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  ARM Give a man a fire and he's warm for a day, but set fire to him and he's warm for the rest of his life (Terry Pratchett, Jingo)

Musk's xAI swallows Musk's X in ego-friendly, all-stock deal

(2025/03/31)


Comment Billionaire Elon Musk's xAI is to acquire billionaire Elon Musk's X in a deal that values the former at $80 billion and the latter at $33 billion.

While a merger always seemed a possibility, a question mark hovers over the timing. The valuation of X, when one includes $12 billion in debt, comes to $45 billion – conveniently a billion dollars more than when [1]Musk acquired Twitter in 2022, rebranded it as X, and made it what it is today.

Musk [2]announced the transaction on X at the end of last week, adding that "xAI and X's futures are intertwined."

[3]

The deal is an all-stock transaction, and with both companies privately held and lacking investor opposition, we'd take those valuations with a pinch of salt. By [4]other measures , Twitter's value has declined since Musk acquired it.

[5]

[6]

The company has also suffered an exodus of advertisers, although some have since returned to the platform, [7]reportedly only in a nominal manner – just enough to avoid Musk's ire.

Musk and his co-investors in X will benefit from the deal. The Tesla CEO through a consolidation of power, and his co-investors by allowing them to gain a stake in xAI. It's more challenging to see what xAI will gain from the acquisition – the company already has access to data on X with which to train its AI, Grok. In 2024, X [8]tweaked its Terms of Service to allow user data to be shared with third parties. xAI would be able to make that dataset exclusive for training its models.

[9]Grok 3 wades into the AI wars with 'beta' rollout

[10]Musk torches $500B Stargate AI plan, Altman strikes back

[11]HPE may have bagged $1B order from Elon Musk's X for AI servers

[12]X to allow third parties to train their AI models with social media users' data

X's CEO, Linda Yaccarino, [13]said "the future could not be brighter" in response to Musk's announcement, although Musk did not disclose how the management structure of the merged companies would work. It's possible Yaccarino's loyalty to Musk will result in a continued leadership role, perhaps running the X division within xAI.

Looking into the future requires speculation. More Grok is likely, although Musk had already been heavily promoting xAI's chatbot on X. As such, the service would have been further integrated regardless of the acquisition.

[14]

The main beneficiaries of the acquisition are X investors, who have endured years of turbulence since Musk acquired the platform. Owning shares in a growing AI startup is far more appealing than shares in a declining – though still significant – social media platform.

[15]According to Gartner , worldwide generative AI spending is set to hit $644 billion in 2025, up 76.4 percent from 2024.

Having a slice of xAI, therefore, is a smart move. ®

Get our [16]Tech Resources



[1] https://www.theregister.com/2022/04/25/elon_musk_buys_twitter/

[2] https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1905731750275510312

[3] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=2&c=2Z-q8LQj5OWXiu_YekpIyBQAAAkY&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D2%26raptor%3Dcondor%26pos%3Dtop%26test%3D0

[4] https://www.theregister.com/2023/05/31/twitter_value_decline/

[5] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Z-q8LQj5OWXiu_YekpIyBQAAAkY&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[6] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=3&c=33Z-q8LQj5OWXiu_YekpIyBQAAAkY&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D3%26raptor%3Deagle%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[7] https://www.ft.com/content/8d3e4dba-1246-482d-9aaa-d970d2cb0a94

[8] https://www.theregister.com/2024/10/18/x_train_data/

[9] https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/18/grok_3/

[10] https://www.theregister.com/2025/01/23/musk_altman_stargate_ai/

[11] https://www.theregister.com/2025/01/14/hpe_x_ai/

[12] https://www.theregister.com/2024/10/18/x_train_data/

[13] https://x.com/lindayaX/status/1905737074298572880

[14] https://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/jump?co=1&iu=/6978/reg_software/aiml&sz=300x50%7C300x100%7C300x250%7C300x251%7C300x252%7C300x600%7C300x601&tile=4&c=44Z-q8LQj5OWXiu_YekpIyBQAAAkY&t=ct%3Dns%26unitnum%3D4%26raptor%3Dfalcon%26pos%3Dmid%26test%3D0

[15] https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2025-03-31-gartner-forecasts-worldwide-genai-spending-to-reach-644-billion-in-2025

[16] https://whitepapers.theregister.com/



22 short

elsergiovolador

644 billion on digital garbage. Sounds like another man's treasure.

"xAI and X's futures are intertwined."

Mentat74

So they're both going down ?

Re: "xAI and X's futures are intertwined."

Like a badger

Seem likely, the bubble may already be bursting in China:

https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/03/26/1113802/china-ai-data-centers-unused/

Re: "xAI and X's futures are intertwined."

Paul Herber

xQuantum xEntanglement.

Re: "xAI and X's futures are intertwined."

elsergiovolador

Wasn't there a conspiracy theory that Musk bought X using loan against his Tesla shares and that if they tank below certain value his loan will be called in?

The move could be a way to avoid disaster for him.

