But strictly speaking Elon Musk is not a member of the US Government, as DOGE is not an actual US Government Department. Musk has not been approved by Congress as other appointees to actual US Government Departments have, like, for example, Pete Hegseth at Defence.

Re: Funny that

Anonymous Coward

I think the courts have said that if it acts like a government employee, it is one, even if it says it isn't.

Anonymous Coward

My heart bleeds for ULA. The Lockheed-Boeing duopoloy proved loss-making, so they merged to form a supposedly profitable monopoly. No pesky competitors in the frame any more - beancounter paradise! That went well.

But I am pleased to see Blue Origin given a fallback role in case the musketry backfires.

Don't feel sorry for Boeing

Steve Davies 3

They have been 'commanded' by Drumpf to build the F-47. Perhaps he can sell a few to his pal Putin?

Who would have thought it!

blu3b3rry

My flabber is well and truly gasted at this news. Almost sounds like Elmo is simply in all this for himself or something, huh?

Re: Who would have thought it!

John Brown (no body)

Whilst I mostly agree, SpaceX has demonstrated that it can do these flights and do them cheaper, so really, it's not that big a surprise.

Re: Who would have thought it!

CowHorseFrog

The claim for being cheaper is based on lies.

If you tally the full count of direct contracts, and other government grants and subsidies the actual true cost is much much higher.

Re: Who would have thought it!

Joe 59

So do it. Post the actual cost of each flight.

7 years of bad luck

MachDiamond

There's the potential of a $5.9bn of contracts over the next 7 years. The whole thing is muddled with Phase this and Lane that. At any time, the launching of a certain payload can be switched to a different vendor if their vehicle has been approved. ULA's Vulcan has just been approved and New Glenn might get approved this year if they can demonstrate reliability. Keep in mind that government launches for spy stuff doesn't care much about price. The payload will vastly exceed the price of the launch and many are very bespoke one-off birds which makes reliability a bigger factor.

SpaceX's published commercial prices don't apply to government launches. SpaceX also has needed to raise nearly $12bn in funding rounds to keep the company going aside from government grants and contracts. They charge nearly what the Russians were charging per seat to send astronauts to ISS before the Crew Dragon craft was approved (and years late).

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