It's why accounting is often called a art.

Re: "xAI and X's futures are intertwined."

Doctor Syntax

Great minds think alike. I take it that AI is now almost as useful a lure as cryptocurrency to find a bigger idiot.

This Is How Tesla Will Die

Anonymous Coward

https://www.planetearthandbeyond.co/p/this-is-how-tesla-will-die

Re: This Is How Tesla Will Die

Anonymous Coward

Not sure I'd put any credibility in the blitherings of this person. They claimed Northvolt would overtake Tesla and we all know how well that went. Years of screeching 'this is the end for Tesla' and they keep doing better.

Re: This Is How Tesla Will Die

Anonymous Coward

Feel free to invest your pension in Tesla shares.......

Re: So they're both going down ?

Mage

Incest too?

BBRush

And absolutely not financial chicanery to inflate the value of something. No. No way would that happen.

Gordon 10

Not quite. He created a new thing that he knew would ride the bubble and then used stock in the new thing to pay off the loans in the old something.

Its just a shell game, with a slightly different valuation and probably some pesky T&C's on the loans eliminated.

Anonymous Coward

so two worthless companies joining into one worthless nazi cesspit, sounds about right.

Fuck the nazi bastard and all of his worthless lying companies

MyffyW

Elmo Edison and the Gangster Capitalists

Worst. Punk. Band. Ever.

Apartheid

Anonymous Coward

Everything about Musk's world view makes sense once one remembers that he grew up as a member of a rich white South African family during Apartheid and was in his twenties when Apartheid ended.

If it quacks like investor fraud...

Andy 73

He did the same with Solar City - and made the same claims, which have been proven to be false.

This is a way of repackaging his debt and severe losses, and any sensible shareholders (and capable board members) would be screaming to the rafters right now.

The timing strongly suggests that Musk is preparing for trouble very soon - he's heavily leveraged, and the forthcoming numbers on Tesla are likely to see his (paper) wealth take a serious hit. The only thing keeping him afloat right now is the certainty of billion dollar contracts from the government through SpaceX.

Re: If it quacks like investor fraud...

Dan 55

Tesla is meme stock and the shareholders haven't realised it yet, apart from the shareholders on Telsa's board who are selling like there's no tomorrow.

Re: If it quacks like investor fraud...

MyffyW

JP Morgan realised it back in the middle of last year, and their latest target is $120 a share (whilst Tesla is inexplicably trading today around $245).

Current Tesla Price-to-Earnings ratio is 120:1 whilst for normal motor manufacturers 5:1 is more optimistic.

Seriously, this isn't even anti-Musk invective (though I think he's a dick), Tesla is w-a-y overpriced. Tesla is a meme stock buoyed originally by a market-leading product and now dependant (IMHO) on the expectation of favours from the US government.

Re: If it quacks like investor fraud...

Andy 73

Retail investors make up approximately $350 billion of Tesla's current market cap - and the vast majority of those have invested because they believe Musk is going to do something amazing at some point in the future. The fact that he's failed to keep their initial market lead, is being out-competed by China, has lost key engineering talent in the company and has failed to deliver FSD despite promising it for a decade is irrelevant.

Currently sites are full of people who are convinced there will be a new, super low cost model, a functioning Robotaxi, a working Optimus all appearing later this year. That's despite the evidence that he can't make margin on a low cost model, FSD is still not consistent enough to provide Robotaxi services (he's not even using it in the Hyperloop!), Optimus is waaaay behind Boston Dynamics and Unitree, and other "world changing" projects like the new Roadster, Cybertruck and Tesla Semi all being DOA.

This has become an article of faith, and it takes a lot for a true believer to accept they were wrong. That could be enough to keep money in Tesla to find time to discover that next breakthrough - but it's notable that all of Musk's big successes have come from buying into a highly talented teams' new idea, not from developing something in house under his direction. The teams that set up the roadmap to the Model 3 and things like the Falcon 9 project have all since left. The FSD team has been replaced at least a couple of times. Optimus appears to be a student project, and the grand X turnaround has turned into a half-baked attempt at keeping the lights on... it's not looking good.

I fully expect the stock price to remain in a fantasy bracket for most of this year. If it collapses, it will be sudden and deep.

Re: If it quacks like investor fraud...

Like a badger

"I fully expect the stock price to remain in a fantasy bracket for most of this year. If it collapses, it will be sudden and deep."

And extremely gratifying.

Re: selling like there's no tomorrow...

Anonymous Coward

But there is a tomorrow.

Oh wait, tomorrow is April 1st. Does that matter?

Don't Fear The Men Standing On The Podium Making The Speeches...

NoneSuch

Fear the ones who listen, nod, say nothing in opposition and go along with whatever comes to avoid any personal inconvenience.

This has been true since Genghis Khan, Napoleon, Stalin and that mini-mustached Austrian Corporal and his lot.

Saying nothing is tacit agreement to the hideous acts they perform. Giving ad money to a platform that promotes racism, hatred and segregation is one step above that.

AI trained "exclusively" on X

steelpillow

What could possibly go wrong?

Re: AI trained "exclusively" on X

VicMortimer

Nothing. If what you want is a neo-Nazi LLM.

Pretty sure that's what the elongated muskrat wants.

Re: AI trained "exclusively" on X

Cruachan

I am in no way defending AI, but Grok has been reporting Mush as the biggest source of disinformation on Twitter, just ahead of, you guessed it, Trump.

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/elon-musk-s-own-ai-chatbot-has-turned-on-him-and-says-he-s-spreading-misinformation/ar-AA1B9D1m

I'm sure an update to "correct" that is on the way soon though.

Re: AI trained "exclusively" on X

Anonymous Coward

You probably want to re-read that article. Grok is not saying that he is, Grok is saying that others are reporting that he is.

Really??

Dave K

"the future could not be brighter"

And yet with people departing in droves, revenue dropping from $5bn in 2021 to $2.5bn in 2024, that has to be a very low bar they've set themselves if the current situation qualifies as a resounding success ...

Re: Really??

Flocke Kroes

If the future cannot be brighter then it could possibly stay the same or will more likely go darker. First believable statement Yaccarino has made about X.

Smells like panic

Howard Sway

He's damaged Tesla and Twitter so much with his "antics" that it feels like this is a panic move designed to try and shield him from that before he's forced out of the car company (Tesla is publicly listed) and try to keep his wealth inflated.

“I mean, have you seen Tim Walz, who is a huge jerk, running on stage with the Tesla stock price that had gone in half and he was overjoyed. What an evil thing to do. What a creep, what a jerk. Like who derives joy from that?” -- Elon Musk, last week, making the joy even more enjoyable.

Re: Smells like panic

Anonymous Coward

"before he's forced out of the car company (Tesla is publicly listed) "

By who? The Tesla board are a bunch of lickspittles who awarded him a bonus of $56bn, and with that bonus he'll have a personal shareholding of 20%. The institutional investors mostly won't vote against him, so there's precisely zero chance of him being forced out. Sadly.

Re: Smells like panic

LBJsPNS

"The fundamental weakness of Western civilization is empathy." - Guess Who.

So hey, fuck him.

Re: Smells like panic

VicMortimer

Empathy has been officially designated a sin by right ring evangelical christian preachers.

Re: Smells like panic

Anonymous Coward

And this coming from the same side that has decided it is now legitimate to assault people in the street due to owning a specific brand of car.

https://www.azfamily.com/2025/03/29/flagstaff-women-say-they-were-targeted-assaulted-driving-tesla-car/

A slight case of overpaying

Irongut

So Musk is overpaying for Twitter again?

Lol he really is the funniest US comedian of the 2020s.

Sage advice from a parent

Anonymous Coward

When someone is skilled at manipulation, ignore their words and watch their actions. He is and always has been laddering up, with debt as only one of his means of leverage. He bought X to amplify his words, which (plus buying the most expensive seat at Trump's table of government for sale) got him a big slice of power over federal contracting and regulation in one go, which he is openly using while obfuscating just enough for the political base to continue supporting his role. What's next? It's likely to involve privatization, on a siding scale from more contacts to his companies or those run by colleagues/collaborators to full outsourcing of critical functions. It'll start small and gradually grow. Watch for USAID to start funding admin-friendly influencers and news orgs. With the justification that they've been ignored versus left leaning groups that got all the funding. True or false? Well unfortunately it's not a dichotomy and he and trump love using non dichotomies in their manipulations.

Anyways, I wish intelligent people would stop calling him a Nazi or idiot. He is far more dangerous than your typical far right actual Nazi, because his means of seizing more power will be less obvious and will cross boundaries those might not think of doing. It serves his goals when his opponents just call him a Nazi or idiot.

Re: Sage advice from a parent

Anonymous Coward

He is an idiot and a Nazi. Neither of those things mean he isn't dangerous.

Hitler wasn't smart either. But look at the damage he did. The brains don't have to be in the same body as the mouth.

Re: Sage advice from a parent

ecofeco

I down voted you because HE IS A NAZI and it is you, who should not underestimate the seriousness of that.

Re: Sage advice from a parent

Anonymous Coward

No, you've been told to think this but reality is different.

We have always been at war with Eastasia

Flocke Kroes

A few years ago Musk said that Twitter was not worth the price he committed to pay because it was infested with bots. Now he is making Twitter a subsidiary of a company whose purported main asset is a bot.

beardman

So, dude basically runs his very private Ponzi scheme.

ecofeco

The very rich often do.

Deck chairs

ecofeco

Shuffled.

Titanic.

Ha

codejunky

Without care of Elon nor his businesses I suspect people would have much less of a problem with government finding creative ways to do their accounting than a private business.

Anonymous Coward

Move along. No corruption to see here.

God grant me the senility to accept the things I cannot change,
The frustration to try to change things I cannot affect,
and the wisdom to tell the difference.